Live-Effect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$34

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-08 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 40% $-11

Other

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$2	64	0	+64	Down	$-2	05-07 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$2	26	0	+26	Down	$-2	05-08 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$2	50	0	+50	Up	$-2	05-08 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-07 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Down	$-1	05-08 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-07 09:01
Oilers vs. Ducks	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-08 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-08 05:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-07 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-07 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-07 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 03:35
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-26?	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	04-27 02:26
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 05:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 06:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xae8f26…
05-08 05:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x58b195…
05-08 05:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xd40069…
05-08 05:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x53be97…
05-08 05:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa1b744…
05-08 05:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8eb5c7…
05-08 05:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x500128…
05-08 05:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xad1312…
05-08 03:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4902c9…
05-08 03:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x1018fc…
05-08 03:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc77ae3…
05-08 03:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9ea337…
05-08 03:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb957da…
05-07 18:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xae6297…
05-07 18:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcef288…
05-07 09:46:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4f6f4a…
05-07 09:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8aaf70…
05-07 09:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x26cf06…
05-07 09:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x9d5eef…
05-07 09:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0e0b23…
05-07 09:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x15bb62…
05-07 09:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x67fbd1…
05-07 09:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xd49532…
05-07 09:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe59409…
05-07 09:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf67f42…
05-07 09:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6a1504…
05-07 09:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x868f4b…
05-07 09:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x8ca0ca…
05-07 09:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4ca53e…
05-07 09:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x37d00b…
05-07 08:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x35808d…
05-07 08:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4b11e8…
04-27 02:28:22	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xadb192…
04-27 02:26:26	Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xeb3926…