Arctic-Independence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,384

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-14 12:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$101	106	0	+106	Up	$-96	05-11 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	05-22 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	5	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	06-01 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$43	54	2	+51	open	—	05-22 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	06-01 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$39	43	0	+43	open	—	05-26 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$38	52	0	+52	open	—	05-17 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$36	39	0	+39	open	—	05-17 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$31	33	0	+33	open	—	05-26 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$30	45	0	+45	open	—	06-01 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	05-21 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-27 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	06-01 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-27 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$26	2,502	0	+2,502	open	—	05-21 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	05-15 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	05-15 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$25	23	23	+0	open	—	05-17 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-21 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	05-26 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	06-01 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$20	58	0	+58	open	—	06-01 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	05-08 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$19	16	15	+2	Down	+$2	05-13 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-21 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 13:36:34	btc updown 5m 1781444100	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x3e0faf…
06-14 13:32:03	btc updown 5m 1781443800	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x48b947…
06-14 12:47:39	btc updown 5m 1781441100	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x714321…
06-14 12:18:42	btc updown 5m 1781439300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x267052…
06-14 07:14:04	btc updown 5m 1781421000	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8ec4cf…
06-14 07:05:00	btc updown 5m 1781420400	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x037183…
06-14 06:59:04	btc updown 5m 1781420100	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcc9ec7…
06-14 06:49:30	btc updown 5m 1781419500	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd897fb…
06-14 06:44:03	btc updown 5m 1781419200	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4dd5ab…
06-14 06:29:24	btc updown 5m 1781418300	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3e283b…
06-14 06:29:04	btc updown 5m 1781418300	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2b4a14…
06-14 06:14:48	btc updown 5m 1781417400	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4d01a3…
06-14 06:09:03	btc updown 5m 1781417100	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x20082a…
06-14 04:59:09	btc updown 5m 1781412900	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7fb31a…
06-14 04:14:09	btc updown 5m 1781410200	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfaba58…
06-14 04:04:24	btc updown 5m 1781409600	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4aab0c…
06-14 03:49:04	btc updown 5m 1781408700	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3a24f4…
06-14 03:44:03	btc updown 5m 1781408400	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc55776…
06-14 03:34:12	btc updown 5m 1781407800	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x82dec0…
06-14 03:24:18	btc updown 5m 1781407200	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbcddd4…
06-14 03:09:30	btc updown 5m 1781406300	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6ff884…
06-14 01:54:06	btc updown 5m 1781401800	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4e5cd7…
06-14 01:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781400900	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfa5054…
06-14 01:29:16	btc updown 5m 1781400300	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x52416a…
06-14 01:24:37	btc updown 5m 1781400000	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe875e2…
06-14 01:19:12	btc updown 5m 1781399700	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x964d6b…
06-13 23:59:04	btc updown 5m 1781394900	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x2109c5…
06-13 23:54:04	btc updown 5m 1781394600	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5a49ad…
06-13 23:44:04	btc updown 5m 1781394000	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x521b85…
06-13 23:34:04	btc updown 5m 1781393400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x82ced8…
06-13 23:29:18	btc updown 5m 1781393100	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5364e8…
06-13 23:14:06	btc updown 5m 1781392200	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x5d0f61…
06-13 21:54:04	btc updown 5m 1781387400	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x006a30…
06-13 21:34:03	btc updown 5m 1781386200	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4ec675…
06-13 21:24:04	btc updown 5m 1781385600	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4fbbf7…
06-13 21:19:06	btc updown 5m 1781385300	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6def0e…
06-13 21:09:06	btc updown 5m 1781384700	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x140419…
06-13 20:38:45	btc updown 5m 1781382900	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x46a93d…
06-13 19:29:01	btc updown 5m 1781378700	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfb86f1…
06-13 19:28:57	btc updown 5m 1781378700	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x110a88…
06-13 16:47:55	btc updown 5m 1781369100	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x8ea697…
06-13 16:29:18	btc updown 5m 1781367900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa03125…
06-13 16:16:30	btc updown 5m 1781367300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2cf22e…
06-13 15:31:40	btc updown 5m 1781364600	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdfff75…
06-13 11:09:03	btc updown 5m 1781348700	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d0bf8…
06-13 11:08:04	btc updown 5m 1781348700	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7975cb…
06-12 18:06:40	btc updown 5m 1781287500	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x03242e…
06-12 07:48:24	btc updown 5m 1781250300	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeadc17…
06-11 09:18:51	btc updown 5m 1781169300	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x04145c…
06-10 20:43:58	btc updown 5m 1781124000	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5517b7…
06-06 09:25:43	btc updown 5m 1780737900	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1eae1e…
06-05 20:45:57	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf4f65d…
06-05 20:45:27	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x79df65…
06-05 20:40:54	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0dc00c…
06-05 20:40:39	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x13b43c…
06-05 20:35:49	btc updown 5m 1780691700	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6afa2f…
06-05 20:30:51	btc updown 5m 1780691400	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8baed1…
06-05 20:26:18	btc updown 5m 1780691100	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf0d077…
06-05 20:26:18	btc updown 5m 1780691100	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6c762d…
06-05 20:21:40	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf6906f…
06-05 20:20:37	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xec1247…
06-05 20:15:24	btc updown 5m 1780690500	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe3d367…
06-05 20:10:39	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x2c8ca1…
06-05 20:10:31	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xca19c5…
06-05 20:05:36	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5b2ee3…
06-05 20:01:34	btc updown 5m 1780689600	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x537871…
06-05 20:00:31	btc updown 5m 1780689600	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcc98c3…
06-05 19:06:16	btc updown 5m 1780686300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfaed9e…
06-05 19:02:12	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc69a66…
06-05 18:55:36	btc updown 5m 1780685700	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa120b6…
06-05 18:21:58	btc updown 5m 1780683600	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf26dc6…
06-05 17:46:42	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x13048d…
06-05 16:25:52	btc updown 5m 1780676700	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x34e01b…
06-05 16:15:27	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x925fb8…
06-05 16:12:37	btc updown 5m 1780675800	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x73f401…
06-05 16:06:27	btc updown 5m 1780675500	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbd968a…
06-05 15:40:58	btc updown 5m 1780674000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe813ca…
06-05 15:31:30	btc updown 5m 1780673400	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x87b8cb…
06-05 15:23:37	btc updown 5m 1780672800	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x79c362…
06-05 15:10:52	btc updown 5m 1780672200	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x801a9c…
06-05 14:17:06	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcfde63…
06-05 14:06:55	btc updown 5m 1780668300	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xf54511…
06-05 13:51:30	btc updown 5m 1780667400	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf510b6…
06-05 13:46:16	btc updown 5m 1780667100	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf8da6c…
06-05 13:43:55	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc889f3…
06-05 13:36:07	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x85f461…
06-05 13:31:55	btc updown 5m 1780666200	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x143d56…
06-05 13:13:00	btc updown 5m 1780665000	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x821aa0…
06-05 13:03:18	btc updown 5m 1780664400	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb02f23…
06-05 12:56:18	btc updown 5m 1780664100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa8cc00…
06-05 12:16:51	btc updown 5m 1780661700	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8776e9…
06-05 11:51:42	btc updown 5m 1780660200	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x675fd1…
06-05 06:51:24	btc updown 5m 1780642200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0a0eef…
06-05 06:26:07	btc updown 5m 1780640700	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xcadcdf…
06-05 01:38:12	btc updown 5m 1780623300	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x72787d…
06-05 01:26:40	btc updown 5m 1780622700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf361e7…
06-04 23:56:36	btc updown 5m 1780617300	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x47d06f…
06-04 23:06:27	btc updown 5m 1780614300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa64e53…
06-04 22:51:15	btc updown 5m 1780613400	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x778b5c…
06-04 22:31:00	btc updown 5m 1780612200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a6449…