Easy-Going-Signature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$140

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-19 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-1

Politics

19% 100% +$1

Sports

10% 100% +$2

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SPLC found guilty in 2026?	Yes		-3	$-1	50¢	$-2	$-0	07-19 17:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$31	75	0	+75	open	—	07-19 17:18
US bank failure by December 31?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-10 16:30
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-10 16:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-10 16:31
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-10 16:30
russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-10 16:31
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	$-1	04-10 16:31
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 39.0% in April?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 00:24
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 00:24
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	04-10 16:31
chatgpt outage by april 10 446	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 15:44
chatgpt outage by april 17 183	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-10 16:31
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-10 16:31
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 00:24
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 100 119	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 16:31
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 16-19 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 00:28
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 16:31
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-17 01:03
Will Trump praise Kash Patel by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-09 04:50
Will Freiburg reach the UEFA Europa League final?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	04-17 00:45
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-20 11:03
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-20 11:04
will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-17 00:58
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 13 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-11 02:09
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-17 00:56
will mother mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-17 00:54
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-09 04:40
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-09 04:47
will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-11 02:10
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	04-20 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 17:18:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	75	41¢	$31	0x97c254…
07-19 17:17:34	SPLC found guilty in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x394fad…
05-09 04:50:59	Will Trump praise Kash Patel by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x251bf7…
05-09 04:47:03	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd9f0b8…
05-09 04:43:54	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x9f85de…
05-09 04:40:24	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9bf413…
05-09 04:37:43	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdaa0ed…
04-21 13:02:56	FDA approves Sanofi's Dupixent?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc0a9e9…
04-21 13:02:20	FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfd7a7e…
04-20 11:07:48	Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 20 - April 26 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8b8992…
04-20 11:06:20	Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3f0428…
04-20 11:04:20	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc7525a…
04-20 11:03:48	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xde459f…
04-17 01:03:28	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa95e5b…
04-17 01:03:06	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x58c192…
04-17 01:01:40	Will Tampa Bay Lightning advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf0b6c4…
04-17 01:01:04	Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf0db88…
04-17 01:00:42	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd4963d…
04-17 00:58:56	Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x93fea5…
04-17 00:58:40	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcce010…
04-17 00:58:14	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x45262e…
04-17 00:56:00	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd2087b…
04-17 00:54:20	will mother mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x58df89…
04-17 00:46:24	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa5d6a2…
04-17 00:45:44	Will Freiburg reach the UEFA Europa League final?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3f65cd…
04-17 00:45:30	Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7a60c4…
04-17 00:40:08	NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Lightning Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4739a5…
04-17 00:39:52	NHL Playoffs: Hurricanes vs. Senators Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd3d375…
04-17 00:28:12	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 16-19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x2039ac…
04-17 00:25:54	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 16-19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3f3f23…
04-17 00:24:18	Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x2eb40b…
04-17 00:24:14	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 39.0% in April?	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x606bd8…
04-17 00:24:10	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xff86d0…
04-11 02:17:33	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x916c8b…
04-11 02:13:03	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 120 139	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1c98f1…
04-11 02:12:43	Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xdc1acd…
04-11 02:10:27	will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5a216a…
04-11 02:10:05	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 39.0% in April?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x191124…
04-11 02:09:37	will trump post china or xi this week on truth social	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x030557…
04-11 02:09:03	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 13 2026	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4f539f…
04-10 16:31:29	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xe338af…
04-10 16:31:27	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x14f520…
04-10 16:31:21	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x587081…
04-10 16:31:17	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7ce6cc…
04-10 16:31:13	Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x1b1717…
04-10 16:31:11	chatgpt outage by april 17 183	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x8b1505…
04-10 16:31:09	Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xcafbc6…
04-10 16:31:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xd89eef…
04-10 16:31:03	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xa38332…
04-10 16:30:59	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x2562c6…
04-10 16:30:55	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xbc604d…
04-10 16:30:53	US bank failure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x83425f…
04-09 15:47:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa864b7…
04-09 15:44:43	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x216960…
04-09 15:44:15	chatgpt outage by april 17 183	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x061d7b…
04-09 15:44:07	chatgpt outage by april 10 446	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xd55739…
04-09 15:43:33	chatgpt outage by april 10 446	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb04875…
04-09 15:39:17	Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x61bcf3…
04-09 15:38:47	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc9916b…
04-09 15:38:11	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdf7e68…
04-09 15:36:13	US bank failure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4df7ce…
04-09 15:35:41	Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x37df10…
04-09 15:34:59	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0e57c4…
04-09 04:15:33	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x28a32c…
04-09 04:14:09	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe6e01e…
04-09 04:13:35	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc4a70b…