Favorable-Circle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$720

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-06 17:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% $-58

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$92	400	400	+0	Down	$-8	05-13 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$79	695	51	+644	Down	$-21	05-13 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$78	65	40	+26	Down	$-22	05-13 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$58	50	50	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$57	36	36	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$57	71	71	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$53	49	49	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 15:16
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	5	$24	267	158	+109	Up	$-16	05-13 04:55
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	3	$20	59	59	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	06-01 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$14	33	33	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-14 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 06:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 06:09
dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	06-06 17:36
lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	06-06 10:51
btc updown 5m 1780742400	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	06-06 10:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-13 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-01 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	05-14 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-13 12:16
btc updown 5m 1780742100	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-06 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	95	0	+95	Up	$-5	05-13 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	36	0	+36	Down	$-5	05-13 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 17:36:16	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	Aurora	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x71fba1…
06-06 10:51:52	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x1f82b0…
06-06 10:40:36	btc updown 5m 1780742400	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc5d012…
06-06 10:36:09	btc updown 5m 1780742100	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x23f179…
06-01 19:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7b0ae0…
06-01 19:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0xeeaa29…
06-01 19:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x70d83e…
06-01 19:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xae2b87…
06-01 19:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x077bf6…
06-01 19:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3722a5…
06-01 19:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x8e824b…
06-01 19:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb79a91…
06-01 19:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbcbd06…
05-14 10:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe21c45…
05-14 10:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe649bb…
05-14 09:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xbbc2f8…
05-14 09:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfec0eb…
05-14 06:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x9384e7…
05-14 06:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xca2f18…
05-14 05:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x12601b…
05-14 05:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xda0001…
05-14 05:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6a03d2…
05-13 15:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xab24cf…
05-13 15:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0e687f…
05-13 15:48:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x018f35…
05-13 15:46:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5d6468…
05-13 15:40:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa932ea…
05-13 15:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	644	4¢	$25	0x9dbbad…
05-13 15:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	71	44¢	$32	0x0e6ced…
05-13 15:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xa5657c…
05-13 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	51	57¢	$29	0x8b9251…
05-13 15:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x8b97be…
05-13 15:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	49	56¢	$28	0x48480b…
05-13 15:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xfeb634…
05-13 15:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	357	3¢	$11	0x9e6b43…
05-13 15:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0xe5bd4c…
05-13 15:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0x3b66fc…
05-13 15:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x63940f…
05-13 15:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x9d8251…
05-13 15:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xf9719d…
05-13 15:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x8eb440…
05-13 14:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x8a76e6…
05-13 14:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcd36d0…
05-13 12:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0x0a9978…
05-13 12:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x11ed5b…
05-13 12:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5a8715…
05-13 12:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x717cee…
05-13 06:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x45363f…
05-13 06:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa57fc7…
05-13 06:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x5fc316…
05-13 06:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x9d7230…
05-13 06:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8bf517…
05-13 05:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0xcf9378…
05-13 05:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x71153e…
05-13 05:08:21	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0x761bd8…
05-13 05:04:28	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	59	16¢	$10	0x650ba5…
05-13 05:03:39	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x083711…
05-13 05:03:24	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa7a805…
05-13 04:55:00	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x68a426…
05-13 04:54:37	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	158	2¢	$4	0x15f674…
05-13 04:53:29	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x5fbc64…
05-13 04:53:27	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x985dac…
05-13 04:53:25	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd05031…