Present-Cocktail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved

Trades

338

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-15 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-77

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	11	$189	148	97	+51	Up	$-7	05-05 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	7	$151	204	86	+119	Down	+$19	05-04 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	11	$120	160	84	+76	Down	$-30	05-05 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$116	152	63	+89	open	—	05-04 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	6	$111	235	200	+35	Up	$-9	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$84	76	76	+0	Up	+$16	05-05 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	9	$83	68	64	+4	Down	+$6	05-05 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$70	490	0	+490	Down	$-70	05-05 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$63	72	72	+0	open	—	05-04 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	9	$52	103	103	+0	Down	+$34	05-05 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	12	$41	49	29	+20	Down	$-1	05-05 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$39	50	20	+31	open	—	05-04 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$39	32	20	+12	Down	$-1	05-05 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	6	$31	91	30	+61	Up	$-3	05-05 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$30	482	0	+482	open	—	05-04 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	12	$25	40	31	+9	Up	+$3	05-05 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	8	$25	313	0	+313	Up	$-25	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$24	76	0	+76	open	—	05-04 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	11	$23	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$22	26	25	+1	open	—	05-04 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$18	17	17	+0	Up	$-2	05-05 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	10	$18	21	21	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$17	19	8	+11	Up	$-3	05-05 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	7	$17	33	0	+33	open	—	05-04 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	5	$15	13	10	+3	Up	$-1	05-05 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$13	205	0	+205	open	—	05-04 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$11	14	14	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 16:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 10:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe406ac…
05-15 10:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8ab7cf…
05-15 10:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1b665a…
05-15 10:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x74b934…
05-15 10:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdca81c…
05-15 10:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xde85c4…
05-15 10:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6b9311…
05-15 10:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x70fed4…
05-15 10:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5a9deb…
05-15 10:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf736ff…
05-13 10:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf97f8c…
05-13 10:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd9c596…
05-13 10:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x949b30…
05-13 10:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x35a85f…
05-13 07:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x068858…
05-13 07:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5b3ab4…
05-13 07:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2ed555…
05-13 07:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x188e70…
05-13 07:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xad6316…
05-13 07:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x126bc1…
05-13 07:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd6e6ea…
05-13 07:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9ff0e3…
05-13 07:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9ea9d8…
05-13 07:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf776c…
05-13 07:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x796ce7…
05-13 07:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5ea885…
05-13 07:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x05db70…
05-12 10:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x50ac19…
05-11 21:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x78b74e…
05-11 21:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x488a53…
05-11 21:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x21a972…
05-11 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x583d61…
05-11 20:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6921f1…
05-11 17:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe75e70…
05-11 17:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6b6677…
05-11 17:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x83e831…
05-11 13:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x0e8694…
05-11 13:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x280f90…
05-11 13:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x68900a…
05-11 13:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x265955…
05-11 11:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb46bec…
05-11 10:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe3e252…
05-11 10:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1fe8fb…
05-11 10:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7fc13a…
05-11 08:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x34a7a6…
05-11 08:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb51498…
05-11 07:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9d71e4…
05-10 20:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x99a6f5…
05-10 18:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7e0de9…
05-10 18:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xac2056…
05-09 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb254ec…
05-09 10:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x913321…
05-09 10:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd06fc8…
05-09 08:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb5f41f…
05-09 08:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x2d1f20…
05-09 08:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x02b675…
05-09 07:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0feee2…
05-05 18:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xfcdc8e…
05-05 18:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x8e0053…
05-05 18:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x88b4bc…
05-05 18:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7bcd22…
05-05 18:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xa6f036…
05-05 17:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x10f96a…
05-05 17:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8544f5…
05-05 17:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc51dce…
05-05 17:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xab52e5…
05-05 17:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2bd025…
05-05 17:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xa6cbed…
05-05 17:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa2337b…
05-05 17:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0x682fad…
05-05 17:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9e0440…
05-05 17:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0x0fc648…
05-05 17:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf8f2d8…
05-05 17:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x408b01…
05-05 17:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x73989e…
05-05 17:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf8d09f…
05-05 17:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x958829…
05-05 17:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x69c66c…
05-05 17:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xb289a6…
05-05 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x909c9c…
05-05 17:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x232995…
05-05 17:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6b13b1…
05-05 17:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8a82f7…
05-05 17:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x69ae63…
05-05 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5617af…
05-05 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x303829…
05-05 17:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x74a92b…
05-05 17:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8b5e51…
05-05 17:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x4b5f9a…
05-05 16:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x63bea3…
05-05 16:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x1526b2…
05-05 16:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe7e18a…
05-05 16:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x791706…
05-05 16:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe54b56…
05-05 16:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5d821e…
05-05 16:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x412e24…
05-05 16:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x2f173f…
05-05 16:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x447196…
05-05 16:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x2391f5…
05-05 16:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfed177…