Round-Daddy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$253

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.3%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-15 04:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

52% 33% $-253

Sports

30% — —

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$1.7K	1,061	1,061	+0	open	—	04-02 23:44
will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	5	$1.4K	6,947	6,946	+0	open	—	03-16 00:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	2	$1.3K	816	816	+0	open	—	06-12 20:32
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	3	$1.3K	1,327	781	+546	open	—	06-04 00:54
will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$1000	1,158	0	+1,158	open	—	02-08 22:20
will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$800	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	02-08 23:29
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	2	$590	492	492	+0	open	—	05-03 01:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$533	127,000	0	+127,000	open	—	06-04 00:01
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$518	892	0	+892	open	—	02-08 22:49
val th1 navi1 2026 04 03	5	$515	990	741	+249	open	—	04-03 18:05
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$488	625	0	+625	open	—	03-25 19:50
val pr1 g21 2026 03 13	3	$433	899	0	+899	open	—	03-13 21:22
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$360	751	0	+751	open	—	06-06 03:08
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$311	519	0	+519	open	—	05-28 22:54
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	2	$306	206	206	+0	open	—	05-20 15:24
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	1	$300	492	0	+492	open	—	05-22 21:57
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	1	$300	390	0	+390	open	—	05-29 17:03
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$300	414	0	+414	open	—	06-15 04:43
val qor nrga 2026 03 26	1	$250	398	0	+398	open	—	03-26 18:27
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	1	$250	352	0	+352	open	—	06-01 17:41
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$225	125	125	+0	open	—	05-20 14:05
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$213	474	0	+474	open	—	05-31 00:16
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	1	$200	250	0	+250	open	—	05-21 18:54
nhl wsh nj 2026 04 02	2	$200	457	0	+457	open	—	04-02 23:51
val m80 adg 2026 04 14	1	$200	318	0	+318	open	—	04-14 15:26
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann	1	$200	328	0	+328	open	—	05-20 19:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	1	$200	1,429	0	+1,429	open	—	03-24 00:36
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	1	$200	299	0	+299	open	—	06-01 17:46
val c9 nv2 2026 04 17	1	$200	296	0	+296	open	—	04-16 06:01
Valorant: Joblife vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	2	$175	381	0	+381	Joblife	$-175	05-12 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 04:43:36	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	414	72¢	$300	0xc95a41…
06-15 03:06:42	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	326	23¢	$75	0x5535b6…
06-15 01:59:22	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x6bb8fd…
06-14 03:09:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	288	52¢	$150	0xf7cf11…
06-12 20:32:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	816	100¢	$815	0x92537d…
06-11 06:36:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	816	61¢	$496	0xfd8a06…
06-08 19:15:19	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	NRG	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xae260f…
06-08 19:12:52	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	NRG	BUY	155	49¢	$76	0xab463e…
06-08 17:54:49	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08 game1	NRG	BUY	280	18¢	$50	0xb1f372…
06-08 15:38:10	val vit fut1 2026 06 08 game2	Team Vitality	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x07c734…
06-06 16:01:24	val xlg nrg 2026 06 06	XLG Gaming	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xfa3722…
06-06 03:08:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	167	42¢	$70	0x0119a8…
06-06 03:08:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	184	38¢	$70	0x82178f…
06-06 01:58:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0xfe3631…
06-04 00:54:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	546	55¢	$300	0x46a42a…
06-04 00:01:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37,500	0¢	$75	0x532aa1…
06-03 23:15:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$100	0xa14144…
06-03 23:13:25	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	SELL	781	63¢	$492	0x64a68a…
06-03 16:28:13	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	235	57¢	$134	0x3751a4…
06-03 14:00:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33,333	1¢	$200	0x45f90b…
06-03 13:36:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,667	1¢	$100	0x3d056e…
06-03 01:18:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,500	0¢	$58	0x86c735…
06-03 00:48:12	Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	FlyQuest	BUY	177	42¢	$75	0xba7d13…
06-02 22:39:06	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	781	64¢	$500	0x48f9d3…
06-02 15:39:31	Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x1d8efd…
06-02 12:40:17	Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumich	Genaro Alberto Olivieri	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x815c4a…
06-01 17:53:38	Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Michele Ribecai	Michele Ribecai	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x8ea751…
06-01 17:47:24	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	226	53¢	$120	0xe29240…
06-01 17:46:59	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x52412d…
06-01 17:46:22	Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs	Misa Esports	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x3c6790…
06-01 17:41:02	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	KOLESIE	BUY	352	71¢	$250	0x389f35…
06-01 06:51:52	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group A	Donstu Esports	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x53c70e…
06-01 06:50:37	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x776172…
05-31 15:52:35	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	221	52¢	$115	0x375abb…
05-31 15:49:01	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	Nemiga	BUY	259	29¢	$75	0x37f6c7…
05-31 15:15:23	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	BUY	485	10¢	$50	0xe4c683…
05-31 13:28:09	Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In	RUSTEC	BUY	256	47¢	$120	0x1bbfcc…
05-31 05:54:15	LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Top Esports	BUY	167	45¢	$75	0x2cccc7…
05-31 05:53:30	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x68cccf…
05-31 05:52:41	Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	Nova Esports	BUY	258	60¢	$155	0xb28c9a…
05-31 05:28:12	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner	Leviatán Esports	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x1df42b…
05-31 05:04:31	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner	Leviatán Esports	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x1e4ff3…
05-31 05:03:48	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	Leviatán Esports	BUY	180	10¢	$18	0x31b67f…
05-31 00:16:00	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	474	45¢	$213	0xc8ff6d…
05-29 17:03:55	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xcf2492…
05-28 22:54:59	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	519	60¢	$311	0x9bc755…
05-27 01:10:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0x453d12…
05-26 20:39:40	Valorant: SaD Esports vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	YFP Gaming	BUY	264	53¢	$140	0xc20bc1…
05-26 20:39:14	Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Alliance Guardians	BUY	220	18¢	$40	0xcbfef8…
05-26 20:37:41	Valorant: Chivas Esports vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season	Chivas Esports	BUY	264	28¢	$75	0xa74519…
05-25 15:37:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	37¢	$13	0xfccd4a…
05-25 01:31:30	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	Leviatán Esports	BUY	260	48¢	$125	0x0f0b5f…
05-25 01:20:40	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x7876be…
05-23 22:19:00	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x95860f…
05-23 03:50:30	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x751cda…
05-23 03:49:51	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xccf83d…
05-23 02:33:53	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x7baafa…
05-23 01:34:37	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x3ea828…
05-23 00:56:47	Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner	100 Thieves	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xb90b21…
05-22 21:57:37	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	Leviatán Esports	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0x5ee4df…
05-22 13:27:13	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x4c4dbd…
05-22 06:54:49	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	110,000	0¢	$110	0x6cf638…
05-21 18:54:15	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xca4ada…
05-21 18:22:03	Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group D	Bushido Wildcats	BUY	205	34¢	$70	0x5ba099…
05-20 19:59:38	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x56e962…
05-20 19:51:50	Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Luciano Darderi	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xfa763b…
05-20 17:23:53	LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	TLN Pirates	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x61a32f…
05-20 15:46:36	Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	MIBR Academy	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xcd0329…
05-20 15:24:39	Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	GenOne	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0xc6ff04…
05-20 15:15:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	21¢	$52	0xa5c29b…
05-20 14:07:02	Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	GenOne	BUY	206	48¢	$100	0x76210e…
05-20 14:05:57	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x822550…
05-20 00:44:59	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x8ab90c…
05-19 15:14:36	Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group D	Barça eSports	BUY	167	48¢	$80	0x60feb4…
05-19 14:49:04	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	212	33¢	$70	0xaa5626…
05-19 00:14:43	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	272	31¢	$84	0xa53faf…
05-18 20:22:08	Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1	VARREL	BUY	85	40¢	$34	0x7062e4…
05-18 20:16:46	Valorant: University War vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season	ShindeN	BUY	250	56¢	$140	0xe8bc1e…
05-17 23:21:09	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x08b44e…
05-12 17:29:42	Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Barça eSports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage	Karmine Corp GC	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x2d5131…
05-12 17:21:37	Valorant: Joblife vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	WIP Esports	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0x78b959…
05-12 17:01:14	Rainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs G2 Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Virtus.pro	BUY	130	38¢	$50	0x3cd542…
05-12 09:23:15	Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbd78f1…
05-12 07:47:09	Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1	ZETA DIVISION	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xdba9cb…
05-12 07:46:29	Valorant: VARREL vs Team Secret (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1	VARREL	SELL	65	49¢	$32	0x88647c…
05-12 07:46:09	Valorant: Joblife vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	WIP Esports	BUY	183	41¢	$75	0xa2f24c…
05-12 07:44:21	Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x000074…
05-12 07:43:28	Valorant: VARREL vs Team Secret (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1	VARREL	BUY	65	50¢	$32	0x27b9e2…
05-12 07:42:27	Valorant: Team RA'AD vs BAAM Esports (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Pulse Stage North Africa Playoffs	Team RA'AD	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xddbe30…
05-10 22:37:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x11773b…
05-09 22:42:17	Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage	Karmine Corp GC	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xa47a77…
05-09 22:40:00	Valorant: Otakar Esports vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs	Otakar Esports	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xefb180…
05-09 22:37:28	Valorant: REBORN vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs	Beşiktaş Esports	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xad8114…
05-07 04:34:49	Valorant: REBORN vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs	Beşiktaş Esports	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xf69236…
05-06 14:02:56	Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage	Gentle Mates GC	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x65367c…
05-05 02:02:10	Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	M80	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7de5e8…
05-04 19:38:46	Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage	GIANTX GC	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0x745f45…
05-04 08:15:48	Valorant: Ramboot Club vs KPI Gaming (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs	Ramboot Club	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x776883…
05-04 00:54:38	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	BUY	107	6¢	$7	0x1981b7…
05-04 00:51:22	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x8d805c…