Stark-Envelope — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$326

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-06 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 69% $-6

Sports

13% 100% +$0

Other

10% 0% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	6	$42	32	32	+0	Pistons	+$0	05-06 01:18
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Kyoka Okamura	2	$33	24	24	+0	Heather Watson	$-3	05-06 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$26	19	14	+5	Up	$-4	05-05 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$16	13	8	+6	open	—	05-03 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	05-04 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-04 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-04 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 07:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x8b4440…
05-06 07:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xeb3d24…
05-06 07:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb5a960…
05-06 07:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x19372c…
05-06 07:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9808e0…
05-06 07:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6f0a6f…
05-06 07:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfc66d2…
05-06 07:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0xb23493…
05-06 07:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa53d2a…
05-06 04:07:46	Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Kyoka Okamura	Heather Watson	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x75e641…
05-06 04:02:18	Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Kyoka Okamura	Heather Watson	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x5a6c01…
05-06 01:18:28	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xc46020…
05-06 00:54:28	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6a6cda…
05-06 00:54:08	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0x22b4d7…
05-06 00:41:30	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xa6c80a…
05-05 23:47:04	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	17	79¢	$13	0xf5bde8…
05-05 03:17:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe56ba5…
05-05 02:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9a1347…
05-05 02:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x2b7e0f…
05-05 02:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x8593d3…
05-05 02:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x706154…
05-05 02:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd9bbfc…
05-05 02:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa9f0ef…
05-05 02:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x94ca71…
05-05 02:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8404e1…
05-05 02:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x745d23…
05-05 02:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4117c1…
05-05 02:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9984ba…
05-05 02:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc385db…
05-05 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1cfb55…
05-05 02:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x315312…
05-05 02:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5e38ed…
05-05 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc7355c…
05-05 02:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x957825…
05-05 02:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xa4009e…
05-05 02:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa0e41a…
05-05 02:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x38cda8…
05-05 02:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfc6b07…
05-05 02:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf86b07…
05-05 02:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8eddda…
05-05 02:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe763bc…
05-05 02:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0fd1d0…
05-04 15:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x050531…
05-04 15:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdba629…
05-04 15:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xb21193…
05-04 15:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x364f50…
05-04 15:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xd37e90…
05-04 15:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe5a050…
05-04 15:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x21db48…
05-04 15:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xfa8697…
05-04 15:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x807166…
05-04 15:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x99e1e2…
05-04 15:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8e340b…
05-04 15:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x796b7f…
05-04 15:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd913c9…
05-04 15:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4c1041…
05-04 15:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc9836f…
05-04 15:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1e6386…
05-04 15:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x358f5b…
05-04 14:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5d5a50…
05-04 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xeac058…
05-04 09:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xed5fc0…
05-04 09:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2ee376…
05-04 09:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xef8c03…
05-04 09:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x38ef00…
05-04 09:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xff1ff4…
05-04 09:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x936d99…
05-04 09:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb7371f…
05-04 09:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x435f30…
05-04 08:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2ea424…
05-04 08:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4f3cf1…
05-04 08:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x25b25d…
05-04 08:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd15925…
05-04 08:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x536156…
05-04 08:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xda5c52…
05-04 08:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9f9501…
05-04 08:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe0bc48…
05-04 08:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5cb845…
05-04 08:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x070c81…
05-04 08:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xf5c26a…
05-04 08:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x347495…
05-04 08:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xe4cf31…
05-04 08:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7c4cd9…
05-04 07:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6580ba…
05-04 06:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x49e0f8…
05-04 06:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x80239f…
05-04 06:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdf741d…
05-04 05:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd299df…
05-04 05:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5c0c95…
05-04 05:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xc912f3…
05-04 05:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x987d2b…
05-04 03:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc192f2…
05-04 03:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x416354…
05-04 03:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd97e3d…
05-04 03:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x680f1a…
05-04 03:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e091a…
05-04 01:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x29a4de…
05-04 01:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdcea71…
05-04 00:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x250148…
05-04 00:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc8415b…