Physical-Orator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-08 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-0

Sports

27% 100% +$6

Crypto

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$454	227	227	+0	No	$-0	04-24 06:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	04-16 04:13
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	04-25 11:20
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	1	$93	95	0	+95	open	—	02-15 05:57
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$87	93	0	+93	open	—	01-06 13:50
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-07 19:51
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	05-20 19:52
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-26 12:24
nhl bos buf 2026 03 25	1	$38	58	0	+58	open	—	03-25 08:40
nhl ott nyr 2026 03 23	1	$33	50	0	+50	open	—	03-23 09:22
nba bos atl 2026 03 30	1	$27	54	0	+54	open	—	03-30 07:32
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-08 05:08
cbb tenst iowast 2026 03 20 spread home 24pt5	1	$22	44	0	+44	open	—	03-19 08:58
nhl tor stl 2026 03 28	1	$19	34	0	+34	open	—	03-28 05:45
mlb phi tor 2026 06 08	1	$17	27	0	+27	open	—	06-08 03:28
nba por sas 2026 04 08	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	04-08 07:30
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-07 07:07
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	1	$9	19	0	+19	open	—	05-14 05:12
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$8	14	0	+14	Canadiens	+$6	05-10 08:04
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-08 04:13
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-27 13:34
nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-08 05:04
nba por den 2026 04 06	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	04-06 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 03:28:58	mlb phi tor 2026 06 08	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0xc18dfe…
05-26 12:24:24	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa66a63…
05-20 19:52:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x6c2a5d…
05-14 05:12:25	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xa7283d…
05-10 08:04:54	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x78c1c0…
04-25 11:20:46	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x77fd56…
04-25 10:40:28	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x0e6bb6…
04-24 06:39:26	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x5c34d5…
04-24 05:41:44	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x1da283…
04-16 04:13:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$123	0x1d6b31…
04-16 03:22:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x2f76e6…
04-14 10:30:27	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x42e0f3…
04-14 09:16:11	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x53e60e…
04-08 07:30:25	nba por sas 2026 04 08	Spurs	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x90f8aa…
04-08 05:04:53	nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	Maple Leafs	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x48db4c…
04-08 04:13:07	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6aee9f…
04-07 07:07:57	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x8aafd5…
04-06 05:27:47	nba por den 2026 04 06	Trail Blazers	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xaff3b3…
03-30 07:32:34	nba bos atl 2026 03 30	Hawks	BUY	54	51¢	$27	0xbbdf76…
03-28 05:45:33	nhl tor stl 2026 03 28	Blues	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0x1f7e89…
03-25 08:40:19	nhl bos buf 2026 03 25	Sabres	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0x190ce6…
03-23 09:22:33	nhl ott nyr 2026 03 23	Senators	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0xa8aa35…
03-19 08:58:35	cbb tenst iowast 2026 03 20 spread home 24pt5	Iowa State Cyclones	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x039ad3…
03-08 05:08:47	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa9e6db…
03-07 19:51:03	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x27453c…
02-27 13:34:01	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b9f13…
02-15 05:57:45	will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x1797ca…
01-06 13:50:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	93	93¢	$87	0x147391…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	16	$56.1K	843	06-09 01:11
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	14	$21.3K	816	05-15 01:19
Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294	13	$235.4K	3,244	06-08 23:10
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	12	$252.3K	1,041	06-09 01:25
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	12	$229.3K	5,749	04-21 23:39
(anonymous) 0x9d94…017d	12	$77.9K	696	06-09 01:38
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	12	$35.3K	658	05-15 00:05
Idealistic-Hull 0xa877…2e20	12	$3.23K	33	06-08 17:36