Realistic-Marmalade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$209

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	7	$33	22	22	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$29	27	27	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	8	$19	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$17	18	11	+7	Down	+$4	05-06 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$12	19	9	+11	Up	$-4	05-07 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	5	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-07 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-07 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-07 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-06 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-06 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-06 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-08 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-06 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Down	$-1	05-06 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-06 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 04:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xc12bf0…
05-14 04:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x621a8e…
05-14 04:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x9db849…
05-14 04:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb86009…
05-14 04:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x02b5b7…
05-08 20:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xec1de1…
05-08 20:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe111c6…
05-08 20:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4bfa01…
05-07 18:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x40aac6…
05-07 18:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x6ab4f7…
05-07 18:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb856cc…
05-07 18:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb9fdf7…
05-07 18:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xd50bd0…
05-07 18:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x61d9c1…
05-07 18:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x35fa13…
05-07 18:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x39fb29…
05-07 18:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb631a7…
05-07 18:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe21f97…
05-07 18:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7e2dae…
05-07 18:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf80904…
05-07 18:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$9	0xa919e0…
05-07 18:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x20c44e…
05-07 18:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0882b4…
05-07 18:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xccda3b…
05-07 18:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6b1854…
05-07 18:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9efb68…
05-07 18:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1603d5…
05-07 18:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x547d13…
05-07 18:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4eed38…
05-07 18:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5bb329…
05-07 18:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x680e86…
05-06 22:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xbfa8e3…
05-06 22:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x967c92…
05-06 22:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x230cc5…
05-06 22:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xab386e…
05-06 22:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7f8b6e…
05-06 22:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x165185…
05-06 22:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdae094…
05-06 22:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6cfc17…
05-06 22:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb7c193…
05-06 22:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9ec1f4…
05-06 22:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x3ab0d6…
05-06 22:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x065f5a…
05-06 22:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe9981a…
05-06 22:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x87d9f2…
05-06 22:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x280030…
05-06 22:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xaca1ab…
05-06 22:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x23e4c1…
05-06 22:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x85ccaa…
05-06 22:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7f37cf…
05-06 22:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x277518…
05-06 22:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0xd3e215…
05-06 22:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x764b7c…
05-06 22:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaebdd6…
05-06 22:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x150b5a…
05-06 22:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x27eba7…
05-06 22:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x92946b…
05-06 21:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x794e31…
05-06 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x87a1c6…
05-06 21:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc40f94…
05-06 05:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7284c8…
05-06 05:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc9df24…
05-06 05:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf8052e…
05-06 05:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x49d10a…
05-06 04:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb4d7e4…