Only-River — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$752

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-20 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 62% $-5

Other

5% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$50	35	35	+0	open	—	05-23 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$34	22	22	+0	open	—	05-30 17:28
btc updown 5m 1776640800	2	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 23:25
btc updown 5m 1776801900	2	$32	33	31	+2	open	—	04-21 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$27	27	27	+0	open	—	05-30 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	05-23 16:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	05-15 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$21	53	53	+0	open	—	05-30 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$21	28	28	+0	open	—	05-30 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$19	29	29	+0	open	—	05-30 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-23 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 16:07
btc updown 5m 1781384100	3	$13	17	15	+2	open	—	06-13 20:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$13	43	0	+43	open	—	05-15 11:29
btc updown 5m 1776635100	2	$13	12	11	+1	open	—	04-19 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-23 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-25 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	05-30 18:04
btc updown 5m 1781383200	2	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	06-13 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$12	16	16	+0	open	—	05-16 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	05-30 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$9	21	2	+19	open	—	04-28 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-25 18:44
btc updown 5m 1781384400	2	$8	15	15	+0	open	—	06-13 21:02
btc updown 5m 1776630000	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-19 20:25
btc updown 5m 1776635400	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 13:54
btc updown 5m 1781550300	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	06-15 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	05-25 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-25 18:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 20:56:47	btc updown 5m 1781988900	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbd3c0e…
06-20 20:54:08	btc updown 5m 1781988600	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfd1b84…
06-20 20:54:01	btc updown 5m 1781988600	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x966a73…
06-16 20:15:14	btc updown 5m 1781640900	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8adf14…
06-16 20:12:19	btc updown 5m 1781640600	Down	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x78203c…
06-16 20:11:05	btc updown 5m 1781640600	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x953f39…
06-16 20:03:59	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x0f731b…
06-15 19:09:07	btc updown 5m 1781550300	Down	SELL	11	14¢	$1	0x0222e4…
06-15 19:05:39	btc updown 5m 1781550300	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8e1d14…
06-15 19:00:49	btc updown 5m 1781550000	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0xeb6c9e…
06-15 18:53:39	btc updown 5m 1781549400	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x3c25ce…
06-15 18:48:28	btc updown 5m 1781549100	Down	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x744e9f…
06-15 18:47:37	btc updown 5m 1781549100	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdb67e7…
06-15 18:46:42	btc updown 5m 1781549100	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xdb0f78…
06-15 18:45:48	btc updown 5m 1781549100	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0xe8ddcb…
06-15 18:37:48	btc updown 5m 1781548500	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbf5a34…
06-15 18:29:55	btc updown 5m 1781547900	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x42ffa8…
06-15 18:27:46	btc updown 5m 1781547900	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2ef840…
06-14 19:11:18	btc updown 5m 1781464200	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x36cdba…
06-13 22:12:00	btc updown 5m 1781388600	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x54035f…
06-13 22:09:18	btc updown 5m 1781388300	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbaaae1…
06-13 22:07:40	btc updown 5m 1781388300	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x25e711…
06-13 22:05:31	btc updown 5m 1781388300	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc19a7b…
06-13 22:04:00	btc updown 5m 1781388000	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x329d9a…
06-13 22:01:52	btc updown 5m 1781388000	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x829bb6…
06-13 22:01:37	btc updown 5m 1781388000	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x78d157…
06-13 22:00:43	btc updown 5m 1781388000	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xabd8d0…
06-13 21:58:12	btc updown 5m 1781387700	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xfae551…
06-13 21:57:12	btc updown 5m 1781387700	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x283073…
06-13 21:53:21	btc updown 5m 1781387400	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xd955a2…
06-13 21:51:12	btc updown 5m 1781387400	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xb6f6aa…
06-13 21:18:42	btc updown 5m 1781385300	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x804b76…
06-13 21:13:22	btc updown 5m 1781385000	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6f4bb5…
06-13 21:13:03	btc updown 5m 1781385000	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x49e5fa…
06-13 21:12:46	btc updown 5m 1781385000	Up	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x055db3…
06-13 21:10:37	btc updown 5m 1781385000	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xa20da8…
06-13 21:05:58	btc updown 5m 1781384700	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd842f1…
06-13 21:02:43	btc updown 5m 1781384400	Down	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x4eb2f0…
06-13 21:01:57	btc updown 5m 1781384400	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x7d6c4a…
06-13 20:56:30	btc updown 5m 1781384100	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9b7f38…
06-13 20:55:43	btc updown 5m 1781384100	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x99d5a6…
06-13 20:55:28	btc updown 5m 1781384100	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x02d660…
06-13 20:53:18	btc updown 5m 1781383800	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xac4228…
06-13 20:52:19	btc updown 5m 1781383800	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xe92384…
06-13 20:52:13	btc updown 5m 1781383800	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5a134c…
06-13 20:51:16	btc updown 5m 1781383800	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xeac319…
06-13 20:50:40	btc updown 5m 1781383800	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x283a2f…
06-13 20:41:58	btc updown 5m 1781383200	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x57eb60…
06-13 20:41:13	btc updown 5m 1781383200	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc550ef…
06-13 20:36:55	btc updown 5m 1781382900	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xf4964c…
06-13 20:36:37	btc updown 5m 1781382900	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa93151…
06-13 20:26:22	btc updown 5m 1781382300	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x4c2e7b…
06-13 20:25:28	btc updown 5m 1781382300	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x11472f…
06-13 20:17:33	btc updown 5m 1781381700	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x46eefe…
06-13 20:16:49	btc updown 5m 1781381700	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x16deae…
06-13 16:43:39	btc updown 5m 1781368800	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x273d59…
06-13 16:40:42	btc updown 5m 1781368800	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xd9d719…
06-13 16:37:09	btc updown 5m 1781368500	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x0d657f…
06-13 16:36:30	btc updown 5m 1781368500	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xc0302e…
06-03 17:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd5bf92…
06-03 17:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x967a2d…
06-03 17:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe88e9d…
05-30 18:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xbac0a4…
05-30 18:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xdf2975…
05-30 18:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xae6d34…
05-30 17:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xef7083…
05-30 17:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xcb3dd3…
05-30 17:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x7a1510…
05-30 17:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaba021…
05-30 17:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	28	54¢	$15	0xf191e1…
05-30 17:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0xe59592…
05-30 17:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	53	13¢	$7	0x8f9608…
05-30 17:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	27¢	$14	0x03f7d2…
05-30 17:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xab0957…
05-30 17:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x5a71c5…
05-30 17:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x5f894b…
05-30 17:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xad964f…
05-30 16:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xacb73b…
05-30 16:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xceb311…
05-30 16:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	27	61¢	$17	0x8d762a…
05-30 16:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	39¢	$11	0x2d6aa5…
05-30 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29	40¢	$12	0x0d1209…
05-30 16:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0xc07adf…
05-30 16:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xdea1e3…
05-30 16:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd50a7a…
05-30 16:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x397f70…
05-30 16:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3b1dd4…
05-30 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x32084f…
05-30 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x150caa…
05-25 18:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa5427b…
05-25 18:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xf62610…
05-25 18:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x42fc97…
05-25 18:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x28daea…
05-25 18:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb03ece…
05-25 18:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xbc4c26…
05-25 18:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x0187d1…
05-25 18:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x8ded0f…
05-25 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x11e9ac…
05-25 17:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x90a41a…
05-25 17:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xdcf9f3…