Murky-Gripper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$465

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$2.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-09 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% 0% $-465

Other

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$475	246	246	+0	open	—	04-22 16:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	12	$463	2,480	5	+2,475	Yes	$-454	05-09 14:21
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	8	$402	206	206	+0	open	—	03-26 22:36
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	7	$148	76	76	+0	open	—	03-24 06:49
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$118	30	89	-59	open	—	03-01 02:11
another us bank failure by march 31	3	$114	122	0	+122	open	—	03-31 14:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$99	99	99	+0	open	—	02-28 20:15
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	02-21 03:23
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	4	$87	44	44	+0	open	—	04-22 16:22
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 10:06
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	3	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	02-23 23:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	02-23 22:48
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	2	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	02-23 23:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$52	31	31	+0	open	—	02-14 15:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	02-08 15:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	02-23 22:48
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	02-23 22:48
ice shooter charged by march 31	2	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	02-23 23:06
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	03-01 02:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$35	134	0	+134	open	—	04-20 09:13
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	02-23 23:00
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	02-15 23:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	04-21 09:51
will trump praise allah again by april 15	4	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	04-07 20:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	6	$22	30	30	+0	open	—	04-10 22:39
will the us not strike iran by march 31 2026	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	02-23 22:48
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-23 22:48
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	02-16 13:30
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 10:07
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	1	$12	0	20	-20	open	—	02-23 22:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 14:21:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xd59fc8…
05-08 15:10:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xec1e42…
05-02 22:57:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x1f904b…
05-01 20:33:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x8b7597…
04-24 22:38:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$24	0x6f8518…
04-24 13:23:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x5a2a50…
04-24 10:07:02	Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x6b3015…
04-24 10:06:48	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x00eec7…
04-22 16:24:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	252	96¢	$243	0x84bff0…
04-22 16:22:50	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x5050aa…
04-22 16:22:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	216	99¢	$214	0x643e3b…
04-21 09:52:00	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x51f48c…
04-21 09:51:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0x0573b2…
04-20 21:50:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x2ac18f…
04-20 09:13:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xce4d8e…
04-20 09:12:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x0404cd…
04-11 00:33:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x2d36ec…
04-11 00:33:17	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xab1f3d…
04-10 22:39:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x1bf775…
04-10 22:39:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0xda62c7…
04-10 10:16:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x492d68…
04-10 10:13:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x1d0244…
04-10 10:12:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x3d05b2…
04-08 23:47:01	Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x0f8661…
04-08 23:43:07	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xa1020d…
04-08 21:39:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9370e3…
04-08 17:17:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0x9c47f1…
04-08 16:36:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2973f9…
04-08 00:05:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x07944c…
04-08 00:03:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf565ea…
04-08 00:01:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf5b33f…
04-07 22:16:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0xe90d27…
04-07 21:13:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xec308d…
04-07 20:41:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x13060b…
04-07 20:36:21	will trump praise allah again by april 15	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x76066e…
04-07 15:21:41	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xd2371e…
04-07 12:08:03	will trump praise allah again by april 15	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x3d3792…
04-07 12:04:21	will trump praise allah again by april 15	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xc9f617…
04-07 11:57:41	will trump praise allah again by april 15	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xaec21c…
04-01 02:57:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xb5571e…
04-01 00:22:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xe81f62…
03-31 14:13:07	another us bank failure by march 31	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x8b4659…
03-31 08:59:21	another us bank failure by march 31	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xfa0492…
03-26 22:36:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x145ec4…
03-26 09:45:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x36e6ec…
03-24 06:49:57	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe7a784…
03-24 06:49:49	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2af754…
03-24 06:49:35	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdb918e…
03-23 11:28:19	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x390ef0…
03-20 08:10:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$52	0x1684f0…
03-19 17:51:53	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xde731b…
03-18 16:55:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	108	94¢	$101	0xdee328…
03-18 00:03:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0x3c4038…
03-03 21:00:59	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x33a183…
03-01 02:11:51	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe9c359…
03-01 02:05:29	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x792676…
02-28 20:16:23	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x429aef…
02-28 20:15:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0x831ba6…
02-28 15:11:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	72	68¢	$49	0x8e299d…
02-28 15:07:19	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x910a7a…
02-23 23:06:32	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x18ff0d…
02-23 23:05:38	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0xe12fb5…
02-23 23:00:56	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x96d494…
02-23 23:00:36	will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x67bdfe…
02-23 23:00:26	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x5ccd74…
02-23 23:00:16	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x2750c2…
02-23 22:49:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	130	97¢	$125	0x2b1367…
02-23 22:49:04	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x8e21e7…
02-23 22:48:58	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x6c1df5…
02-23 22:48:44	will the us not strike iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x23f52b…
02-23 22:48:40	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x065f2d…
02-23 22:48:34	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0xc740cd…
02-23 22:48:32	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x6a280f…
02-23 22:43:18	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	17	93¢	$15	0x9233d0…
02-21 03:23:54	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5df357…
02-16 13:32:17	another us bank failure by february 28	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xb2b460…
02-16 13:30:51	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x0af606…
02-15 23:27:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x0eff45…
02-15 23:26:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe73cbf…
02-15 23:25:47	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x36d3b8…
02-15 23:23:55	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xfcdc3c…
02-15 23:23:47	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x69ed94…
02-15 23:23:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb631fe…
02-15 23:10:53	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x6d5088…
02-15 23:10:31	another us bank failure by march 31	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x49c7bd…
02-15 23:10:07	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x3e2090…
02-15 23:09:27	will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xf0e7f6…
02-15 23:09:11	will the us not strike iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x962dff…
02-15 23:08:05	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x5ffe59…
02-15 23:07:13	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xdc5f81…
02-15 23:06:47	will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0c6825…
02-15 23:05:17	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x633f22…
02-15 23:03:49	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xf85f71…
02-15 23:03:17	will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7ac66b…
02-15 23:02:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x3e3aa1…
02-15 23:01:43	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x633e51…
02-15 23:01:25	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x2baaaa…
02-14 15:28:45	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x1de168…
02-14 15:09:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0xc5bb5c…
02-09 19:49:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	31	83¢	$26	0xf4ecef…