Well-Lit-Judge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

146

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-15 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 14% +$29

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$96	104	52	+52	open	—	05-14 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$53	110	0	+110	open	—	05-14 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	05-14 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$29	61	0	+61	open	—	05-14 20:45
bitcoin up or down on january 9	1	$26	50	0	+50	open	—	01-08 20:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 2	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-01 12:33
bitcoin up or down on january 3	2	$24	30	0	+30	open	—	01-03 14:16
bitcoin up or down on january 5	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	01-05 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 16:04
bitcoin up or down on january 2	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	01-02 09:48
bitcoin up or down on january 8	1	$13	26	0	+26	open	—	01-07 17:00
por cds por 2026 01 02 por	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	01-04 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-01 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 10:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xd4b083…
05-15 10:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xe3a943…
05-15 10:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xb0448d…
05-15 10:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x81c849…
05-15 10:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4bfdeb…
05-15 10:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x40c06f…
05-15 10:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x16e1a3…
05-15 10:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1258d8…
05-15 10:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x1623e4…
05-15 10:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0xf07ca5…
05-15 10:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7cba49…
05-15 10:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xd6fe34…
05-15 10:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xf8be86…
05-15 10:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x60dfe7…
05-15 10:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x5e2767…
05-15 10:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x341471…
05-15 10:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xbb176c…
05-15 10:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xb0f68b…
05-15 10:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x9ffc6c…
05-15 10:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x1b7340…
05-15 10:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x6aee63…
05-15 10:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf4f6c4…
05-15 10:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x89bb98…
05-15 10:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x6dc27f…
05-15 10:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x2c4feb…
05-15 10:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x09cf80…
05-15 10:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x044ad9…
05-15 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xadc7e1…
05-15 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xa65cf6…
05-15 09:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x38deee…
05-15 09:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe1ede7…
05-15 09:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x5cd91d…
05-15 09:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x8b054d…
05-15 09:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x3d9d2a…
05-15 09:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xe5516f…
05-15 09:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcfed23…
05-15 09:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x817c88…
05-15 09:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x27cf45…
05-15 09:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x5bd2d4…
05-15 09:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4aa020…
05-15 09:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x338e06…
05-15 09:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xfaa074…
05-15 09:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x60e88d…
05-15 09:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xdf8408…
05-15 09:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xcf727f…
05-15 09:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x3f46cc…
05-15 09:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x5d0102…
05-15 09:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x2d56ba…
05-15 09:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x69e1ec…
05-15 09:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xaa4e46…
05-15 09:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x556c82…
05-15 09:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xaf91fe…
05-15 09:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd5fb6a…
05-15 08:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaa3663…
05-15 08:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6d0963…
05-15 08:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x314aeb…
05-14 21:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x4b972b…
05-14 21:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xf2b20d…
05-14 21:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xe325fd…
05-14 21:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x3cb049…
05-14 21:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x24a585…
05-14 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xefca39…
05-14 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xca4e7b…
05-14 21:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf6ad0c…
05-14 21:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xa9a2d3…
05-14 21:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x72706b…
05-14 21:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x687097…
05-14 21:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x40e153…
05-14 21:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x320c90…
05-14 21:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x18f4d3…
05-14 21:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xdd7228…
05-14 21:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x9d7683…
05-14 21:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x83b8c8…
05-14 21:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x3e5fe8…
05-14 21:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xd5a08e…
05-14 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xc3fa3b…
05-14 20:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbed9b6…
05-14 20:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0x3c9e8a…
05-14 20:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x36cc07…
05-14 20:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	48¢	$26	0x0f1fa3…
05-14 20:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xc61838…
05-14 20:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x99be07…
05-14 20:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0xc69974…
05-14 20:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x307c2b…
05-14 20:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x451725…
05-14 20:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	55	47¢	$26	0xd3411b…
05-14 20:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x214a01…
05-14 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xdf259f…
05-14 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xdccde1…
05-14 20:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc91841…
05-14 20:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa62a95…
05-14 20:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3edc47…
05-14 20:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x454bcb…
05-14 20:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x10f400…
05-14 20:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x6544b0…
05-14 20:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x904108…
05-14 20:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x653f29…
05-14 20:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x233959…
05-14 20:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc9b66e…
05-14 20:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xd5c241…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	289	$932	1,692	05-15 10:33
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	286	$76.7K	10,180	05-15 10:33
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	286	$74.5K	19,047	05-15 10:33
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	286	$68.0K	17,202	05-15 10:33
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	286	$67.9K	12,167	05-15 10:33
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	286	$67.3K	8,706	05-15 10:33
(anonymous) 0x25bf…ddfa	286	$59.2K	30,128	05-15 10:33
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	286	$50.8K	8,258	05-15 10:32