Selfish-Reactant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$149

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-17 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 17% $-18

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-04 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-03 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-07 02:14
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$6	61	0	+61	open	—	05-04 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	05-03 23:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$5	188	0	+188	open	—	05-09 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-14 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-06 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-07 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-04 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-04 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$3	22	0	+22	open	—	05-04 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$3	129	0	+129	open	—	05-03 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$3	27	0	+27	open	—	05-04 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$3	36	0	+36	open	—	05-04 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	05-04 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$2	9	0	+9	Down	$-2	05-06 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$2	43	0	+43	open	—	05-04 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	05-04 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$2	15	0	+15	open	—	05-03 07:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 04:17:35	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3dfebb…
05-17 03:42:17	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4d6a6d…
05-14 02:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xde202b…
05-09 01:55:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	188	3¢	$5	0xc8c8d2…
05-07 09:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0e2b13…
05-07 02:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x13101f…
05-06 09:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf2591d…
05-06 09:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9c5e39…
05-06 08:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x34bff8…
05-04 10:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcc2f2c…
05-04 10:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe79756…
05-04 10:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2e160e…
05-04 10:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf01e0b…
05-04 10:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6284da…
05-04 10:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfaa537…
05-04 10:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6ed5b5…
05-04 10:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x0bd8b6…
05-04 10:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x949b79…
05-04 10:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x22b795…
05-04 10:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8bd7e4…
05-04 09:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x862aa1…
05-04 09:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1919ae…
05-04 09:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x6227c5…
05-04 09:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x94fc83…
05-04 09:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x00200d…
05-04 09:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x38e64a…
05-04 08:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5921e7…
05-04 08:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x71be34…
05-04 08:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xf6919f…
05-04 08:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2c9723…
05-04 03:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfd5c3d…
05-04 03:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf923a2…
05-04 02:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x05faae…
05-04 02:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x276a0f…
05-04 02:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ec3a9…
05-04 01:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x6951d8…
05-04 01:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8bac74…
05-04 01:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x1d4daf…
05-04 01:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2f0b9c…
05-04 01:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3d118d…
05-03 23:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x20e8cb…
05-03 23:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x10c38f…
05-03 23:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x807eb0…
05-03 22:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd5c775…
05-03 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x79b20b…
05-03 08:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe2bf34…
05-03 08:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xca724b…
05-03 07:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7f5bc4…
05-03 07:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd99806…
05-03 07:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x876bea…
05-03 07:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb57c51…
05-03 07:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x86cef8…
05-03 07:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1d37ea…
05-03 07:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb33f62…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	42	$26.8K	1,337	05-21 04:13
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	40	$75.5K	6,028	05-14 02:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	40	$18.5K	5,455	05-14 02:19
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	40	$16.6K	2,909	05-14 02:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	40	$15.9K	4,665	05-14 02:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	40	$15.0K	2,608	05-14 02:19
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	40	$12.3K	506	05-14 02:16
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	40	$10.5K	5,138	05-14 02:18