Realized P&L
+$3.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$139
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
183
Trades
86,333
lifetime
Volume
$2.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$487
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
66% 49% +$3,570
Sports
17% 44% $-584
Politics
15% 67% +$422
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 1128 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta join the US? No -205 $-197 97¢ $-200 $-2 06-24 12:56
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? No -70 $-64 97¢ $-68 $-4 07-07 09:29
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +550 $199 11¢ $58 $-141 07-16 16:39
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +871 $53 $35 $-18 06-09 23:43
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -334 $-97 10¢ $-33 +$63 06-10 19:58
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +769 $23 $23 +$0 07-04 03:07
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +500 $8 $17 +$10 07-03 01:23
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -289 $-17 $-17 +$1 06-30 06:12
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +83 $14 18¢ $15 +$1 07-02 19:21
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Yes +115 $7 $7 +$1 07-18 12:12
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 93¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 21:29
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +30 $5 11¢ $3 $-2 07-13 21:44
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes -2 $-9 56¢ $-1 +$8 07-18 18:12
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -58 $-7 $-1 +$6 07-01 22:09
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 01:02
Will Alberta join the US? Yes -30 $-2 $-1 +$2 06-11 18:52
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $-216 90¢ $1 +$217 07-13 12:21
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +1 $0 44¢ $0 +$0 07-19 09:10
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $0 16¢ $0 +$0 07-06 22:38
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +0 $-1 94¢ $0 +$1 07-17 10:59
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $10 93¢ $0 $-9 07-10 11:54
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 $-6 $0 +$6 07-08 13:07