Thick-Spike — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$2.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-13 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% $-1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$65	56	56	+0	open	—	05-01 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$61	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	05-03 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-03 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$41	27	27	+0	open	—	05-03 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$37	29	29	+0	open	—	05-01 11:17
btc updown 5m 1781381400	3	$36	19	40	-21	open	—	06-13 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	04-26 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$31	21	21	+0	Down	+$11	05-10 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$26	33	0	+33	open	—	04-25 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-26 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$25	40	24	+16	open	—	04-25 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$25	16	15	+0	open	—	04-26 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-01 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	05-01 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$22	28	13	+15	Up	$-18	05-10 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 20:52:37	btc updown 5m 1781383800	Up	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xb117fc…
06-13 20:47:10	btc updown 5m 1781383500	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x8a3859…
06-13 20:37:46	btc updown 5m 1781382900	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x4db469…
06-13 20:23:55	btc updown 5m 1781382000	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc04493…
06-13 20:15:48	btc updown 5m 1781381400	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x682020…
06-13 20:13:27	btc updown 5m 1781381400	Up	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x355d03…
06-13 20:11:49	btc updown 5m 1781381400	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x470070…
06-13 20:09:16	btc updown 5m 1781381100	Down	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xaee2e4…
06-13 20:07:55	btc updown 5m 1781381100	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x2774b9…
06-13 19:53:52	btc updown 5m 1781380200	Up	SELL	22	16¢	$4	0xd5a7a8…
06-13 19:50:25	btc updown 5m 1781380200	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2ea7f0…
06-13 19:48:58	btc updown 5m 1781379900	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb055dc…
06-13 19:36:40	btc updown 5m 1781379300	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x042892…
06-13 19:08:55	btc updown 5m 1781377500	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x907be8…
05-12 18:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0xa48de9…
05-12 18:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5adda6…
05-12 18:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x266e6a…
05-12 18:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7b5942…
05-12 18:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x298946…
05-12 18:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf5b806…
05-12 18:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x96d720…
05-12 18:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2f78a3…
05-12 18:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1ac0d6…
05-12 18:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x75f0d7…
05-12 18:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe6277a…
05-12 18:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xd7262a…
05-12 18:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x0be6f3…
05-12 17:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x99be86…
05-12 17:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x61bc6a…
05-12 17:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xb9195c…
05-12 17:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1f6845…
05-12 17:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9d21de…
05-12 17:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x146329…
05-12 17:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x5b9fec…
05-12 17:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x59e68a…
05-12 17:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5c8d3f…
05-12 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x278cbe…
05-12 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xec57bd…
05-12 16:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5de0dd…
05-12 16:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x59d11f…
05-12 16:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5b3fce…
05-12 16:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x972165…
05-12 16:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x677d2f…
05-12 16:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1432eb…
05-12 16:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf625f0…
05-10 12:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4f1484…
05-10 12:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4a7d80…
05-10 12:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x7519be…
05-10 12:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x64a31f…
05-10 12:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9ed03c…
05-10 12:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xbecb68…
05-10 12:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c5da2…
05-10 12:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xdf8bc0…
05-10 08:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x3a9eba…
05-10 08:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8489d8…
05-10 08:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4300b7…
05-10 08:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf66abc…
05-10 08:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe77318…
05-10 08:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x046756…
05-10 07:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x55ecd7…
05-10 07:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x37e7dc…
05-10 07:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xec9ffc…
05-10 07:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x97595c…
05-10 07:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8a30da…
05-10 07:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xbed23a…
05-10 07:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x80297a…
05-10 07:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x864b6b…
05-10 07:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x7c1d64…
05-10 07:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x295d59…
05-10 06:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2758a8…
05-10 06:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa2da7d…
05-10 06:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0xc372b3…
05-10 06:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x02dd00…
05-10 06:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd1ec2d…
05-10 06:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x854fd6…
05-10 06:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa9a531…
05-10 06:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x330b8e…
05-10 06:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x95516e…
05-10 06:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x724e58…
05-07 15:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x370ba3…
05-07 15:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1a26d0…
05-07 15:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8cfcc0…
05-07 15:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x26076d…
05-07 15:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x0bbf64…
05-07 15:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1a121b…
05-07 14:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5a7188…
05-07 14:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5ce9e2…
05-07 14:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3ba63e…
05-07 14:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x84a854…
05-06 05:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd356ba…
05-06 05:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c6817…
05-06 05:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6ca289…
05-06 05:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3d7ce3…
05-06 05:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x8db86b…
05-06 05:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x572fb3…
05-06 05:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe3f49f…
05-05 17:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xae79c3…
05-05 17:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x21a95d…
05-05 17:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd4f620…
05-05 17:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x023e73…