Nervous-Guava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-13 18:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 39% $-27

Other

5% 0% $-10

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769409900	9	$195	242	209	+33	open	—	01-26 06:59
btc updown 15m 1769401800	8	$179	178	175	+3	open	—	01-26 04:41
btc updown 15m 1769402700	10	$172	171	169	+2	open	—	01-26 04:58
btc updown 15m 1769403600	7	$133	158	57	+101	open	—	01-26 05:13
btc updown 15m 1769413500	6	$89	102	101	+1	open	—	01-26 07:56
btc updown 15m 1769410800	5	$74	101	57	+43	open	—	01-26 07:12
btc updown 5m 1775692500	3	$71	101	18	+83	open	—	04-08 23:59
btc updown 15m 1769407200	7	$62	65	50	+14	open	—	01-26 06:12
btc updown 15m 1769406300	9	$50	59	52	+7	open	—	01-26 05:57
btc updown 15m 1769400000	4	$43	58	47	+11	open	—	01-26 04:07
btc updown 5m 1775959200	6	$41	0	71	-71	open	—	04-12 02:02
btc updown 5m 1775692200	4	$37	31	30	+1	open	—	04-08 23:54
btc updown 15m 1769418900	7	$36	39	22	+17	open	—	01-26 09:28
btc updown 15m 1769400900	3	$31	41	18	+23	open	—	01-26 04:18
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	4	$31	924	0	+924	open	—	04-13 19:28
btc updown 5m 1775957400	5	$31	0	51	-51	open	—	04-12 01:33
btc updown 5m 1775956500	4	$30	0	63	-63	open	—	04-12 01:17
btc updown 15m 1769405400	6	$28	30	29	+0	open	—	01-26 05:44
btc updown 15m 1769399100	4	$27	33	33	+0	open	—	01-26 03:58
cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	8	$25	68	66	+2	open	—	04-09 17:47
btc updown 15m 1769409000	7	$25	36	30	+6	open	—	01-26 06:42
btc updown 5m 1775956800	7	$24	8	45	-37	open	—	04-12 01:24
btc updown 5m 1775957100	5	$22	33	66	-33	open	—	04-12 01:29
btc updown 15m 1769419800	3	$22	41	31	+10	open	—	01-26 09:42
btc updown 15m 1769420700	3	$21	114	100	+14	open	—	01-26 09:53
btc updown 15m 1769411700	2	$21	23	22	+0	open	—	01-26 07:19
btc updown 15m 1769408100	2	$21	42	41	+1	open	—	01-26 06:26
btc updown 5m 1775958600	2	$19	0	34	-34	open	—	04-12 01:51
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	3	$18	52	16	+36	open	—	01-26 07:33
btc updown 5m 1775955900	6	$18	0	35	-35	open	—	04-12 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 18:51:45	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	92	10¢	$9	0xed9a55…
05-13 18:25:08	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x86d81e…
05-13 17:58:09	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x18ef01…
05-12 19:38:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xe34384…
05-12 19:19:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x94513c…
05-12 19:00:28	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe136b5…
05-12 15:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x7ebaad…
05-12 15:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x57994c…
05-12 03:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x4c8432…
05-12 03:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd30483…
05-12 03:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4a7f6c…
05-10 22:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf24044…
05-10 22:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x28ea94…
05-10 22:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x0b1b5b…
05-10 22:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb3c03b…
05-10 21:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x166ad9…
05-10 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4bd5d8…
05-10 21:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa4fe52…
05-10 21:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x661861…
05-10 21:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfb70bc…
05-10 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd48b8d…
05-10 21:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x7a61cf…
05-10 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	41¢	$8	0x5fee7f…
05-10 17:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6a3231…
05-10 17:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x46e11a…
05-10 17:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x114e91…
05-10 17:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x95b7cd…
05-10 16:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x64eef0…
05-10 16:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd4ddf8…
05-10 16:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xe47738…
05-10 16:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5052c3…
05-10 16:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1da04e…
05-10 16:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3ba142…
05-10 16:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0x44dc5e…
05-10 16:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe4163a…
05-10 16:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x46abf1…
05-10 16:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc59a58…
05-05 16:58:54	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x504a7f…
05-05 16:47:48	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0xf27553…
04-13 19:28:31	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	637	2¢	$11	0x366030…
04-12 22:21:33	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	86	15¢	$13	0xa78e9e…
04-12 22:00:47	btc updown 5m 1776031200	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa6c967…
04-12 21:59:03	btc updown 5m 1776030900	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe476e4…
04-12 21:55:57	btc updown 5m 1776030900	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x172134…
04-12 21:52:03	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x549e7f…
04-12 21:51:59	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x3a2dde…
04-12 21:51:57	will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xbe7518…
04-12 21:51:51	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xf4f509…
04-12 21:51:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xad9e6b…
04-12 21:51:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x966a1a…
04-12 21:49:05	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xadd1cf…
04-12 19:57:23	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0x5dcb12…
04-12 19:54:33	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	Yes	SELL	28	23¢	$7	0x4e6634…
04-12 03:11:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x29ca38…
04-12 03:11:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xf67403…
04-12 03:02:51	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x287adb…
04-12 03:02:37	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xd28b18…
04-12 03:01:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xb06d86…
04-12 03:01:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x37fd6d…
04-12 03:00:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xb488a1…
04-12 03:00:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb0e58a…
04-12 02:59:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xddeab2…
04-12 02:34:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x77c4f3…
04-12 02:29:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x14ee77…
04-12 02:28:13	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3b7bcb…
04-12 02:22:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x254a86…
04-12 02:16:43	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x555bc2…
04-12 02:16:03	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x284f58…
04-12 02:14:29	btc updown 5m 1775959800	Down	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xa27ec4…
04-12 02:10:41	btc updown 5m 1775959800	Up	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x8fe2d6…
04-12 02:06:31	btc updown 5m 1775959500	Up	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x35c08a…
04-12 02:05:57	btc updown 5m 1775959500	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$0	0xc595f3…
04-12 02:05:57	btc updown 5m 1775959500	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x5ae2e7…
04-12 02:05:55	btc updown 5m 1775959500	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xb676f5…
04-12 02:05:55	btc updown 5m 1775959500	Up	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xadbc9b…
04-12 02:05:55	btc updown 5m 1775959500	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x0006f8…
04-12 02:02:07	btc updown 5m 1775959200	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa264bb…
04-12 02:02:07	btc updown 5m 1775959200	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x55d2d6…
04-12 02:02:07	btc updown 5m 1775959200	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x2d5b13…
04-12 02:01:43	btc updown 5m 1775959200	Up	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x1fce40…
04-12 02:00:39	btc updown 5m 1775959200	Down	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0xc3deec…
04-12 02:00:31	btc updown 5m 1775959200	Up	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x077a00…
04-12 01:56:47	sol updown 5m 1775958900	Up	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x1528be…
04-12 01:56:03	sol updown 5m 1775958900	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xd7c432…
04-12 01:54:09	sol updown 5m 1775958600	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2855dc…
04-12 01:51:39	btc updown 5m 1775958600	Down	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x96c588…
04-12 01:51:23	btc updown 5m 1775958600	Up	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x519535…
04-12 01:47:17	btc updown 5m 1775958300	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5a0baa…
04-12 01:41:17	btc updown 5m 1775958000	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x1cf39a…
04-12 01:39:59	btc updown 15m 1775957400	Up	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xc007b7…
04-12 01:39:55	btc updown 15m 1775957400	Up	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xfbd090…
04-12 01:38:41	btc updown 15m 1775957400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6000d4…
04-12 01:37:37	btc updown 5m 1775957700	Up	SELL	93	1¢	$1	0x2f773c…
04-12 01:37:23	btc updown 5m 1775957700	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x177bb3…
04-12 01:33:31	btc updown 5m 1775957400	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xe560b3…
04-12 01:32:55	btc updown 5m 1775957400	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x905d1d…
04-12 01:32:55	btc updown 5m 1775957400	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0e9f64…
04-12 01:32:25	btc updown 5m 1775957400	Up	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xb0aac0…
04-12 01:30:29	btc updown 5m 1775957400	Down	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x0a1756…
04-12 01:29:53	btc updown 5m 1775957100	Up	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x863094…