Showy-Cut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

108

Trades

422

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-11 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% +$18

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	14	$51	42	42	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	10	$43	49	31	+18	Down	+$9	05-10 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$40	71	71	+0	Up	+$20	05-09 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	7	$38	124	20	+105	Up	$-2	05-10 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	9	$37	74	24	+50	Down	+$3	05-09 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$35	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	8	$33	23	23	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	10	$29	41	20	+21	Down	+$3	05-09 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	9	$26	31	23	+8	Down	$-2	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$24	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	9	$24	36	17	+19	Up	+$7	05-09 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$23	36	19	+17	Up	$-4	05-09 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$13	05-11 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$22	36	18	+18	Down	+$1	05-10 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	9	$22	54	10	+43	Down	$-10	05-10 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	8	$21	26	12	+14	Up	+$1	05-10 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$20	19	16	+3	Down	$-2	05-10 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	15	$20	37	0	+37	Down	$-20	05-09 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$20	30	20	+10	Up	$-1	05-09 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	8	$19	24	5	+18	Down	$-10	05-09 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	10	$18	27	6	+21	Down	+$10	05-09 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$18	11	11	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	11	$18	29	12	+17	Up	+$6	05-09 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	5	$16	22	9	+12	Up	+$1	05-09 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	7	$16	18	18	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	5	$16	17	12	+5	Down	$-0	05-10 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	6	$15	20	13	+7	Down	$-2	05-09 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	7	$15	19	19	+0	Up	$-3	05-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$14	14	8	+6	Up	+$1	05-09 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 19:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0x06c10a…
05-11 19:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc36cbb…
05-11 19:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xda2f63…
05-11 19:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x2e36a3…
05-11 19:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x182b8c…
05-11 19:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x6932c3…
05-11 19:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdb0c37…
05-11 18:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdfafac…
05-11 18:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xed757f…
05-11 18:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x8d16c5…
05-11 18:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x909766…
05-11 18:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9b09a6…
05-11 18:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x5fbc46…
05-11 18:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x5a446e…
05-11 18:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2e9403…
05-11 18:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdde083…
05-11 18:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x5d2001…
05-11 18:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbfdfdb…
05-11 18:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xadca06…
05-11 18:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1d5f91…
05-11 18:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xecb887…
05-11 18:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4d9811…
05-11 18:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0c9ace…
05-10 18:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x06be3e…
05-10 18:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8f9de2…
05-10 17:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x81436c…
05-10 17:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9632f1…
05-10 17:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7bc60b…
05-10 17:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff0457…
05-10 17:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x382b96…
05-10 17:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd64732…
05-10 17:13:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x5df04f…
05-10 17:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3f98db…
05-10 17:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa41f62…
05-10 16:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe7e443…
05-10 16:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xa537f1…
05-10 16:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x09939d…
05-10 16:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x17f3c5…
05-10 16:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2c3f57…
05-10 16:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x776e4c…
05-10 16:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xecf983…
05-10 16:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf44995…
05-10 16:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xa0f7d1…
05-10 16:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xedb656…
05-10 16:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x939f9d…
05-10 16:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x08935f…
05-10 14:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf6b0b1…
05-10 14:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0xceaff5…
05-10 14:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x314195…
05-10 14:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x813c06…
05-10 14:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2e17c1…
05-10 14:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2b7204…
05-10 14:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xd043f1…
05-10 14:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1d94dd…
05-10 13:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa40886…
05-10 13:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe61489…
05-10 13:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x95daa9…
05-10 13:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbb393c…
05-10 13:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x4e38ee…
05-10 13:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x4986d4…
05-10 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x770df0…
05-10 13:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1a4561…
05-10 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x095e76…
05-10 13:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe3b607…
05-10 13:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xabc02a…
05-10 13:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb2f691…
05-10 13:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdbe246…
05-10 13:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1fb932…
05-10 12:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa04360…
05-10 12:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc16e85…
05-10 12:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x97758d…
05-10 12:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xcecc50…
05-10 12:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd1aa96…
05-10 12:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x2d58f7…
05-10 12:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb471a2…
05-10 12:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb9049c…
05-10 12:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x394efa…
05-10 12:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xeadda8…
05-10 12:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x20105a…
05-10 12:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x916971…
05-10 12:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x10a97f…
05-10 12:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xd31587…
05-10 12:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfdafff…
05-10 12:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xecd1d4…
05-10 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xab0a4d…
05-10 12:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x7b083e…
05-10 12:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x7b450d…
05-10 12:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf2a44e…
05-10 12:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x45ade1…
05-10 12:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1c0d68…
05-10 12:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0716be…
05-10 12:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x848f89…
05-10 12:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x1c7525…
05-10 12:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xac8f3f…
05-10 12:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfa759d…
05-10 12:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x3e95a8…
05-10 12:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8f6c5c…
05-10 12:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3a78a3…
05-10 12:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4aa893…
05-10 12:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7dd2d7…