Livid-Pompom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$726

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-01 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% — —

Other

25% 100% +$2

Crypto

19% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$105	322	83	+239	open	—	04-07 23:13
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	9	$66	57	35	+22	open	—	06-01 14:02
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$63	37	37	+0	open	—	04-05 13:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 13:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$48	42	10	+32	open	—	03-30 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	9	$47	35	30	+5	open	—	04-30 22:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$33	19	19	+0	open	—	03-30 18:58
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	3	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	03-30 19:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$27	152	0	+152	open	—	04-07 23:03
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	4	$22	74	0	+74	open	—	04-27 14:17
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-07 22:37
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	3	$16	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	05-08 16:40
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	03-31 21:11
btc updown 5m 1771526400	4	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-19 18:43
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-07 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 22:04
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	02-18 15:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-01 15:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 22:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-07 23:04
btc updown 5m 1771527300	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	02-19 18:56
will the central bank of colombia announce no change at the march meeting	1	$5	83	0	+83	open	—	03-11 18:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-09 16:22
btc updown 5m 1773252600	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-11 18:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 20:19
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 18c	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-07 15:32
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	2	$4	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 21:30
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	3	$3	8	5	+4	open	—	02-18 16:13
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	03-11 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 14:02:07	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0183e0…
05-08 16:40:13	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x1593c5…
05-06 20:19:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xcbeaf4…
05-05 21:31:54	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x47a5e3…
05-05 21:30:24	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x504587…
05-05 18:25:24	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe02413…
05-04 22:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x63f0fd…
05-04 22:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa7469a…
05-04 22:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe9a9cb…
05-04 22:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4b13e0…
05-04 19:16:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x603df1…
05-04 19:15:00	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x27ebbe…
05-04 19:12:48	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb97254…
05-01 14:00:46	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x79a6ff…
04-30 22:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf4fc7a…
04-30 22:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe6c2ee…
04-30 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x196c76…
04-30 22:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xc60333…
04-30 22:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x796a72…
04-30 22:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x3cb0f2…
04-30 22:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x83bb1e…
04-30 22:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x01b413…
04-30 22:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x82eb8f…
04-30 22:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x50d50b…
04-30 22:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x994fc2…
04-30 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x41efdd…
04-30 22:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x22befd…
04-27 21:29:58	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe71a84…
04-27 14:17:56	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x43c656…
04-27 14:02:20	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x533a4f…
04-27 13:38:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x791e5e…
04-13 16:22:39	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x24d310…
04-13 16:17:35	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb88492…
04-13 16:15:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd560e4…
04-13 16:09:15	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x69796e…
04-13 15:20:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xa2a06e…
04-10 20:21:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaaa85c…
04-09 19:04:37	btc updown 5m 1775761200	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe44f4f…
04-09 18:29:27	btc updown 5m 1775759100	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa511ed…
04-09 17:19:47	btc updown 5m 1775754900	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe9edd6…
04-09 17:14:59	btc updown 5m 1775754600	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb94e01…
04-09 16:22:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xff042f…
04-08 15:40:59	btc updown 5m 1775662800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf3da44…
04-07 23:13:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0x3daef7…
04-07 23:11:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x7f726a…
04-07 23:09:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xca2557…
04-07 23:08:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x724419…
04-07 23:04:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x552194…
04-07 23:03:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x83b318…
04-07 23:03:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x219493…
04-07 22:54:09	highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8b0060…
04-07 22:46:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3dbc6b…
04-07 22:37:25	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xd6e76d…
04-07 22:35:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xa8a136…
04-07 22:27:51	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd8c38e…
04-07 22:26:55	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xc16e5e…
04-07 22:26:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x7d22b0…
04-07 20:15:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xab3d4e…
04-07 20:05:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xc62fec…
04-07 18:43:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9ce257…
04-07 18:43:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x381eef…
04-07 18:42:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x02da95…
04-07 18:40:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc69507…
04-07 17:19:29	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x47950d…
04-07 15:32:41	highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x209c4b…
04-06 15:54:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbe98a1…
04-06 15:24:09	highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xadfa67…
04-06 15:18:07	btc updown 5m 1775488500	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf8858a…
04-06 15:00:23	btc updown 5m 1775487600	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5defc9…
04-06 14:53:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcedae1…
04-05 16:47:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x3533bd…
04-05 16:44:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x932e0b…
04-05 13:50:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x55ff6d…
04-05 13:39:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x88fed1…
04-05 01:28:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0x7f86d8…
04-05 01:25:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xe44926…
04-01 16:21:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x39f231…
04-01 16:21:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	10	91¢	$10	0xc3a478…
04-01 15:21:27	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf9b772…
04-01 15:17:13	btc updown 5m 1775056500	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0eb853…
04-01 15:16:57	btc updown 5m 1775056500	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc47d9a…
04-01 15:16:49	btc updown 5m 1775056500	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x28f885…
04-01 15:14:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe504a8…
04-01 15:08:59	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x812253…
03-31 21:12:49	btc updown 5m 1774991400	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe52239…
03-31 21:11:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc67853…
03-31 21:11:35	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x05c45d…
03-30 19:32:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xf9c0a5…
03-30 19:14:13	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x68493c…
03-30 19:11:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe4a33d…
03-30 19:10:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd76c1c…
03-30 18:59:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc694b8…
03-30 18:58:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x0c648e…
03-29 20:07:56	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8db7cd…
03-27 22:55:59	btc updown 5m 1774652100	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf715b4…
03-27 22:21:35	btc updown 5m 1774650000	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf18e7e…
03-27 22:21:07	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe6c1a5…
03-27 22:14:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x77ddcf…
03-27 21:39:05	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe18a3f…
03-25 19:31:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x2a95cc…