Simplistic-Deer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$434

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-24 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% $-45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$18	22	15	+8	Down	$-2	05-09 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$18	21	10	+11	Up	$-2	05-09 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$10	25	0	+25	Up	$-10	05-09 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$7	12	3	+9	Up	$-5	05-09 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-09 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-09 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-09 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-09 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-09 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-09 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-09 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-11 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-09 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-09 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-09 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-09 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-09 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-09 03:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 14:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x743b9a…
05-24 13:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xe625c5…
05-24 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x804784…
05-24 13:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x933a36…
05-24 02:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc998ef…
05-23 21:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9dd1b1…
05-23 21:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x851953…
05-16 05:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd8fe79…
05-16 05:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5e59ed…
05-16 05:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4e7aa1…
05-15 14:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6d7ead…
05-14 17:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x781a84…
05-14 17:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa6e885…
05-14 05:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x298235…
05-14 05:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3ee53e…
05-14 04:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x665ca5…
05-14 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc6e1e7…
05-14 04:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x51c8a7…
05-14 04:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x67ba80…
05-13 20:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa46c3f…
05-13 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc305b4…
05-12 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x570b37…
05-12 04:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb163d4…
05-12 04:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf3424f…
05-12 04:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd0bc88…
05-11 14:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe717e5…
05-11 14:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb641bf…
05-11 14:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x323bf2…
05-11 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x15f7c3…
05-11 03:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xab9d43…
05-11 03:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0e2398…
05-11 03:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5c2278…
05-11 03:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x38c88a…
05-11 03:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaa4876…
05-11 02:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x96f3bc…
05-11 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb834e8…
05-10 13:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdc4769…
05-10 04:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x17ff27…
05-10 04:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x281255…
05-10 04:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x26c074…
05-10 04:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3828c2…
05-10 03:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x54b095…
05-10 03:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9bf99e…
05-10 02:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x170e76…
05-10 02:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x28697c…
05-10 01:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x14fd9a…
05-10 01:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xa3ed02…
05-10 01:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6b8a7e…
05-10 01:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x27baae…
05-10 00:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xd2022b…
05-10 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe07367…
05-10 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4833d8…
05-09 23:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2dcbeb…
05-09 23:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x9e4369…
05-09 23:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcd635d…
05-09 23:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xfac614…
05-09 23:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa5dbd9…
05-09 23:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x02f0ae…
05-09 23:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e0608…
05-09 23:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x405a52…
05-09 23:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x307bc5…
05-09 23:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x136e9c…
05-09 23:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x765c68…
05-09 23:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xd730e6…
05-09 23:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaf3f37…
05-09 23:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xa2ffbe…
05-09 23:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb64c02…
05-09 23:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb642d5…
05-09 23:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb6b5ca…
05-09 22:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb39334…
05-09 22:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x88b5ac…
05-09 22:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf2704d…
05-09 22:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe04d84…
05-09 22:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xb42fdc…
05-09 22:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x32fcae…
05-09 22:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1522b3…
05-09 22:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x29956f…
05-09 22:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf6d039…
05-09 22:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1392e4…
05-09 22:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcee85e…
05-09 19:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1ef11e…
05-09 19:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x399f70…
05-09 19:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7f8544…
05-09 18:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x36acbe…
05-09 18:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x76d81e…
05-09 18:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd389f6…
05-09 18:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe63a81…
05-09 18:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xb53caf…
05-09 18:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8d6d1a…
05-09 18:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcdbcbc…
05-09 18:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x5c0082…
05-09 18:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x05b208…
05-09 15:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x604862…
05-09 15:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x11cd66…
05-09 14:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x5df1d5…
05-09 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf5e059…
05-09 14:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x93a403…
05-09 14:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x4d0129…
05-09 14:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x345bec…
05-09 14:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbbbc05…