Zesty-Kettledrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$548

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-07 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

84% 67% +$5

Politics

16% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	8	$5.9K	3,033	3,033	+0	open	—	03-21 01:57
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$3.0K	1,633	1,633	+0	open	—	03-20 15:04
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$2.9K	1,507	1,507	+0	No	+$3	03-20 10:27
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$2.8K	1,475	1,475	+0	No	+$6	03-20 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,456	1,456	+0	open	—	03-21 01:25
msft close above 390 on march 19 2026	5	$340	616	0	+616	open	—	03-19 15:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$221	1,116	1,116	+0	No	$-2	03-21 01:07
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	3	$70	823	823	+0	open	—	03-20 14:50
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)	1	$20	21	0	+21	SC Freiburg	+$1	05-07 10:10
Spread: Clube Náutico Capibaribe (-1.5)	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-30 05:12
col ray sam 2026 03 19 spread away 1pt5	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-19 11:44
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 14:59
uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 spread home 2pt5	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	03-19 11:55
will the blast slam vii grand final be a reverse sweep 20260602173846755	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	06-07 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 03:04:46	will the blast slam vii grand final be a reverse sweep 20260602173846755	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x9c68c3…
05-30 05:12:47	Spread: Clube Náutico Capibaribe (-1.5)	SC Recife	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa348f0…
05-14 14:59:08	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x6e1254…
05-07 10:10:29	Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x90b413…
03-21 01:57:13	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	1,477	97¢	$1,436	0x8bc9a3…
03-21 01:49:29	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	241	97¢	$234	0x5a9881…
03-21 01:49:27	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	1,236	97¢	$1,201	0x5ea762…
03-21 01:25:13	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	1,456	94¢	$1,370	0x2a9a12…
03-21 01:17:01	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1,456	94¢	$1,370	0xccd58c…
03-21 01:07:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,116	10¢	$109	0x554db8…
03-21 01:01:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,116	10¢	$112	0x715a59…
03-21 00:51:29	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	223	97¢	$216	0xa0b2d7…
03-21 00:51:29	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	985	97¢	$953	0x8370a3…
03-21 00:51:29	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	348	97¢	$337	0x42cf2b…
03-21 00:45:17	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	1,550	97¢	$1,500	0xf6d81c…
03-21 00:45:17	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x45ea59…
03-20 15:04:13	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,633	92¢	$1,506	0xb1d99a…
03-20 14:57:33	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	883	91¢	$807	0x9ce3d8…
03-20 14:57:33	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	750	91¢	$686	0x9c6307…
03-20 14:50:37	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	422	4¢	$18	0x7ed806…
03-20 14:50:37	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	4¢	$17	0x4fb925…
03-20 14:41:43	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	823	4¢	$35	0x62ceb4…
03-20 14:34:49	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,475	96¢	$1,422	0xfcce6b…
03-20 14:24:51	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,475	96¢	$1,416	0x27d79a…
03-20 10:27:11	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1,507	96¢	$1,447	0xd0f1e0…
03-20 10:21:25	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1,507	96¢	$1,444	0x691144…
03-19 15:01:37	msft close above 390 on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	167	53¢	$89	0xf687b4…
03-19 15:01:37	msft close above 390 on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	78	53¢	$41	0xe01abc…
03-19 15:01:37	msft close above 390 on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xb612ca…
03-19 15:01:37	msft close above 390 on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x7520a9…
03-19 14:34:51	msft close above 390 on march 19 2026	No	BUY	335	57¢	$191	0x2a9cea…
03-19 11:55:37	uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 spread home 2pt5	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x69d202…
03-19 11:44:19	col ray sam 2026 03 19 spread away 1pt5	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x4a8b62…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	8	$8.99K	189	06-07 19:26
(anonymous) 0xdb2c…2ac8	8	$2.07K	30	03-21 01:57
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	7	$59.9K	886	04-28 08:54
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	7	$10.3K	414	04-07 02:53
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	7	$9.34K	731	04-28 02:22
(anonymous) 0x8d98…eece	7	$9.19K	22	03-21 00:37
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	7	$4.37K	436	03-28 06:07
(anonymous) 0x1861…24ea	7	$3.94K	32	03-21 01:57