Hungry-Upgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$2.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$91

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-04 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

90% — —

Other

7% 0% $-14

Politics

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	-49	$-34	84¢	$-41	$-7	05-31 08:13
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-33	$-24	80¢	$-27	$-3	06-04 18:29
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	-173	$-21	11¢	$-18	+$3	06-04 08:40
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-100	$-11	4¢	$-4	+$6	05-28 03:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$158	149	149	+0	open	—	05-23 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$156	191	115	+76	open	—	05-22 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	6	$152	152	152	+0	open	—	05-22 03:14
btc updown 5m 1780561800	5	$142	170	116	+54	open	—	06-04 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	7	$136	129	63	+66	open	—	05-23 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	5	$89	125	112	+13	open	—	05-23 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$84	108	38	+69	open	—	05-22 03:34
btc updown 5m 1780562400	4	$75	498	95	+403	open	—	06-04 08:44
btc updown 5m 1780563300	5	$73	79	79	+0	open	—	06-04 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$72	97	97	+0	open	—	05-23 05:34
btc updown 5m 1780563000	3	$62	273	73	+200	open	—	06-04 08:52
btc updown 5m 1780561200	2	$62	71	71	+0	open	—	06-04 08:24
btc updown 5m 1780550400	4	$57	75	23	+51	open	—	06-04 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$50	155	155	+0	open	—	05-26 08:19
btc updown 5m 1780564500	1	$48	172	0	+172	open	—	06-04 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$48	76	26	+50	open	—	04-25 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$44	32	32	+0	open	—	05-23 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	5	$41	63	48	+14	open	—	04-25 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$38	36	36	+0	open	—	05-26 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	5	$37	44	18	+26	open	—	05-22 02:54
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$35	31	31	+1	open	—	04-28 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$34	0	49	-49	open	—	05-31 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$34	40	12	+29	open	—	05-22 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	5	$34	55	21	+34	open	—	05-23 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	7	$34	50	44	+6	open	—	05-15 21:54
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$28	38	38	+0	open	—	05-22 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$27	29	29	+0	open	—	05-23 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$27	34	13	+21	open	—	05-23 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	05-26 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 19:30:39	btc updown 5m 1780601400	Up	BUY	83	28¢	$23	0x867eea…
06-04 19:26:45	btc updown 5m 1780601100	Up	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0xf43c3f…
06-04 19:26:28	btc updown 5m 1780601100	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xc7aef9…
06-04 18:46:43	btc updown 5m 1780598700	Up	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x968996…
06-04 18:46:43	btc updown 5m 1780598700	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x17240c…
06-04 18:45:54	btc updown 5m 1780598700	Up	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0xaa15d5…
06-04 18:36:25	btc updown 5m 1780598100	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x870cf7…
06-04 18:33:21	btc updown 5m 1780597800	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x71953e…
06-04 18:32:45	btc updown 5m 1780597800	Up	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xdb8cff…
06-04 18:32:13	btc updown 5m 1780597800	Up	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x19c17d…
06-04 18:29:40	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0xaca766…
06-04 09:15:34	btc updown 5m 1780564500	Up	BUY	172	28¢	$48	0xb3ad4c…
06-04 09:05:55	btc updown 5m 1780563900	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xe41cf0…
06-04 09:01:25	btc updown 5m 1780563600	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xbcbf90…
06-04 08:57:16	btc updown 5m 1780563300	Up	SELL	79	51¢	$40	0xb018a8…
06-04 08:57:06	btc updown 5m 1780563300	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xce82ce…
06-04 08:57:06	btc updown 5m 1780563300	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x5c5716…
06-04 08:57:06	btc updown 5m 1780563300	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x46e294…
06-04 08:57:06	btc updown 5m 1780563300	Up	BUY	18	42¢	$7	0x433685…
06-04 08:52:24	btc updown 5m 1780563000	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x54f40a…
06-04 08:51:58	btc updown 5m 1780563000	Down	SELL	73	32¢	$23	0x74e81a…
06-04 08:51:48	btc updown 5m 1780563000	Down	BUY	73	26¢	$19	0x88f401…
06-04 08:46:03	btc updown 5m 1780562700	Down	BUY	67	24¢	$16	0xd704b7…
06-04 08:44:01	btc updown 5m 1780562400	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xfdc8c3…
06-04 08:43:31	btc updown 5m 1780562400	Up	BUY	103	15¢	$15	0x134f56…
06-04 08:42:27	btc updown 5m 1780562400	Down	SELL	95	40¢	$38	0x56533f…
06-04 08:41:43	btc updown 5m 1780562400	Down	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0x5518ac…
06-04 08:40:30	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	173	12¢	$21	0xaef94a…
06-04 08:35:43	btc updown 5m 1780562100	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x783a4c…
06-04 08:34:52	btc updown 5m 1780561800	Down	BUY	54	87¢	$47	0x6e4615…
06-04 08:33:37	btc updown 5m 1780561800	Up	SELL	36	44¢	$16	0x0919f1…
06-04 08:33:27	btc updown 5m 1780561800	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1df376…
06-04 08:33:06	btc updown 5m 1780561800	Down	SELL	80	62¢	$49	0x62a11b…
06-04 08:30:36	btc updown 5m 1780561800	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x2dc0f5…
06-04 08:27:15	btc updown 5m 1780561500	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9a3183…
06-04 08:24:48	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Up	SELL	71	59¢	$42	0x297f11…
06-04 08:21:12	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x8866a8…
06-04 05:24:51	btc updown 5m 1780550400	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8bd390…
06-04 05:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780550400	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x725a9f…
06-04 05:20:30	btc updown 5m 1780550400	Down	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0x968640…
06-04 05:20:16	btc updown 5m 1780550400	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xbf4514…
05-31 08:13:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	49	70¢	$34	0x33fa22…
05-30 03:26:25	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0xa17f2a…
05-28 03:45:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x5f3995…
05-26 08:25:04	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x2dc9ec…
05-26 08:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	126	18¢	$23	0x775311…
05-26 08:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0x84260b…
05-26 08:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xe6214b…
05-26 08:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa9fbb2…
05-26 08:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x6b8e51…
05-26 08:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0xd8f838…
05-26 08:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe1322b…
05-26 08:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x628146…
05-26 08:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0xf66459…
05-23 21:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xc626a7…
05-23 21:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x782533…
05-23 20:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x727394…
05-23 20:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xf56f1c…
05-23 20:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0xc23d11…
05-23 20:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x55e790…
05-23 09:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x19d514…
05-23 09:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0xf01d80…
05-23 09:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	87	23¢	$20	0x1ad084…
05-23 09:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x7807ec…
05-23 09:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x641ca5…
05-23 09:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x37469c…
05-23 08:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0x49cb79…
05-23 08:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xf49f1b…
05-23 08:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xbf594d…
05-23 08:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	52¢	$14	0x4ef0bb…
05-23 08:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x8d5ee8…
05-23 08:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xf42071…
05-23 08:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbe50d0…
05-23 08:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x48a1c9…
05-23 08:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x50987b…
05-23 08:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1fef5a…
05-23 08:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0x9386d5…
05-23 08:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xebe308…
05-23 08:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x175d38…
05-23 08:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x16b5ee…
05-23 08:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x23e8ff…
05-23 05:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	62	69¢	$43	0x8ade1f…
05-23 05:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x5e002b…
05-23 05:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0x47b195…
05-23 05:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	34	23¢	$8	0xc3a348…
05-23 05:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x9b17c0…
05-23 05:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	57	35¢	$20	0x7b490e…
05-23 05:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x8751f6…
05-23 05:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	55	35¢	$19	0x5f0507…
05-23 05:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	33¢	$18	0xdc1a9a…
05-23 05:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xa5163a…
05-23 05:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x12bedb…
05-23 05:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf295a1…
05-23 05:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x2d5609…
05-23 05:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x25874a…
05-23 05:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x18d5a5…
05-23 05:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x0970c6…
05-22 03:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	69	91¢	$63	0xad1f25…
05-22 03:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	38	30¢	$12	0x0737d3…
05-22 03:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7d95ad…