Decisive-Escalator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 04-27 13:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-1

Sports

30% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$706	354	354	+0	open	—	04-03 09:51
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	6	$686	344	344	+0	No	$-0	04-03 01:32
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$516	258	258	+0	open	—	04-17 19:07
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$510	255	255	+0	open	—	03-18 03:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$494	248	248	+0	open	—	04-16 04:27
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	5	$310	155	155	+0	open	—	03-02 08:44
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$278	139	139	+0	open	—	03-25 12:41
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$276	138	138	+0	open	—	03-28 12:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$270	135	135	+0	open	—	03-15 08:55
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$264	132	132	+0	open	—	04-03 16:59
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$264	133	133	+0	open	—	04-19 05:23
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$258	130	130	+0	No	$-0	04-02 10:31
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$258	129	129	+0	open	—	03-27 01:40
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	$-0	03-19 09:34
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$238	119	119	+0	open	—	04-17 15:32
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	03-11 18:25
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$230	115	115	+0	open	—	03-25 00:28
will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	04-04 00:01
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$224	112	112	+0	No	$-0	04-15 22:52
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	03-28 08:18
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	04-22 07:17
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$212	106	106	+0	open	—	03-17 02:52
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$212	106	106	+0	open	—	03-14 20:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$212	106	106	+0	open	—	04-10 15:35
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	04-08 20:42
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	03-21 11:18
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	03-13 15:23
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	2	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	03-01 11:09
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	03-23 17:50
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$194	97	97	+0	open	—	03-16 02:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 13:14:48	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xdc2a3e…
04-27 08:14:48	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xab1153…
04-22 07:17:26	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x871988…
04-22 06:02:24	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x605848…
04-19 05:23:32	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0x9c7134…
04-18 22:38:14	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x365253…
04-17 19:07:58	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x1048a2…
04-17 15:32:48	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xf322f7…
04-17 15:32:32	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xd8d931…
04-17 11:45:32	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x3c80e4…
04-16 04:27:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x25880f…
04-15 22:52:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x9667a1…
04-15 22:52:00	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x73ac22…
04-15 17:38:10	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xf5e5d1…
04-15 15:21:14	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x3b6f2b…
04-15 08:07:06	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x01260c…
04-10 15:35:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xd53948…
04-10 10:47:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x102cb8…
04-08 20:42:33	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xf4de2c…
04-08 19:12:09	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x27347c…
04-04 00:01:53	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xa3d512…
04-03 21:15:03	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xec3133…
04-03 21:13:41	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x6a32bc…
04-03 16:59:27	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xb991fa…
04-03 13:17:21	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x0dcacb…
04-03 09:51:51	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x3538fa…
04-03 05:26:21	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x922375…
04-03 01:32:53	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$135	0x2eef74…
04-02 22:01:45	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xe34f72…
04-02 10:31:55	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$129	0x0aca09…
04-02 06:30:57	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xab36a9…
03-30 19:25:21	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x430cce…
03-30 19:25:01	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0x8a7016…
03-30 08:34:06	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x5e5ed9…
03-29 00:16:04	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xf49d84…
03-28 20:24:48	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x300b4b…
03-28 12:14:41	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0xc78745…
03-28 08:18:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x74916f…
03-28 08:18:11	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x703f92…
03-28 00:26:07	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x6a11fe…
03-27 13:51:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$128	0xb20eba…
03-27 07:45:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0x76148a…
03-27 01:40:33	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x467d9f…
03-26 19:35:01	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x210f6a…
03-25 12:41:45	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xd4631e…
03-25 06:36:33	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x6cea15…
03-25 00:28:25	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xebe268…
03-24 18:18:07	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x43e00f…
03-24 18:17:47	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x659b07…
03-23 23:58:03	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xed2efd…
03-23 17:50:39	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb083c9…
03-23 17:50:21	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x513b93…
03-23 13:07:01	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x362cc6…
03-23 05:42:39	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x652943…
03-21 23:10:31	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9ca430…
03-21 17:26:43	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd27ba1…
03-21 11:18:25	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xbff860…
03-21 05:11:09	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xe31436…
03-19 09:34:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x488e73…
03-19 03:29:55	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xdb9232…
03-18 21:23:35	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x7985e3…
03-18 15:19:39	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xee6740…
03-18 03:14:57	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x418dcf…
03-17 21:04:21	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x6110ff…
03-17 02:52:17	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xf95cdb…
03-16 20:52:59	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x4cf835…
03-16 02:47:43	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x66ca26…
03-15 20:50:49	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xaf6e7b…
03-15 08:55:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xe508b8…
03-15 02:53:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x41fefe…
03-14 20:57:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x33a9a2…
03-14 15:03:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x5e7587…
03-13 15:23:53	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xe859aa…
03-13 07:05:51	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xde9b71…
03-12 00:25:07	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x30b511…
03-11 18:25:47	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xb1de2a…
03-11 18:25:27	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xffbaa4…
03-11 12:27:07	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x2a547f…
03-08 21:13:01	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Kings	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0xf25845…
03-08 21:12:29	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0xc51f7e…
03-06 05:03:11	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xe8e2f6…
03-05 23:06:25	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x13f9d5…
03-05 14:55:21	nba nop sac 2026 03 05	Pelicans	BUY	31	66¢	$20	0xaef806…
03-05 14:54:49	nba chi phx 2026 03 05	Suns	BUY	54	83¢	$45	0x2054e5…
03-05 14:54:15	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Nets	BUY	44	14¢	$6	0x11a341…
03-04 22:30:05	nba cha bos 2026 03 04	Hornets	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x53408e…
03-04 22:29:37	nba por mem 2026 03 04	Grizzlies	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0x05be88…
03-04 22:29:05	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	Jazz	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x5be747…
03-03 20:16:29	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xb6e115…
03-03 20:15:55	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Mavericks	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x98ae18…
03-03 11:35:27	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0xb81e97…
03-03 11:34:53	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Cavaliers	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xee27e0…
03-03 11:34:31	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x4ccb4c…
03-02 20:16:07	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xaafb52…
03-02 08:44:51	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xed1b2f…
03-02 08:41:07	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x19a921…
03-02 06:28:21	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x662639…
03-01 11:09:43	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xf1b28f…
02-28 23:27:41	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x571397…
02-28 23:27:17	Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xc16653…