Ultimate-Beginning-Secretion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.1%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$741

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-16 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 40% $-15

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	11	$127	479	229	+250	open	—	05-14 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	9	$88	79	72	+6	open	—	05-15 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$37	542	42	+500	Down	+$1	05-13 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	7	$36	118	18	+100	open	—	05-16 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$34	36	16	+20	Down	$-6	05-12 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$28	64	19	+45	Up	$-2	05-12 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	6	$27	49	49	+0	open	—	05-15 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$22	51	51	+0	open	—	05-14 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$21	537	8	+529	open	—	05-16 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$20	18	18	+0	open	—	05-14 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$17	23	12	+11	open	—	05-15 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$17	36	8	+28	open	—	05-15 09:22
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$17	21	21	+0	open	—	05-14 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$16	15	9	+7	open	—	05-15 09:32
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 11:47
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$15	24	5	+19	open	—	05-14 12:14
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$14	38	38	+0	open	—	05-14 11:46
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 11:46
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 11:45
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$14	21	9	+12	open	—	05-15 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$10	95	0	+95	Down	$-10	05-12 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$10	578	0	+578	open	—	05-15 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	6	$6	16	3	+13	open	—	05-16 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 21:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 07:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfdf17f…
05-16 07:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x37e622…
05-16 07:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6bb527…
05-16 07:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5b33d7…
05-16 07:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0de6f2…
05-16 07:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x2cf4f8…
05-16 07:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x09a08f…
05-16 07:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd3255d…
05-16 07:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe1e706…
05-16 07:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x5f6f7c…
05-16 07:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0056ab…
05-16 07:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb00e2a…
05-16 07:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xa18c28…
05-16 07:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x764466…
05-16 07:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x5fdadd…
05-16 07:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd17631…
05-16 07:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$6	0xd9ffa0…
05-16 07:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf7f519…
05-16 05:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x70734c…
05-16 05:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc63ce9…
05-16 05:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc5de21…
05-16 05:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3940ba…
05-15 15:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xf62074…
05-15 15:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xe9f46f…
05-15 09:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0aee9a…
05-15 09:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xce93b8…
05-15 09:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd6033a…
05-15 09:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x01aeb3…
05-15 09:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x870ea5…
05-15 09:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x457702…
05-15 09:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6f440b…
05-15 09:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x9ea012…
05-15 09:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x32a561…
05-15 09:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9350e9…
05-15 09:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x0dade7…
05-15 09:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3b6a0e…
05-15 09:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0xa8e597…
05-15 09:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7e24c0…
05-15 09:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x4b9e1b…
05-15 09:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x099356…
05-15 09:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x73cf32…
05-15 09:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x1c1ec0…
05-15 09:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7d2e55…
05-15 09:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	34	80¢	$28	0x2a9e4a…
05-15 09:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x2e00bb…
05-15 09:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$7	0xf8e14f…
05-15 09:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x86923b…
05-15 09:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0xd66c5f…
05-15 09:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x05b586…
05-15 09:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc51708…
05-15 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2c8e5d…
05-15 08:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x8911f9…
05-15 08:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6f61ed…
05-15 08:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfca897…
05-15 08:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0ce894…
05-15 08:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xc3a733…
05-14 22:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x4f3e9c…
05-14 22:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x50ad01…
05-14 22:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x45a745…
05-14 22:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x53a3b2…
05-14 21:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x72dc6f…
05-14 21:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0x107e0f…
05-14 21:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf93942…
05-14 21:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe4e370…
05-14 21:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xac67f0…
05-14 21:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa242cb…
05-14 21:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0x3b68e3…
05-14 21:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd0897a…
05-14 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb6233e…
05-14 21:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$10	0x733d20…
05-14 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x08afcc…
05-14 21:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x858acd…
05-14 21:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x832fc3…
05-14 21:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	178	24¢	$43	0xfa67dc…
05-14 21:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	178	14¢	$25	0xc7829b…
05-14 21:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x74fd47…
05-14 21:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x50df61…
05-14 21:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0xa2a63d…
05-14 21:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4b01b8…
05-14 12:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x80f58a…
05-14 12:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0xe47e2e…
05-14 12:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x48f823…
05-14 11:47:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xe84241…
05-14 11:46:49	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x5a947f…
05-14 11:46:19	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	38	11¢	$4	0x236fa3…
05-14 11:45:53	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x962739…
05-14 11:45:35	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x9151fd…
05-14 11:45:09	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x73aec0…
05-14 11:44:38	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0x6da878…
05-13 19:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf2986d…
05-13 19:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0x8628a3…
05-13 19:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x04c4f0…
05-13 19:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x2068f8…
05-13 19:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xeef14d…
05-13 19:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x42d641…
05-13 19:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6caf94…
05-13 19:38:59	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfb1e67…
05-13 19:38:46	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x9e497e…
05-13 19:38:25	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa66eef…
05-13 19:38:15	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc79975…