Pretty-Arithmetic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$562

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-22 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% +$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$64	138	138	+0	Down	+$44	05-13 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	05-18 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$25	48	0	+48	open	—	05-14 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$24	87	15	+72	open	—	05-14 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$23	33	15	+18	Down	+$3	05-13 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$20	131	0	+131	open	—	05-22 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$15	149	0	+149	Down	$-15	05-13 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$15	35	0	+35	Down	$-15	05-13 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$15	103	0	+103	open	—	05-14 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$15	35	0	+35	open	—	05-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	05-01 15:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$10	265	0	+265	Down	$-10	05-13 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-14 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$10	30	0	+30	Up	$-10	05-13 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$10	30	0	+30	Down	+$20	05-13 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$10	71	0	+71	open	—	05-04 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	Down	$-10	05-13 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-14 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-14 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-18 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	$-5	05-13 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-13 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	open	—	05-14 19:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-14 15:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	05-13 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-02 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 14:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6a072c…
05-22 14:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xac4853…
05-22 14:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x19b988…
05-22 13:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa72491…
05-22 13:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc6ff74…
05-22 13:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x28a890…
05-22 13:54:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3559d3…
05-22 13:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x934d3f…
05-22 12:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb612dd…
05-22 12:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5d295b…
05-18 10:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xcad0c1…
05-18 10:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3e0f86…
05-18 10:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xebd683…
05-18 10:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x350531…
05-18 10:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3cb4a2…
05-18 00:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x828251…
05-18 00:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x035372…
05-17 20:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x1e8213…
05-14 19:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x97b371…
05-14 19:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xb21817…
05-14 19:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x50fd8b…
05-14 19:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x17ebb7…
05-14 19:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x538c01…
05-14 19:12:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd9776f…
05-14 19:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4632e4…
05-14 19:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4ccd8b…
05-14 19:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xad6fec…
05-14 19:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc0b455…
05-14 19:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x681151…
05-14 19:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x63b8a9…
05-14 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x052ad7…
05-14 15:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe9458b…
05-14 15:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd787b3…
05-14 15:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa42c1e…
05-14 15:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x74c116…
05-14 15:39:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x77b33e…
05-14 15:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2bbeca…
05-14 15:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbca5a7…
05-13 23:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd2aaee…
05-13 23:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe305a8…
05-13 19:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x00a119…
05-13 19:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5fae74…
05-13 17:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0db6d0…
05-13 17:37:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x564541…
05-13 17:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8981fc…
05-13 17:36:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x04a8a6…
05-13 17:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xaa6494…
05-13 15:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xce33a8…
05-13 15:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x91584a…
05-13 15:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6a912e…
05-13 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xcde419…
05-13 15:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa8736f…
05-13 15:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfcbfc7…
05-13 15:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0b2b96…
05-13 15:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xca3309…
05-13 15:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb4b6e1…
05-13 15:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa6c0ba…
05-13 15:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	138	39¢	$54	0xd26cc4…
05-13 15:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe62181…
05-13 15:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x17a3d6…
05-13 14:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3e2c60…
05-13 10:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc45ebb…
05-13 10:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x409dfb…
05-13 10:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x210b84…
05-13 10:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf9e6aa…
05-13 10:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x51a573…
05-13 10:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8547a4…
05-13 10:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xdfe93b…
05-13 10:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x5135bd…
05-13 08:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x9e1d35…
05-13 00:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x066c10…
05-13 00:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc76ee1…
05-13 00:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfa59e1…
05-13 00:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4faf6e…
05-13 00:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc5ec6a…
05-13 00:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7ade4e…
05-12 21:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x985fda…
05-12 20:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7b67d6…
05-04 14:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x84ab5d…
05-04 14:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe8eda4…
05-04 11:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xde616a…
05-04 11:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbeabdf…
05-02 17:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x460c05…
05-02 17:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x76f26c…
05-01 17:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6e11e5…
05-01 17:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x243b65…
05-01 15:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x40aa63…
05-01 15:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x437d44…
05-01 15:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x49ad5b…
05-01 15:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2512b1…
05-01 15:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5eadbd…
05-01 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x78a03a…
05-01 15:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x51bf8f…
05-01 15:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf4bc0f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	56	$47.0K	1,877	05-22 14:04
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	56	$34.4K	5,043	05-22 14:03
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	56	$16.1K	4,526	05-22 14:03
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	56	$15.9K	2,445	05-22 14:03
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	56	$15.0K	4,155	05-22 14:03
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	56	$13.9K	2,120	05-22 14:03
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	56	$7.14K	698	05-22 14:03
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	55	$12.1K	2,222	05-22 14:03