Graceful-Capital — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

106

Trades

196

lifetime

Volume

$785

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-08 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% $-47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	10	$27	27	+27	Up	+$0	05-06 12:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	12	$26	26	+26	Up	+$1	05-06 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	7	$22	22	+22	Up	+$0	05-06 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	7	$21	22	+22	Up	+$0	05-06 02:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	5	$18	18	+18	Up	+$0	05-06 10:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$14	683	+683	Up	$-14	05-06 03:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$12	36	+36	Down	$-12	05-06 14:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	6	$10	224	+224	Down	$-10	05-06 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-06 09:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$9	18	+18	Up	$-9	05-06 20:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Up	$-9	05-07 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-07 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-07 06:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$9	27	+27	Down	+$17	05-07 02:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$9	28	+28	Down	$-9	05-07 01:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-06 23:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-07 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-06 10:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-06 07:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-07 19:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$9	12	+12	Up	+$3	05-07 20:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$9	11	+11	Down	+$2	05-07 17:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Up	+$0	05-07 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Up	+$0	05-06 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Up	+$0	05-06 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Down	+$0	05-06 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Down	+$0	05-07 03:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Down	+$0	05-06 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Up	+$0	05-06 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$9	9	+9	Up	+$0	05-06 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 16:09:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xe40d4b…
05-08 15:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x32c277…
05-08 15:19:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0xa236a1…
05-08 14:44:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xd137dd…
05-08 14:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbee610…
05-08 14:09:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	131	4¢	$5	0x086e3f…
05-08 13:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8282dc…
05-08 12:54:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xcaba1a…
05-08 12:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	158	3¢	$5	0xb668d8…
05-08 11:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5a7657…
05-08 10:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x898e98…
05-08 09:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8d704a…
05-08 06:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x6a5a8b…
05-08 06:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2915bd…
05-08 06:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	475	1¢	$5	0x7ba617…
05-08 05:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3a8be0…
05-08 04:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x10b386…
05-08 03:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xed075b…
05-08 03:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4c0e98…
05-07 23:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x593750…
05-07 22:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc5a6f6…
05-07 22:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x534ff7…
05-07 20:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xe2448d…
05-07 19:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x88051e…
05-07 17:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xf11016…
05-07 15:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x92cf94…
05-07 14:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x814771…
05-07 11:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2c0c60…
05-07 11:09:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcfd99c…
05-07 10:24:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1d1fcc…
05-07 08:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x094be2…
05-07 08:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x6cf27e…
05-07 07:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xd5b1a2…
05-07 07:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xbb2329…
05-07 07:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xc10446…
05-07 06:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x772527…
05-07 05:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x170b43…
05-07 03:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7ce105…
05-07 02:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0xc2f4c7…
05-07 01:49:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0xc8a123…
05-07 01:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x266c70…
05-07 00:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xb330a9…
05-06 23:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0xad5b8c…
05-06 21:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xba3432…
05-06 20:39:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$9	0xf9f396…
05-06 19:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x3ffdad…
05-06 19:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x61b18c…
05-06 16:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf1dcb5…
05-06 16:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb481bb…
05-06 16:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5578c9…
05-06 14:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x679d14…
05-06 14:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0x250bd9…
05-06 14:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xfda98a…
05-06 14:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	19¢	$0	0xf6d595…
05-06 14:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$1	0x7f4278…
05-06 14:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x46dbbb…
05-06 14:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x0cd393…
05-06 13:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	212	4¢	$10	0x646108…
05-06 13:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xeaa2c6…
05-06 13:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x522ad9…
05-06 13:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x3c7819…
05-06 13:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x0be59c…
05-06 13:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x2199ad…
05-06 13:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd2397b…
05-06 13:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd42709…
05-06 13:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa85822…
05-06 13:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x744d15…
05-06 13:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf479d5…
05-06 13:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa207fc…
05-06 13:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x91a461…
05-06 13:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x77918e…
05-06 13:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x00012f…
05-06 13:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x95568d…
05-06 13:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5c066a…
05-06 13:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x467478…
05-06 13:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x42b17e…
05-06 13:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd37c2d…
05-06 12:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1f1b41…
05-06 12:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc5ce40…
05-06 12:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb0fcbf…
05-06 12:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x05d35b…
05-06 12:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbf83d7…
05-06 12:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x198dfe…
05-06 12:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0164c1…
05-06 12:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfd3e65…
05-06 12:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5ff705…
05-06 12:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3e38fa…
05-06 11:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf1d44c…
05-06 11:09:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc77edd…
05-06 10:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb7dfce…
05-06 10:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xdc46ba…
05-06 10:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8a172f…
05-06 10:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6fd45f…
05-06 10:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4c49e0…
05-06 10:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x142208…
05-06 10:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf9a2c8…
05-06 10:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2d44a4…
05-06 10:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0a6dfb…
05-06 10:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0cc82a…
05-06 10:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x02e50e…