Crooked-Mound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-20 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% — —

Crypto

22% 52% +$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$815	1,632	1,632	+0	open	—	04-23 01:53
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$287	2,720	0	+2,720	open	—	04-23 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$70	76	0	+76	open	—	05-20 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	6	$66	105	105	+0	Up	$-6	05-12 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$39	74	0	+74	open	—	05-20 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$19	24	16	+8	Up	+$5	05-12 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$19	259	259	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$17	30	2	+28	Up	+$13	05-12 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$15	33	0	+33	Up	+$18	05-12 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$13	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-12 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$3	4	1	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-12 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-13 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$2	17	0	+17	Down	$-2	05-12 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-12 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$1	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$1	17	17	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-12 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-12 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	+$3	05-12 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 15:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x3290d1…
05-20 14:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	74	53¢	$39	0xdb6550…
05-13 07:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x878532…
05-13 07:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x32af74…
05-13 06:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x15a256…
05-13 06:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb4fd35…
05-13 06:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd86920…
05-12 22:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x037797…
05-12 22:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x59c8d0…
05-12 22:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3215b6…
05-12 22:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8c15a9…
05-12 21:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x398572…
05-12 21:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd0c72a…
05-12 21:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xb326b4…
05-12 21:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7f7c38…
05-12 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd52ff8…
05-12 12:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6a14a3…
05-12 12:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc09c4d…
05-12 11:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb2e0ba…
05-12 11:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x5308b5…
05-12 11:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0x8e660d…
05-12 11:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x68a007…
05-12 11:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa4096d…
05-12 11:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x5a7068…
05-12 11:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	159	5¢	$8	0xe805b1…
05-12 11:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x8875be…
05-12 11:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xce34eb…
05-12 11:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x20c0c8…
05-12 11:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7c6faf…
05-12 10:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	57	24¢	$14	0xa466f8…
05-12 10:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x5663ad…
05-12 10:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	48	33¢	$16	0x0e62b1…
05-12 10:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x082345…
05-12 10:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xdcaa92…
05-12 10:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x07425e…
05-12 10:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x8ea692…
05-12 10:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd88676…
05-12 10:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xbe9268…
05-12 10:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd76640…
05-12 10:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x347b34…
05-12 10:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbbcd0d…
05-12 07:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x0822f6…
05-12 07:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x46efd7…
05-12 07:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc7528e…
05-12 07:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x79dbc7…
05-12 07:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5c29fe…
05-12 06:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xd3bf21…
05-12 06:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x86562d…
05-12 06:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb32197…
05-12 06:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x06a84e…
05-12 06:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd4963c…
05-12 06:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x4327f2…
05-12 06:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x59e7c7…
04-23 01:54:16	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,720	11¢	$287	0xf149f5…
04-23 01:53:52	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,632	18¢	$286	0xefd4a9…
04-14 18:31:36	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,632	32¢	$529	0x97e00a…