Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$5.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-19 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% 0% $-5

Politics

37% 100% +$6

Sports

10% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$356	561	499	+61	open	—	03-30 08:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$354	266	265	+1	open	—	04-21 13:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$234	685	684	+1	open	—	04-11 06:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	8	$224	283	283	+0	open	—	04-10 00:01
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$179	118	118	+0	open	—	03-25 17:50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$169	529	529	+0	open	—	04-25 10:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$151	325	325	+0	open	—	05-19 16:11
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	4	$150	964	964	+0	open	—	03-28 23:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$127	560	560	+0	open	—	04-05 03:24
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	4	$119	78	78	+0	open	—	04-17 22:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-07 04:12
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	7	$116	934	933	+1	open	—	04-22 12:36
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$108	416	416	+0	open	—	04-10 05:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$102	64	64	+0	open	—	03-25 19:53
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$97	230	230	+0	open	—	04-11 14:06
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$95	251	250	+1	open	—	03-26 14:07
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$88	392	391	+1	open	—	04-22 14:20
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	3	$84	287	268	+19	open	—	04-07 17:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$83	685	685	+0	open	—	03-24 19:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$74	77	41	+36	open	—	04-26 07:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$67	46	45	+1	open	—	04-09 19:52
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	4	$65	57	56	+1	No	+$6	04-24 22:19
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$65	90	90	+0	open	—	03-28 06:43
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$64	37	37	+0	open	—	04-16 11:53
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$64	59	58	+1	open	—	04-16 10:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$64	42	42	+0	open	—	04-21 16:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$64	46	46	+0	open	—	04-07 14:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$63	38	38	+0	open	—	04-15 00:44
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$63	59	59	+0	open	—	04-22 06:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$59	36	36	+0	open	—	04-20 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:11:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0xb2c64a…
04-27 08:42:22	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0ec63a…
04-26 18:34:22	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6f5cdd…
04-26 07:54:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xbd0843…
04-25 10:58:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	428	6¢	$26	0xca7125…
04-25 10:47:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	428	7¢	$30	0x7ccf8e…
04-24 22:19:52	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x7e8bf7…
04-24 21:35:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0x9ab37f…
04-24 21:35:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xbf86e4…
04-24 21:35:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x5ca0b8…
04-24 21:25:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x7b64d0…
04-24 20:56:20	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	SELL	27	64¢	$17	0x84f6f3…
04-24 20:13:46	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0xca0904…
04-24 15:59:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	34¢	$14	0xb378b4…
04-24 03:41:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x93c711…
04-23 23:31:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xa791c9…
04-22 14:20:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	30¢	$37	0x49bd0f…
04-22 12:36:26	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	435	3¢	$14	0xe8f7fa…
04-22 06:38:48	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	59	57¢	$34	0x5cc167…
04-22 00:02:16	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x6a13e7…
04-21 22:25:40	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	7¢	$30	0x2273cc…
04-21 21:20:46	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0x4cfbc6…
04-21 16:30:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	42	82¢	$34	0xed2515…
04-21 13:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xfb5cfe…
04-21 09:50:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xfe6b88…
04-21 04:09:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x585590…
04-21 00:32:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x5ca22f…
04-20 13:50:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	393	9¢	$35	0x256fe8…
04-20 13:38:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x9a9063…
04-20 13:36:28	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xa4739d…
04-20 13:36:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	9¢	$7	0x15b235…
04-20 10:31:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	41	72¢	$30	0x6e8617…
04-20 08:09:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x305de8…
04-20 00:00:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0x152e2f…
04-18 20:25:50	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	499	5¢	$27	0xdb26b3…
04-18 10:04:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x6d7e8c…
04-17 22:23:14	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x3c04da…
04-17 22:14:12	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x4ea856…
04-17 21:11:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe7cc74…
04-17 16:47:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xb96d3d…
04-17 16:46:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x12416b…
04-17 16:46:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xe93c50…
04-17 16:46:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xb46fa3…
04-17 16:44:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x9b155b…
04-17 16:44:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xf98c14…
04-17 16:42:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x82d4c9…
04-17 15:00:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	38	49¢	$19	0xdbf914…
04-17 08:22:04	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0x7483c5…
04-16 20:15:12	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0xba2682…
04-16 11:53:48	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	37	93¢	$34	0x556f54…
04-16 10:50:30	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	58	60¢	$35	0xcc1f22…
04-16 07:09:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0xd60f18…
04-15 18:16:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0x0b50fa…
04-15 01:27:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4e3ecb…
04-15 00:44:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	38	89¢	$34	0x9e8d72…
04-14 15:16:55	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0x7d74a1…
04-14 11:08:17	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	272	11¢	$30	0x14dad1…
04-14 05:24:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xa51d45…
04-14 04:53:27	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	45	66¢	$29	0xfd1c15…
04-14 01:08:01	atp rodrig coria 2026 04 13	Federico Coria	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x45e396…
04-12 04:48:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	499	2¢	$12	0x7551cc…
04-11 23:02:29	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x945d7a…
04-11 21:20:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	49	46¢	$23	0xa9be32…
04-11 14:06:31	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	230	29¢	$67	0xb50c65…
04-11 06:32:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	272	18¢	$49	0x951563…
04-10 17:01:19	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0x0126fd…
04-10 16:57:05	Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x37c334…
04-10 14:04:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	272	11¢	$30	0xdde433…
04-10 12:31:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	499	6¢	$30	0x81a1a3…
04-10 11:34:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	38	79¢	$30	0x0c8bbe…
04-10 08:57:27	Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x0b9ef9…
04-10 06:52:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	91	25¢	$23	0x3668be…
04-10 05:37:55	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	416	14¢	$58	0xd220f8…
04-10 03:29:27	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	198	11¢	$22	0xdf14e8…
04-10 00:02:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0x4fc8db…
04-10 00:01:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	88	30¢	$26	0x961ad1…
04-09 23:02:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0xafab7b…
04-09 19:52:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	45	83¢	$38	0x988d65…
04-09 17:45:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	199	15¢	$30	0x0bbb71…
04-09 08:45:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x6f3d53…
04-09 04:31:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xf11934…
04-09 02:52:59	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xc1c73b…
04-09 01:13:59	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xd4ea2a…
04-08 22:22:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xbbfb4a…
04-08 19:00:35	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x3fc6a4…
04-08 16:44:11	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	136	18¢	$24	0x51a8cf…
04-08 13:06:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x943851…
04-08 12:43:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x6eefc5…
04-08 12:43:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x3df3e8…
04-08 10:22:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0xcfcf67…
04-08 09:50:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	68	57¢	$39	0xb8e055…
04-08 08:43:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	38	77¢	$30	0xe98f57…
04-08 07:39:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xa84d7f…
04-08 00:47:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1e72c5…
04-08 00:15:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x4eb175…
04-07 23:36:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0xdc1e62…
04-07 22:30:27	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	214	34¢	$73	0x152adf…
04-07 17:36:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x9cf550…
04-07 17:36:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	SELL	260	20¢	$52	0x1d3b0c…
04-07 14:29:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	46	76¢	$35	0x3d19ae…