Idle-Lumberman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

Trades

383

lifetime

Volume

$418

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-17 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$10	197	0	+197	Down	$-5	05-10 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	9	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	05-19 19:24
btc updown 15m 1780864200	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	06-07 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	7	$8	6	4	+2	Down	$-0	05-10 18:24
btc updown 15m 1780605900	8	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	06-04 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	6	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-19 14:52
btc updown 15m 1780608600	7	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-04 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	6	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	06-03 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	5	$5	151	51	+100	open	—	05-29 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$4	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-24 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-01 21:26
btc updown 15m 1780606800	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-04 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-30 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-25 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-17 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-10 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-30 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-29 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-01 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-30 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-29 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-29 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 19:29:50	btc updown 15m 1781724600	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd080b1…
06-17 19:14:49	btc updown 15m 1781723700	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xff3283…
06-17 18:59:50	btc updown 15m 1781722800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x22e98e…
06-17 18:14:49	btc updown 15m 1781720100	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbfbc26…
06-17 16:44:49	btc updown 15m 1781714700	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8dbb94…
06-17 14:59:50	btc updown 15m 1781708400	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x760e93…
06-17 14:44:49	btc updown 15m 1781707500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x72c3a5…
06-17 14:29:49	btc updown 15m 1781706600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb63afc…
06-17 13:29:52	btc updown 15m 1781703000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x10b012…
06-17 13:29:22	btc updown 15m 1781702100	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3b48a1…
06-17 12:29:49	btc updown 15m 1781699400	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xff648a…
06-17 11:14:49	btc updown 15m 1781694900	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfb678d…
06-17 10:59:49	btc updown 15m 1781694000	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf42636…
06-17 10:44:50	btc updown 15m 1781693100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x50a0cf…
06-17 10:14:50	btc updown 15m 1781691300	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x26e6da…
06-17 05:14:35	btc updown 15m 1781673300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7169df…
06-16 18:44:59	btc updown 15m 1781635500	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8a52c0…
06-16 18:14:38	btc updown 15m 1781633700	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xee166b…
06-16 14:16:01	btc updown 15m 1781619300	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1f5b15…
06-16 13:01:16	btc updown 15m 1781614800	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2920ac…
06-14 17:45:33	btc updown 15m 1781459100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbd234f…
06-13 17:46:28	btc updown 15m 1781372700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc90531…
06-13 14:32:12	btc updown 15m 1781361000	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa43e4f…
06-12 19:30:12	btc updown 15m 1781292600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x323f71…
06-12 18:30:10	btc updown 15m 1781289000	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x110d0d…
06-12 15:14:39	btc updown 15m 1781277300	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8ca5c4…
06-12 13:44:49	btc updown 15m 1781271900	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5b7951…
06-12 08:14:43	btc updown 15m 1781252100	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9a6ed2…
06-12 08:14:40	btc updown 15m 1781251200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ac990…
06-11 22:25:01	btc updown 15m 1781218800	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x58d300…
06-11 22:25:00	btc updown 15m 1781218800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x52665e…
06-11 21:32:24	btc updown 15m 1781214300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5e9465…
06-11 21:32:15	btc updown 15m 1781214300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6ac37b…
06-11 20:45:25	btc updown 15m 1781210700	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x98b73d…
06-11 20:45:19	btc updown 15m 1781210700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8be065…
06-11 19:45:18	btc updown 15m 1781207100	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x636aaf…
06-11 18:45:21	btc updown 15m 1781203500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3d23a6…
06-11 18:00:21	btc updown 15m 1781200800	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6986e5…
06-10 18:24:54	btc updown 15m 1781116200	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x8004cc…
06-10 18:24:45	btc updown 15m 1781116200	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb8bce2…
06-10 18:24:40	btc updown 15m 1781116200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x67f1b0…
06-08 20:18:06	btc updown 15m 1780949700	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc68e4f…
06-08 05:30:21	btc updown 15m 1780896600	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x825808…
06-07 21:04:46	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5c5fde…
06-07 20:32:28	btc updown 15m 1780864200	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xcba525…
06-07 20:30:22	btc updown 15m 1780864200	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x55ae1f…
06-07 19:46:58	btc updown 15m 1780861500	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x21aa1c…
06-07 19:45:52	btc updown 15m 1780861500	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc66f54…
06-04 21:40:31	btc updown 15m 1780608600	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x357ee4…
06-04 21:40:19	btc updown 15m 1780608600	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb4f622…
06-04 21:38:07	btc updown 15m 1780608600	Down	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x1ee8e3…
06-04 21:37:48	btc updown 15m 1780608600	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0426fe…
06-04 21:37:31	btc updown 15m 1780608600	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb1e343…
06-04 21:32:39	btc updown 15m 1780608600	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xfbe6b7…
06-04 21:32:15	btc updown 15m 1780608600	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcadce3…
06-04 21:05:27	btc updown 15m 1780606800	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x46c6a4…
06-04 21:05:06	btc updown 15m 1780606800	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x35e412…
06-04 21:02:34	btc updown 15m 1780606800	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x55df9a…
06-04 21:02:09	btc updown 15m 1780606800	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb6b258…
06-04 20:55:55	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x7f6d95…
06-04 20:54:00	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc7431f…
06-04 20:50:43	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xa81a1d…
06-04 20:50:18	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x613f4f…
06-04 20:45:55	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd72c02…
06-04 20:45:46	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Up	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xaf42b8…
06-04 20:45:36	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x5636f5…
06-04 20:45:27	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0d2e14…
06-04 20:38:57	btc updown 15m 1780605000	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x891086…
06-04 20:38:27	btc updown 15m 1780605000	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe12873…
06-03 19:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xe6a7d3…
06-03 19:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa32762…
06-03 19:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x555bdc…
06-03 19:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3f71d5…
06-03 19:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xa5ca87…
06-03 19:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2d9a4c…
06-03 19:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x68e2cb…
06-03 19:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa780d3…
06-01 21:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb18f68…
06-01 21:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc0ef25…
06-01 21:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3ecf1f…
06-01 21:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc3d13c…
06-01 21:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2cc38a…
06-01 21:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x369d2e…
06-01 21:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0e5afc…
06-01 21:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x91e8a4…
06-01 21:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xba3c3f…
06-01 20:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b3ba7…
06-01 20:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x145b91…
06-01 20:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x9c7cdd…
06-01 20:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa4d41a…
06-01 20:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6b88b5…
06-01 20:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3283b1…
06-01 20:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xa66c1a…
06-01 20:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5088b9…
06-01 19:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x67cd9e…
06-01 19:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7b516e…
06-01 19:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x984ce5…
06-01 19:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb8cf2e…
06-01 18:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x668624…
06-01 18:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7a77c9…