Confused-Engineering — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$698

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-12 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$63	126	117	+9	Up	+$16	05-10 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$49	51	12	+39	Down	$-8	05-12 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	8	$48	60	49	+11	Down	$-0	05-11 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$43	32	32	+0	Up	+$7	05-12 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	9	$37	36	15	+20	Up	+$3	05-12 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$35	31	13	+19	Down	$-0	05-11 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$34	32	18	+15	Down	+$6	05-12 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$31	24	15	+9	Up	$-5	05-12 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$31	24	15	+9	Down	+$4	05-11 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$30	30	10	+19	Down	$-5	05-11 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$27	28	0	+28	Down	+$1	05-11 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	5	$26	26	8	+18	Down	$-1	05-11 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$24	36	0	+36	Up	+$12	05-12 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$19	21	11	+10	Down	$-4	05-11 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$18	23	0	+23	Up	+$5	05-11 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	05-12 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$15	13	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-10 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$12	16	0	+16	Up	$-12	05-12 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-11 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-11 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-11 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$9	54	4	+50	Up	$-3	05-11 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$9	20	0	+20	Down	$-9	05-12 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$9	75	0	+75	Up	$-9	05-12 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	05-11 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-11 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	$-7	05-11 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$6	38	0	+38	Down	$-6	05-11 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-10 09:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 12:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x832f80…
05-12 12:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xb0e3de…
05-12 12:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1fb258…
05-12 12:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xfd081e…
05-12 12:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0x6ac48d…
05-12 12:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x7b16f4…
05-12 12:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x7a6465…
05-12 12:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8ea582…
05-12 12:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x173f4b…
05-12 12:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x80fbf4…
05-12 12:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xba819a…
05-12 12:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xfbca57…
05-12 12:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x1da706…
05-12 12:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xbf6974…
05-12 12:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xf685c5…
05-12 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xfcbea7…
05-12 11:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xdca8d4…
05-12 11:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xb6f8c2…
05-12 11:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	70¢	$14	0x60ea30…
05-12 11:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xe43460…
05-12 11:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x0a8f25…
05-12 11:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x2b4999…
05-12 11:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc31e86…
05-12 11:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x0b5c37…
05-12 11:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x630873…
05-12 11:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa69872…
05-12 11:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xba9d72…
05-12 11:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x84afaf…
05-12 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa9fd2c…
05-12 00:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x7dbb08…
05-12 00:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x679ed1…
05-12 00:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x2f1d03…
05-12 00:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x6616ea…
05-12 00:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x5ee349…
05-12 00:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf97269…
05-12 00:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x0702d2…
05-12 00:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x134b7e…
05-11 13:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x6d9d61…
05-11 13:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xa05ee0…
05-11 13:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x9db811…
05-11 12:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa1b54a…
05-11 12:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x432f0a…
05-11 12:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	26	41¢	$11	0xa2a309…
05-11 12:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x1f8601…
05-11 12:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0xf3227e…
05-11 12:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xdd1c54…
05-11 12:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xeeff8b…
05-11 12:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x411cf4…
05-11 12:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x8b6a08…
05-11 12:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xa6b9f0…
05-11 12:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5169ef…
05-11 12:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa14b1f…
05-11 12:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x952da7…
05-11 12:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0x5f401a…
05-11 12:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc21bb4…
05-11 12:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x5d6204…
05-11 12:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x008f07…
05-11 12:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x86ee9e…
05-11 12:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xd6dd7e…
05-11 12:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x9e948e…
05-11 12:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4f3b49…
05-11 12:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0x3d1216…
05-11 12:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc3bea7…
05-11 12:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb2ae3c…
05-11 12:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x96f765…
05-11 12:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xf2f818…
05-11 12:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x12f730…
05-11 12:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1df838…
05-11 12:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x0d5e8d…
05-11 12:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb2b573…
05-11 12:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x7be32d…
05-11 12:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xffd171…
05-11 12:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe45d86…
05-11 12:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x8b37fe…
05-11 12:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x586496…
05-11 12:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x3daf26…
05-11 12:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe3e0ab…
05-11 11:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$7	0x719927…
05-11 00:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2c8043…
05-11 00:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x935f76…
05-10 13:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x3a2efd…
05-10 13:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	117	30¢	$35	0x80c9ab…
05-10 13:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	117	21¢	$25	0xf8911b…
05-10 10:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x6a8208…
05-10 09:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6513e6…
05-10 09:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6bfa09…
05-10 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfaf25d…
05-10 09:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbc2fa9…
05-10 09:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa27ddb…
05-10 09:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0218d0…
05-10 09:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcf1f87…
05-10 09:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x74bd80…
05-10 09:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x8d19d1…
05-10 09:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x46acbe…
05-10 08:59:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x04f7ed…
05-10 08:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6b75f9…