Old-Apartment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-11 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% 100% +$4

Other

37% 0% $-3

Crypto

13% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mr nobody against putin win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	2	$88	83	83	+0	open	—	03-16 05:08
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	2	$56	85	85	+0	open	—	02-16 20:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$52	977	0	+977	open	—	03-03 20:50
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	2	$51	96	96	+0	open	—	02-10 14:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$40	120	120	+0	Yes	+$4	02-28 09:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$38	33	33	+0	open	—	02-28 09:16
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	2	$38	138	138	+0	open	—	02-14 14:51
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$36	43	43	+0	open	—	02-13 06:15
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	03-08 10:27
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$30	273	0	+273	open	—	02-20 17:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	02-03 07:10
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$20	154	0	+154	open	—	02-20 17:09
will drake maye win the super bowl lx mvp	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	02-09 06:48
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 580plus	2	$19	328	328	+0	open	—	02-17 21:25
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$15	58	0	+58	open	—	03-17 20:06
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?	2	$14	52	52	+0	open	—	05-20 08:42
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	2	$13	126	126	+0	open	—	02-28 19:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$12	31	31	+0	open	—	02-18 14:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$12	174	0	+174	open	—	03-17 16:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$11	182	0	+182	open	—	03-17 09:20
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 240 259	2	$11	119	0	+119	open	—	02-20 06:18
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 380 399	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	03-24 19:11
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	02-20 16:36
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	01-29 22:18
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 240 259	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	02-19 09:03
nhl phi wsh 2026 02 25	2	$9	21	0	+21	open	—	02-25 21:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-30 07:47
nhl pit car 2026 03 10	1	$8	22	0	+22	open	—	03-10 18:42
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$7	323	0	+323	open	—	03-06 10:49
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	1	$6	324	0	+324	open	—	02-18 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 03:55:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x33050d…
06-11 03:37:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xbf4c66…
06-11 02:34:03	bitcoin above 64k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x39c418…
06-11 02:01:10	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x2761a6…
06-11 00:25:51	bitcoin above 60k on june 12 2026	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x8e4362…
06-10 23:28:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x509bad…
06-10 22:33:46	bitcoin above 60k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1e7695…
06-10 22:17:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x14b3e8…
06-10 21:53:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0x90d14e…
06-10 21:15:52	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 10	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x181cd3…
06-10 21:15:43	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 10	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x58dedb…
06-10 20:53:22	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x8948ee…
06-10 18:36:10	will stripes valuation hit low 165b by june 30	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x59ae82…
06-07 10:04:06	will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x32d666…
05-30 08:45:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x460e5a…
05-30 07:47:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x916442…
05-30 07:47:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x23c503…
05-30 07:42:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xda72ab…
05-29 17:51:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6ee808…
05-29 17:43:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x34d48b…
05-29 17:41:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9e3d43…
05-29 15:18:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc58da4…
05-28 20:02:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa1cc64…
05-28 15:48:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x00d71f…
05-28 05:10:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4b9ec4…
05-27 18:37:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1c4e7e…
05-20 08:42:23	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	12¢	$6	0xec7b87…
05-20 08:41:34	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0xf0d1e0…
05-20 01:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd0d0bf…
05-20 00:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x388dd9…
05-20 00:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x20cbfd…
05-19 21:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa9a9c4…
05-19 15:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0717e5…
05-19 09:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5cd436…
05-19 07:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb02b91…
05-19 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2d0e63…
05-19 06:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3a6a1a…
05-19 05:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbb228a…
05-19 05:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6dcc89…
05-19 04:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1db23d…
05-19 04:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaff9f8…
05-19 03:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9ac290…
05-19 03:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x45de61…
05-19 00:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x377252…
05-19 00:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdd375e…
05-18 23:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb42623…
05-18 22:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x84a563…
05-18 22:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x747da6…
05-18 22:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa69e9f…
05-18 21:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8501c4…
05-18 21:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8a902f…
05-18 21:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbb64a4…
05-18 21:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd04daa…
05-18 20:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x10163d…
05-18 20:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa17239…
05-18 19:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8edb86…
05-18 18:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd8ec3b…
05-18 18:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5f3569…
05-18 17:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x46ce68…
05-18 17:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4321c1…
05-18 16:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa7b270…
05-18 15:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf4a9f7…
05-18 09:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd9f740…
05-18 09:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdc711f…
05-18 08:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x64731d…
05-18 02:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe7343b…
05-18 01:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xea9b83…
05-17 17:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x85d452…
05-17 17:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1a908c…
05-17 17:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xac0156…
05-17 16:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb00937…
05-17 15:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x371213…
05-17 15:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5b1b03…
05-17 14:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5e63a2…
05-17 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x63728e…
05-17 13:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x73ea03…
05-17 13:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb3220b…
05-17 13:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd60f7d…
05-17 12:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2a745d…
05-17 12:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x571a69…
05-16 17:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcdec5d…
05-16 16:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xfa15f8…
05-16 07:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd1a525…
05-16 07:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	281	0¢	$1	0xa58340…
05-16 02:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x43b1dc…
05-16 02:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x28801f…
05-16 01:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcddd0b…
05-16 01:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc35a40…
05-16 01:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x582743…
05-16 00:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7f3f4e…
05-16 00:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xccee3e…
05-16 00:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe68a1c…
05-15 23:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8ccaf2…
05-15 23:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd840fb…
05-15 23:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x117fe0…
05-15 23:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x10c467…
05-15 22:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xee6573…
05-15 22:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbe8276…
05-15 21:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9b8f01…
05-15 20:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd3a195…