Crisp-Contrail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$223

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.2%

Resolved

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-05 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 33% $-223

Politics

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	20	$130	175	198	-23	open	—	03-21 18:54
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	21	$99	184	184	+0	open	—	03-21 16:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$91	85	85	+0	open	—	04-08 06:57
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	16	$58	71	65	+6	open	—	03-13 13:13
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	12	$54	131	131	+0	open	—	03-20 14:55
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	13	$54	56	51	+5	open	—	03-15 22:53
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	12	$52	220	220	+0	open	—	03-20 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$40	88	0	+88	Up	$-40	05-07 23:56
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	7	$36	46	46	+0	open	—	03-21 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$35	51	0	+51	Up	$-25	05-10 10:08
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	10	$30	130	130	-0	open	—	03-21 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$30	63	0	+63	Up	$-30	05-10 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	Up	+$4	05-10 12:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$25	47	0	+47	Down	+$22	05-10 10:19
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	03-12 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	Up	$-20	05-10 10:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$20	37	0	+37	Down	+$17	05-10 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	Up	$-20	05-10 12:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$20	44	0	+44	Down	+$24	05-10 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$20	57	0	+57	Up	$-20	05-10 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$20	48	0	+48	Up	$-20	05-10 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$20	43	0	+43	Up	$-20	05-10 09:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$20	73	0	+73	Up	$-20	05-07 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$18	30	0	+30	Up	$-18	05-10 12:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$16	244	0	+244	Up	$-16	05-07 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	06-03 11:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$15	88	0	+88	Up	$-15	05-07 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$13	82	0	+82	Up	$-13	05-07 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$11	25	0	+25	Down	+$9	05-10 10:39
btc updown 5m 1780661400	3	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	06-05 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 12:10:00	btc updown 5m 1780661400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a2dea…
06-05 12:09:52	btc updown 5m 1780661400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb86eaa…
06-05 12:09:51	btc updown 5m 1780661400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xff56d8…
06-05 05:35:06	btc updown 5m 1780637700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x09e12c…
06-04 10:30:00	btc updown 5m 1780569000	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1ddfe5…
06-04 08:15:40	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaa076f…
06-04 08:10:30	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa0ffb3…
06-04 08:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780560300	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1c2702…
06-03 15:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x83b6e7…
06-03 14:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfee3aa…
06-03 14:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe7683c…
06-03 11:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd9d662…
06-03 11:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x22ffc5…
06-03 11:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb5c650…
06-02 15:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x129d44…
06-02 08:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x446f5a…
06-02 05:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3c3440…
05-31 07:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcae01e…
05-31 07:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5da84a…
05-30 03:54:34	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x9d676a…
05-10 12:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x890602…
05-10 12:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x8c61a2…
05-10 12:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7dfcb5…
05-10 12:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x00dab8…
05-10 12:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x182df4…
05-10 12:07:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0xd31fcb…
05-10 12:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5da4a8…
05-10 11:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xa5e3a3…
05-10 11:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x220840…
05-10 11:49:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf56378…
05-10 11:25:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdcd4ab…
05-10 11:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc1ad17…
05-10 11:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x2f4fa5…
05-10 11:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3747b0…
05-10 10:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x52ee4d…
05-10 10:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x204304…
05-10 10:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xb1274f…
05-10 10:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x84809f…
05-10 10:38:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeacdd9…
05-10 10:38:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8da86a…
05-10 10:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaa4470…
05-10 10:38:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe4269a…
05-10 10:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa8cdc3…
05-10 10:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe69125…
05-10 10:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x46d51f…
05-10 10:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xaa167d…
05-10 10:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x4913d3…
05-10 10:24:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0f7c4d…
05-10 10:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdd2953…
05-10 10:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xaa1b2e…
05-10 10:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8d9963…
05-10 10:11:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xa53470…
05-10 10:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb6510f…
05-10 10:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x77fab3…
05-10 10:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x34416c…
05-10 10:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa42220…
05-10 10:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe7fde8…
05-10 09:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4aad09…
05-10 09:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd59f93…
05-10 09:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x82c380…
05-10 09:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbbbaaf…
05-10 09:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x237ec7…
05-10 09:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc24b84…
05-10 09:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaad120…
05-10 09:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe6278f…
05-10 09:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0ba7ce…
05-10 09:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9cffdf…
05-10 09:28:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaa3f50…
05-10 09:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x823b76…
05-10 09:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xeb4e0f…
05-10 09:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc3c912…
05-10 09:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x885859…
05-08 00:06:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x10fcb1…
05-08 00:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x452de3…
05-08 00:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x53d483…
05-07 23:56:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xd8012d…
05-07 23:55:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x2569cf…
05-07 23:51:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x51a5ad…
05-07 23:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd43ad4…
05-07 23:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x52a6a4…
05-07 23:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc01195…
05-07 23:45:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8c99d1…
05-07 23:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x41d86c…
05-07 23:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x75038a…
05-07 23:42:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1b655a…
05-07 23:38:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa57d21…
05-07 23:37:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd6135b…
05-07 23:37:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xbd58a2…
05-07 23:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe6ae0c…
05-07 23:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9a2deb…
05-07 23:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x94458c…
05-07 23:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb14b81…
05-07 23:27:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6179e4…
05-07 23:27:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x69b70d…
05-07 23:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa1d130…
05-07 23:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc32920…
05-07 23:20:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xde2adc…
05-07 23:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3b0fe7…
05-07 23:11:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa0c9e4…
05-07 23:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x885c2b…