Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

20.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$82

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-02 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

37% 100% +$34

Tech

33% — —

Other

30% 50% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		+100	$78	82¢	$82	+$4	06-02 00:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$486	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 23:49
claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	4	$295	1,080	1,080	+0	open	—	04-16 13:52
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$286	159	159	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 10:20
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 28 482	3	$267	172	172	+0	open	—	02-28 17:07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$214	210	100	+110	open	—	03-06 12:47
will iran strike uae again in march	3	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	04-05 16:14
qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	3	$165	105	105	+0	open	—	03-11 01:26
will powell say percent 25 times during january press conference	1	$100	161	0	+161	open	—	01-28 10:36
will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	3	$94	113	0	+113	open	—	03-13 07:10
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	1	$91	100	0	+100	open	—	03-20 14:16
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 22 752	1	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	02-22 11:33
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	1	$85	100	0	+100	open	—	06-01 23:35
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	2	$78	100	0	+100	open	—	04-21 16:35
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	3	$78	100	0	+100	open	—	06-02 00:00
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$66	100	0	+100	Yes	+$34	04-24 18:08
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$59	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 16:56
will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	03-02 12:46
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	1	$27	100	0	+100	open	—	05-23 15:13
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01 first set winner Alcaraz vs Djokovic	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	02-01 08:58
wta sabalen rybakin 2026 01 31	1	$19	32	0	+32	open	—	01-31 09:06
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	2	$18	100	0	+100	open	—	05-27 16:55
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	1	$16	0	100	-100	open	—	02-24 16:36
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	1	$8	13	0	+13	Yes	+$5	03-12 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 00:00:23	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	72	78¢	$56	0xaac31f…
06-01 23:51:25	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x374d18…
06-01 23:35:39	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x9ff1da…
06-01 23:34:46	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdb1639…
05-27 16:55:41	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xbba7e9…
05-26 23:16:28	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x49f2b5…
05-23 15:13:14	Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x399d86…
04-24 18:08:34	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x6679fe…
04-21 16:35:58	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	78¢	$54	0x9dacda…
04-21 16:15:04	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$24	0xed8b6a…
04-16 13:52:14	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	SELL	1,030	11¢	$111	0xce972d…
04-16 13:38:20	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	BUY	1,030	10¢	$100	0xfb0773…
04-16 11:43:24	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xaa78b3…
04-15 17:47:34	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x5d7f44…
04-13 10:20:55	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	159	90¢	$143	0x93794a…
04-13 10:10:33	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0xed1cc6…
04-13 10:10:33	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x1e6646…
04-07 23:49:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x75344e…
04-07 05:30:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2b77e9…
04-06 16:16:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x89a1b9…
04-06 16:10:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x716cb5…
04-05 16:14:47	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x47788f…
04-05 16:14:13	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	SELL	86	88¢	$76	0x206f46…
03-29 12:00:10	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xedda9f…
03-20 14:16:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xe197c3…
03-13 07:10:13	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x86458d…
03-12 14:12:05	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x78eb91…
03-12 14:12:03	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	43	87¢	$38	0x3e12b9…
03-12 09:19:01	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xa9cfb1…
03-11 01:26:31	qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x42616b…
03-07 15:52:57	qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x81552d…
03-06 12:47:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd1dce3…
03-04 17:09:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x5965b7…
03-04 16:56:19	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xd9d6ce…
03-04 14:04:09	qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x37ea24…
03-03 23:42:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x9ca5a0…
03-03 14:43:51	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	53	32¢	$17	0x1d39e0…
03-03 14:42:15	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xa9e168…
03-03 14:42:15	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0xa55af6…
03-02 23:21:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xe3a7da…
03-02 12:46:13	will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x79c844…
03-02 12:27:59	will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x631191…
02-28 17:07:31	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 28 482	No	SELL	172	94¢	$161	0x4f9908…
02-27 15:57:13	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 28 482	No	BUY	72	94¢	$67	0x891701…
02-24 16:36:34	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xd4782d…
02-22 11:33:50	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 22 752	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xdc84b0…
02-22 11:32:22	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 28 482	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xfec4ea…
02-01 08:58:54	atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01 first set winner Alcaraz vs Djokovic	Djokovic	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xd091df…
01-31 09:06:42	wta sabalen rybakin 2026 01 31	Rybakina	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0xb21f58…
01-28 10:36:29	will powell say percent 25 times during january press conference	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x9bcca4…