Spotted-Swordfight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

106

Trades

539

lifetime

Volume

$2.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-17 12:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 58% $-19

Other

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	8	$189	170	134	+36	open	—	05-04 06:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$87	59	59	+0	open	—	04-21 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$83	93	65	+28	open	—	05-04 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$80	74	48	+26	open	—	05-04 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$73	173	147	+26	open	—	05-04 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$60	36	36	+0	open	—	05-04 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$52	62	62	+0	open	—	05-04 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$45	78	78	+0	open	—	05-04 04:37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$37	58	58	+0	open	—	01-25 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$36	32	32	+0	open	—	05-04 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$36	0	42	-42	open	—	05-04 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$34	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 03:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	05-04 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$31	33	33	+0	open	—	05-04 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	5	$29	44	44	+0	Down	$-3	05-05 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$28	27	27	+0	open	—	05-04 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	6	$27	29	29	+0	open	—	05-03 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$26	36	19	+18	open	—	05-04 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	05-04 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	05-04 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-04 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$22	19	19	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	05-04 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$21	28	28	+0	open	—	05-04 16:31
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	01-19 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$21	26	26	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$21	30	30	+0	open	—	05-04 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	05-04 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 12:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e94d9…
05-17 12:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x9c4636…
05-17 12:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbc76d8…
05-17 12:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x3594bb…
05-17 12:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8533d2…
05-17 12:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xbcb2ef…
05-17 12:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa1fe50…
05-15 08:47:41	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xe706db…
05-14 11:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8ed674…
05-14 11:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x696b9f…
05-14 11:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbb5ad6…
05-14 11:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x7a3a9a…
05-14 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe7b138…
05-14 11:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x531be9…
05-14 11:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4071b7…
05-14 10:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x0d950a…
05-14 10:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xb38cb6…
05-14 10:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5a6d92…
05-14 10:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x7f273b…
05-14 10:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x62488f…
05-14 10:51:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcc4cd4…
05-14 10:50:58	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7adc62…
05-10 12:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x786382…
05-10 12:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdf35a6…
05-10 12:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x3afaeb…
05-10 12:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x174623…
05-10 12:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xa0e18e…
05-10 12:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x85c309…
05-10 12:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9aaa07…
05-10 12:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x683d3e…
05-10 12:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x5ebd0e…
05-10 12:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbad2c2…
05-10 12:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xce67c0…
05-10 12:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdc0cdc…
05-10 12:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0d7fc9…
05-10 12:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2a4368…
05-10 12:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0x38ef46…
05-10 12:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc95af7…
05-10 12:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x6dd398…
05-10 12:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x2456c8…
05-10 12:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1b5fbb…
05-10 12:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x85db88…
05-10 12:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6e22e4…
05-10 12:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbca788…
05-10 12:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf18622…
05-10 12:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb29844…
05-10 12:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcf5efc…
05-10 12:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xf886de…
05-10 12:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x69cda3…
05-10 12:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf814db…
05-10 12:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x4ad195…
05-10 12:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xc9c0d7…
05-10 12:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x00651d…
05-10 12:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x0d7f43…
05-10 12:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x60d5fc…
05-10 11:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xf5ceda…
05-10 11:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x57578b…
05-08 14:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x69fb6c…
05-08 14:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x56f8b0…
05-08 14:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xc5411f…
05-08 14:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xf0725d…
05-08 14:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9788b6…
05-08 14:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x0482ba…
05-08 14:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf9a1b4…
05-08 14:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x946664…
05-08 14:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xed4dab…
05-08 14:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x118f90…
05-08 14:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7237a1…
05-08 14:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd81fe0…
05-08 14:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x74b7fc…
05-08 14:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x3f63dd…
05-08 14:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd7c7d2…
05-08 14:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xe2281b…
05-08 14:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xf67a3c…
05-08 14:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x17d71d…
05-08 14:02:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xeaa3f2…
05-08 12:58:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfdda21…
05-08 12:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xffcbc0…
05-08 12:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xdc7964…
05-08 12:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x12c18b…
05-08 12:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb458a3…
05-08 12:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x148829…
05-08 12:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xee1821…
05-08 12:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0b655b…
05-08 12:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xde709a…
05-08 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x47975c…
05-08 12:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa8e849…
05-08 12:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x7d87aa…
05-08 12:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0xdc9e57…
05-08 12:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xb8dcb5…
05-08 12:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9fa019…
05-08 12:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x1eb343…
05-08 12:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd572f8…
05-08 12:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x2c0eff…
05-08 12:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x26757e…
05-08 12:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xa42741…
05-08 12:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd0edd0…
05-08 12:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x32271d…
05-08 12:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x013e64…
05-08 11:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x7ec846…