Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,872

lifetime

Volume

$4.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$49

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-09 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

64% 75% +$2

Politics

34% 0% $-4

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 577 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	+46	$45	98¢	$45	+$0	06-09 08:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+5	$3	57¢	$3	+$0	06-08 18:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+1	$1	82¢	$1	+$0	05-30 23:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	69	$467	1,483	1,483	+0	open	—	04-08 11:09
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	349	$349	807	775	+32	open	—	04-10 13:40
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	242	$254	206	184	+22	open	—	04-10 09:06
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	241	$216	256	207	+49	open	—	04-10 11:31
trump out as president by march 31	23	$152	77	77	+0	open	—	03-09 08:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	3	$150	76	76	+0	open	—	03-11 05:06
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	25	$133	101	90	+11	open	—	03-11 05:06
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 40 64	101	$120	182	148	+33	open	—	04-12 07:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	28	$106	229	52	+176	open	—	03-02 14:05
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	111	$93	110	48	+62	open	—	04-10 07:02
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	63	$91	60	50	+10	open	—	04-11 14:13
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 220 239	60	$87	226	181	+45	open	—	04-12 00:46
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	103	$78	1,162	970	+192	open	—	04-09 20:08
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	71	$76	125	102	+23	open	—	04-11 13:47
highest temperature in atlanta on march 14 2026 68 69f	38	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	03-13 23:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	39	$73	61	15	+46	open	—	06-09 08:48
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	15	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	03-28 07:46
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 90 114	41	$68	58	38	+19	open	—	04-08 15:20
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 200 219	51	$55	385	335	+50	open	—	04-12 00:47
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	7	$54	85	81	+4	open	—	04-14 10:19
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	24	$54	34	22	+12	open	—	04-25 20:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$44	45	4	+42	open	—	03-01 00:31
will iran strike israel on march 6	40	$41	23	22	+1	open	—	03-10 04:27
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	24	$38	26	13	+13	open	—	03-04 16:40
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	34	$34	35	0	+34	Yes	+$1	04-02 16:24
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	8	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	03-02 05:55
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 65 89	31	$33	38	32	+6	open	—	04-12 07:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	19	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-11 05:06
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	55	$32	46	43	+3	open	—	04-11 13:47
cwbb nd uconn 2026 03 29	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	03-29 16:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:48:33	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac68e4…
06-09 03:46:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x25c11a…
06-09 02:58:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x82d727…
06-08 18:55:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x9db8fe…
06-08 18:19:33	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x2151ca…
06-03 12:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x799b24…
06-03 11:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc93f0f…
06-03 11:19:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf7bde2…
06-03 10:15:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3d3bd4…
06-03 10:14:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc6418c…
06-03 00:21:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2419c9…
06-02 22:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf86850…
06-02 22:37:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7bc530…
06-02 22:28:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9edcec…
06-02 22:19:11	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x44bc57…
06-02 22:13:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8de69c…
06-02 22:09:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbf1aae…
06-02 22:09:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2195fe…
06-02 21:35:35	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x24ef63…
06-02 21:27:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc3195f…
06-02 21:24:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb75469…
06-02 21:22:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5d8a02…
06-02 21:21:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3f9890…
06-02 21:21:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5fd33a…
06-02 21:20:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xeadde1…
06-02 21:20:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xff7c7d…
06-02 21:20:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x26369c…
06-02 20:20:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x83813f…
06-02 20:11:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb4b6e2…
06-02 19:23:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9d8c34…
06-01 17:26:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x04d7f5…
06-01 17:08:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd9a459…
06-01 14:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x865384…
06-01 08:42:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x61530b…
06-01 06:52:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc19b98…
06-01 03:21:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd8da4e…
06-01 03:21:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc3e52b…
06-01 03:21:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0d4cf8…
06-01 02:27:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x92b273…
05-31 22:02:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xebe413…
05-31 22:02:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0f868e…
05-31 16:26:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcc9e11…
05-31 16:17:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6144cc…
05-31 07:33:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73d8e7…
05-31 04:30:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdeb6cf…
05-31 04:29:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x91677b…
05-31 04:27:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xba311a…
05-31 04:04:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcc7730…
05-31 03:36:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5691fa…
05-31 03:36:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0927e3…
05-31 03:28:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5b4c36…
05-31 03:14:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x629ddd…
05-31 03:10:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc0d653…
05-31 03:08:35	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe82a6f…
05-30 23:59:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x61be0f…
05-30 23:33:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x43d8cc…
05-30 23:27:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xceedbe…
05-30 23:27:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1b9e04…
05-29 15:01:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb2b5d7…
05-29 15:01:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfe0d32…
05-29 15:01:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x111eda…
05-29 15:00:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbe7a71…
05-29 02:27:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd6ece0…
05-29 02:25:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4ff688…
05-29 02:24:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed09cd…
05-28 14:19:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x477414…
05-27 12:27:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5bc684…
05-27 12:25:10	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb1c093…
05-27 12:24:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbdb051…
05-27 12:23:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3ae5af…
05-26 02:53:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x882fb6…
05-26 02:52:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2420f6…
05-26 02:48:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb5d820…
05-26 02:47:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc783bd…
05-26 02:47:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x16ebc9…
05-19 20:46:06	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd45d92…
05-19 11:00:58	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x5c076b…
05-19 05:26:57	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xda811f…
05-19 00:28:41	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf74366…
05-18 21:19:55	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf007cd…
05-18 21:19:48	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x533ef6…
05-18 21:19:25	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x133057…
05-18 03:02:23	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x376bcc…
05-17 09:14:44	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4260ce…
05-17 03:26:43	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb0699e…
05-16 13:51:32	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x239fdc…
05-16 13:50:38	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xd5c3da…
05-15 20:28:08	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf8385f…
05-15 19:49:03	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc4ad04…
05-15 18:25:34	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x98569a…
05-15 01:13:32	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49f7b5…
05-14 20:17:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xc4a8e3…
05-14 02:17:31	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x03681c…
05-13 16:43:59	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x869337…
05-13 11:02:24	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7d7772…
05-12 17:17:53	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd424a7…
05-12 16:32:47	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8b1d3d…
05-12 15:55:43	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xef7f18…
05-12 09:35:55	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa95d46…
05-12 05:46:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf45379…