Quarterly-Impact — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$349

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-25 22:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% +$7

Other

1% 100% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	10	$16	46	8	+37	open	—	05-18 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	8	$16	17	13	+3	open	—	05-18 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	6	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-19 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-17 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	9	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	05-14 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$8	13	7	+6	Down	+$0	05-09 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	8	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	05-18 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	7	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	05-18 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$6	19	5	+13	Up	$-4	05-09 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-17 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-16 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-6	05-10 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	05-18 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	6	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-17 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$5	9	3	+6	Up	$-1	05-09 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$5	13	0	+13	Up	+$8	05-11 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-17 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$4	6	4	+2	open	—	05-17 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$4	16	2	+13	open	—	05-25 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$4	104	1	+103	open	—	05-19 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 22:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x498967…
05-25 22:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x30ccf5…
05-25 22:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x7ecbd7…
05-25 22:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6ede8a…
05-25 22:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xff0c44…
05-25 22:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6a2e24…
05-19 15:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x467c6f…
05-19 15:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7c86f9…
05-19 15:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe74c65…
05-19 15:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8cad4c…
05-19 15:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1c278b…
05-19 15:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe18a8c…
05-19 15:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x69cec4…
05-19 15:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcdcfcb…
05-19 15:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf23775…
05-19 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa575a3…
05-19 14:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8db1cc…
05-19 14:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf88eec…
05-19 14:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1ba2a7…
05-19 14:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3381f8…
05-19 14:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5373a9…
05-19 14:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5d7f3a…
05-18 21:14:56	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x76c7cb…
05-18 21:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xbe2253…
05-18 21:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d9b2f…
05-18 21:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x94c7ab…
05-18 21:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x46ed52…
05-18 21:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	64¢	$9	0x1e9286…
05-18 21:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x49d565…
05-18 21:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc2f6e1…
05-18 21:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3a82de…
05-18 21:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x86c039…
05-18 21:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe506da…
05-18 21:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x388026…
05-18 21:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x961b8c…
05-18 21:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x37ce8b…
05-18 21:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9010bd…
05-18 21:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3f47b4…
05-18 21:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5be286…
05-18 21:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf12ed7…
05-18 21:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0xe9b744…
05-18 21:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5376c2…
05-18 21:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x82b50d…
05-18 21:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb367fb…
05-18 20:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc8c511…
05-18 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0d998f…
05-18 20:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5d3018…
05-18 20:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8566bb…
05-18 20:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x504518…
05-18 20:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa5b744…
05-18 20:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x323b0a…
05-18 20:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2f4d3f…
05-18 20:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc20aeb…
05-18 20:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x49bccd…
05-18 20:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa873d6…
05-18 20:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb7c569…
05-18 20:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd9f0aa…
05-18 20:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf8dea3…
05-18 20:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x74dc5a…
05-18 20:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xca400c…
05-18 20:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc0e5cf…
05-18 20:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7af65f…
05-18 20:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4343c8…
05-18 20:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x32ded7…
05-18 20:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x606ae9…
05-18 20:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x91702a…
05-18 20:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd69699…
05-18 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd5979e…
05-18 20:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a66fa…
05-18 20:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x636576…
05-18 20:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x87efef…
05-18 20:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe0d2df…
05-18 20:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfa2cde…
05-18 20:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x593410…
05-18 20:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa9a742…
05-18 20:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf0e8cb…
05-18 20:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e6357…
05-18 20:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x85fca6…
05-18 20:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xab6e5a…
05-18 20:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7c3b6a…
05-18 20:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1d70d0…
05-18 20:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x020b65…
05-17 20:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x631a74…
05-17 20:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf01086…
05-17 20:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xba30ab…
05-17 20:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe22359…
05-17 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd5f2a7…
05-17 20:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9e60a6…
05-17 20:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xea6244…
05-17 20:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb1d9d6…
05-17 20:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcdc688…
05-17 20:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x876e6f…
05-17 20:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x08e544…
05-17 20:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9dfd45…
05-17 20:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaf50b1…
05-17 20:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x4d1869…
05-17 20:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x02d197…
05-17 20:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x352931…
05-17 20:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb86ee5…
05-17 20:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x733789…