Calm-Router — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$74

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 40% $-17

Politics

5% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$10	30	+30	Down	$-10	05-12 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$7	12	+12	Down	+$5	05-06 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$6	17	+17	Up	$-6	05-06 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Up	+$4	05-12 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Up	+$6	05-06 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$3	11	+11	Down	$-3	05-12 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$3	21	+21	Up	$-3	05-06 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$2	18	+18	Down	$-2	05-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	$-2	05-12 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$2	108	+108	Up	$-2	05-06 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	$-2	05-06 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	$-2	05-06 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-06 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$2	12	+12	Down	$-2	05-06 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-06 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$2	937	+937	Up	$-2	05-06 06:39
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	1	$1	111	+111	Yes	$-1	05-12 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Down	$-1	05-12 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$1	100	+100	Up	$-1	05-06 05:49
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	200	+200	open	—	05-12 03:18
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	143	+143	open	—	05-12 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$1	12	+12	Down	$-1	05-06 05:24
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$1	250	+250	open	—	05-12 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-06 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	$-1	05-06 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$1	11	+11	Down	$-1	05-06 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-06 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-12 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$1	6	+6	Down	$-1	05-06 06:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 08:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa4788d…
05-12 08:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x30fdec…
05-12 07:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xeaa1da…
05-12 07:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe9c3c0…
05-12 07:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2ff21a…
05-12 07:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x333d57…
05-12 07:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x78e33a…
05-12 07:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4092e0…
05-12 06:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x420b02…
05-12 06:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x258607…
05-12 05:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x255201…
05-12 05:07:08	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf3e241…
05-12 03:18:54	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x55c94f…
05-12 03:18:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xbaf1dc…
05-12 03:18:45	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xa14353…
05-06 07:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x05e66b…
05-06 07:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xe6bf75…
05-06 07:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7ecfe4…
05-06 07:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6a97b9…
05-06 07:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xec81b8…
05-06 07:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe15f12…
05-06 07:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6e83cc…
05-06 06:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9d9767…
05-06 06:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x370cbc…
05-06 06:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5ee50a…
05-06 06:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x8cf9e8…
05-06 06:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	920	0¢	$1	0xb9c477…
05-06 06:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6bbbbe…
05-06 06:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc9c45b…
05-06 06:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc00691…
05-06 06:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x3bda19…
05-06 06:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x469513…
05-06 06:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8d02a0…
05-06 06:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc33ebe…
05-06 05:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2a571f…
05-06 05:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe9a5f3…
05-06 05:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x22a9d5…
05-06 05:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9f2821…
05-06 05:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa0f3b9…
05-06 05:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xaec3e3…
05-06 05:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x9800c9…
05-06 05:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7ddb3d…
05-06 05:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfead4a…
05-06 05:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x227097…
05-06 05:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2e8c10…