Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,860

lifetime

Volume

$46.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-02 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

41% 100% +$163

Other

36% 0% $-13

Sports

11% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	68	$1.2K	1,045	1,035	+10	open	—	02-20 09:41
will the us not strike iran by march 31 2026	59	$810	835	850	-15	open	—	02-25 09:04
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	22	$743	852	852	+0	open	—	02-16 07:25
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	10	$686	732	526	+206	open	—	02-26 17:24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	52	$654	475	524	-49	open	—	02-19 18:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	27	$644	418	413	+5	open	—	02-18 12:48
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	29	$642	751	751	+0	open	—	02-19 19:21
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	24	$552	384	388	-4	open	—	03-11 00:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	24	$503	445	524	-79	Yes	+$152	02-21 18:28
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	35	$494	426	366	+60	open	—	03-11 02:22
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	14	$487	537	537	+0	open	—	02-21 07:45
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	15	$453	832	472	+360	open	—	02-26 18:27
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 20 in february 158	14	$449	343	270	+73	open	—	02-17 20:17
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	7	$448	649	649	+0	open	—	03-16 10:25
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	20	$446	535	635	-100	open	—	02-12 01:29
israel x iran ceasefire broken by june 30 2026 438 193	16	$422	555	555	+0	open	—	02-17 23:02
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	37	$416	516	662	-146	open	—	02-25 08:30
will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	65	$415	338	338	+0	open	—	03-25 19:49
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	23	$413	441	441	+0	open	—	03-16 10:27
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	16	$401	522	522	+0	open	—	03-07 20:52
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	22	$374	417	417	+0	open	—	03-22 09:06
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	36	$364	572	572	+0	open	—	03-19 14:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	25	$358	546	431	+115	open	—	01-30 06:31
will mike vrabel win nfl coach of the year	16	$353	228	228	+0	open	—	01-31 02:28
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	21	$346	422	422	+0	open	—	03-18 04:10
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	58	$345	402	260	+142	open	—	02-27 12:18
will teyana taylor win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	28	$344	322	322	+0	open	—	02-28 03:09
will trump issue a gold card by march 31	30	$340	244	249	-5	open	—	02-17 12:59
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	16	$336	535	450	+85	open	—	03-06 09:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	11	$328	428	677	-249	open	—	01-26 04:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-02 00:53:33	nba 2025 26 southeast division winner miami heat	Yes	SELL	156	6¢	$9	0x92f241…
04-02 00:10:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x469b56…
04-02 00:10:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x126c75…
04-02 00:10:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x02a507…
04-02 00:10:43	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xe4b32b…
04-02 00:10:43	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xbb8bdc…
04-02 00:10:43	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8d16bc…
04-01 23:34:27	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xfef59a…
04-01 23:34:05	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x6c7df0…
04-01 23:01:17	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x2ed8a4…
04-01 21:31:35	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xa34083…
04-01 20:54:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	53	46¢	$24	0x97b716…
04-01 20:53:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x0ad0fb…
04-01 20:49:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xb841f0…
03-29 22:32:58	nba 2025 26 southeast division winner miami heat	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xe6c94c…
03-29 22:32:58	nba 2025 26 southeast division winner miami heat	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x1d3e0b…
03-29 22:23:50	nba 2025 26 southeast division winner miami heat	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x24f0d8…
03-29 17:32:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0x0cd53f…
03-27 21:12:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	68	54¢	$37	0xcea961…
03-27 08:39:39	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x5b33b0…
03-27 04:00:29	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0x5f5c6f…
03-27 01:32:59	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x92f4bb…
03-27 01:32:01	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x19850c…
03-26 21:15:35	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	79	11¢	$9	0x1a0623…
03-26 19:03:01	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x936618…
03-26 03:59:09	will ukraine qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x954ea8…
03-26 01:46:37	will ukraine qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	41	27¢	$11	0x21560d…
03-26 01:35:53	will ukraine qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	44	27¢	$12	0xecd19f…
03-25 19:49:29	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	38	64¢	$24	0xe69ef2…
03-25 14:11:47	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x56dada…
03-25 12:25:41	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0x43d245…
03-25 12:21:59	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xdc229f…
03-25 12:21:59	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x4dcbdc…
03-25 10:03:03	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xded51d…
03-25 09:00:43	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x5616ac…
03-25 07:06:25	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0x179b5c…
03-24 20:09:25	will ukraine qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	89	27¢	$24	0xff3342…
03-24 16:19:15	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0xe898f5…
03-24 15:44:05	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	Yes	SELL	33	62¢	$20	0x27b6df…
03-24 14:47:27	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x64f55b…
03-24 12:21:01	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xbd1084…
03-23 21:27:07	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x404784…
03-23 20:40:23	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x5f26e8…
03-23 20:27:03	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xe8a615…
03-23 20:03:37	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0xd91d28…
03-23 19:53:45	will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	No	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x190224…
03-23 18:33:15	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xaaf961…
03-23 17:22:15	will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xdc4789…
03-23 15:50:33	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0xa30682…
03-23 15:17:03	will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	Yes	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0xf70d31…
03-23 15:00:41	will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	Yes	SELL	13	58¢	$7	0xd955ee…
03-23 13:16:33	will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x8555ca…
03-23 12:22:55	will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xd5b389…
03-23 11:44:31	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	Yes	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x37f0c9…
03-23 09:53:27	will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe3109e…
03-23 08:57:47	will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb86af5…
03-22 09:06:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x2d3690…
03-22 08:57:45	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xdb4c4b…
03-22 08:44:29	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xb52696…
03-22 08:38:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x8b9723…
03-22 08:35:15	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	88	54¢	$47	0x97a54e…
03-22 06:48:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x84b1ea…
03-22 06:47:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xb2c797…
03-22 06:35:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x9983f0…
03-22 06:35:23	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xb992b7…
03-22 06:35:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xd40a1c…
03-22 06:26:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xd5a2d0…
03-22 06:26:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x9d7fe3…
03-22 06:26:23	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0x9684f6…
03-21 18:43:43	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x002f85…
03-21 13:28:35	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	74¢	$24	0x672e0e…
03-19 22:08:15	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xd52378…
03-19 22:08:15	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc66278…
03-19 22:08:15	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xbff931…
03-19 21:57:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2ca0ea…
03-19 21:43:27	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xafe68c…
03-19 21:31:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x10dd97…
03-19 21:06:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	52	74¢	$38	0x76d5ab…
03-19 16:45:33	will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	Yes	BUY	34	63¢	$21	0x5f936b…
03-19 14:24:17	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	83	25¢	$21	0x983060…
03-19 13:45:19	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	82	53¢	$43	0x6c6e72…
03-19 13:16:53	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x714ce3…
03-19 12:26:41	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0xaba946…
03-19 11:41:33	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0x5cbb53…
03-19 10:37:09	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x168c80…
03-19 10:28:43	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xc75871…
03-19 10:28:39	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x3c658f…
03-19 05:47:25	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xbcd52c…
03-18 23:09:11	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x57fcab…
03-18 15:21:09	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xca15c3…
03-18 12:20:05	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0x0a7d05…
03-18 09:59:33	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	75	19¢	$14	0x5463cd…
03-18 04:12:23	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	115	16¢	$18	0xf3a43b…
03-18 04:10:27	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x16cb2e…
03-18 02:14:15	will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc1ee2f…
03-18 02:08:09	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0x877b5b…
03-18 01:24:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	82	44¢	$36	0x1574db…
03-17 23:44:31	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	Yes	BUY	81	15¢	$12	0x98d9fa…
03-17 23:10:11	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x6a7430…
03-17 22:04:41	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x715ffa…