Medium-Noodles — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$273

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-23 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

94% — —

Other

4% 0% $-1

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$4.3K	2,211	2,211	+0	open	—	06-07 11:36
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$4.1K	2,318	2,318	+0	open	—	06-13 13:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.6K	2,063	0	+2,063	open	—	05-27 09:52
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	1	$1.4K	1,742	0	+1,742	open	—	06-13 13:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$1.3K	1,462	0	+1,462	open	—	05-19 06:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$1.1K	1,146	0	+1,146	open	—	05-16 13:39
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 30 2026	1	$92	97	0	+97	open	—	01-30 07:05
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	1	$65	75	0	+75	open	—	04-24 13:47
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	2	$59	33	33	+0	open	—	01-30 07:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$59	33	33	+0	open	—	05-16 13:40
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	03-08 03:28
Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	2	$50	26	26	+0	No	+$0	04-20 10:00
will josh safdie win best director at the 98th academy awards	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	02-22 13:23
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	1	$46	53	0	+53	open	—	06-23 13:12
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	02-25 09:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-03 02:14
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$42	0	43	-43	open	—	01-02 02:57
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	03-31 08:19
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	03-31 08:19
will hyperliquid reach 44 in february	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	02-25 09:07
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$33	43	0	+43	open	—	05-16 13:42
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-31 08:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	04-03 02:15
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$22	31	0	+31	open	—	06-23 13:12
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$21	24	0	+24	open	—	01-23 02:05
us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 7	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-08 03:29
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	02-10 07:54
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$20	0	22	-22	open	—	01-13 10:53
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 74forhigher	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-31 08:23
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-08 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 13:12:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	Yes	BUY	53	87¢	$46	0x720560…
06-23 13:12:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x8503fc…
06-13 13:36:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	1,742	82¢	$1,428	0xf01c87…
06-13 13:36:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	2,318	85¢	$1,970	0x51716d…
06-07 11:36:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,318	94¢	$2,179	0xef465d…
06-07 11:36:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	2,211	99¢	$2,197	0xa6c034…
06-02 01:18:59	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x939d17…
06-02 01:18:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,211	95¢	$2,100	0xb15220…
05-27 09:53:05	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xf9d4f3…
05-27 09:52:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,063	79¢	$1,630	0x779ace…
05-19 07:00:15	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x8fb76a…
05-19 06:59:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1,462	92¢	$1,350	0x1c4cf7…
05-16 13:42:23	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x1f018b…
05-16 13:40:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0x6a53f0…
05-16 13:39:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1,146	96¢	$1,100	0x6c94fb…
05-15 01:19:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x5ef6d0…
05-03 02:19:28	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	325	0¢	$1	0x66d904…
04-27 11:12:58	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	18¢	$11	0x6569d9…
04-24 13:47:28	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	No	BUY	75	87¢	$65	0x53fa68…
04-24 13:47:06	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0xfed12f…
04-20 10:01:32	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xdfa179…
04-20 10:00:42	Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x3cb3d3…
04-11 06:59:43	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x9d7c72…
04-11 06:59:27	will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x35c07e…
04-03 02:15:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x0a3d11…
04-03 02:14:59	Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x32c96f…
04-03 02:14:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x43fbcf…
03-31 08:23:53	highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x365478…
03-31 08:20:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xffeefa…
03-31 08:19:57	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x9cc281…
03-31 08:19:35	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1fbecb…
03-20 10:19:25	highest temperature in toronto on march 20 2026 5c	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xa5bc25…
03-20 10:18:57	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xab223f…
03-20 10:18:11	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe13141…
03-11 06:38:13	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x16bd6e…
03-11 06:37:59	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x06d8b8…
03-08 03:29:51	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x26d4be…
03-08 03:29:43	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xd32ff4…
03-08 03:29:21	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 7	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x3d8a8a…
03-08 03:28:51	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x62920b…
02-25 09:07:30	will hyperliquid reach 44 in february	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa1c9f1…
02-25 09:07:24	will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x28e4f6…
02-22 13:25:28	will hyperliquid reach 44 in february	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x6a48e9…
02-22 13:25:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x5475b2…
02-22 13:24:00	will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x35ec4d…
02-22 13:23:32	will josh safdie win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1c52f0…
02-10 07:54:45	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x100e01…
02-06 12:41:51	will josh safdie win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6471af…
01-30 07:05:34	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0xf8db25…
01-30 07:05:10	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x992ece…
01-23 02:05:22	Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0xf8b873…
01-23 02:04:40	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0x4558ac…
01-13 10:53:59	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	No	SELL	22	88¢	$20	0x3a060d…
01-04 07:39:07	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xb29050…
01-02 02:57:15	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x616f38…