Healthy-Announcement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-12 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 25% $-2

Politics

17% 100% +$2

Other

9% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes		-15	$-2	3¢	$-0	+$1	06-11 16:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$15	483	0	+483	open	—	05-03 17:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-07 08:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	5	$5	104	4	+100	open	—	05-04 09:54
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-31 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$5	7	6	+1	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 18:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$4	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-04 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$3	61	0	+61	open	—	05-04 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$3	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 19:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$2	45	0	+45	open	—	05-04 15:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	1	$2	0	15	-15	open	—	06-11 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	05-03 17:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-05 21:03
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-07 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 19:00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-12 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 15:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$1	32	0	+32	open	—	05-04 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 11:53:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa57cea…
06-11 16:16:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x7c6807…
05-31 21:09:49	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfc4f04…
05-31 20:59:23	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x72081e…
05-31 20:59:16	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x982b97…
05-31 20:08:50	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3f3801…
05-15 14:59:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xed25f4…
05-07 19:14:57	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb81ad2…
05-07 08:58:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x421936…
05-05 21:07:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x609c26…
05-05 21:05:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x05f439…
05-05 21:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5280b9…
05-05 20:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x612656…
05-05 20:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x551955…
05-04 19:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xa01357…
05-04 19:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x83aff1…
05-04 19:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x92a8a5…
05-04 19:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xdbe1be…
05-04 19:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2a5e56…
05-04 19:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x154b5f…
05-04 19:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8c2f11…
05-04 19:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xda9529…
05-04 16:15:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2ee972…
05-04 16:02:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x499675…
05-04 16:00:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x59e0fc…
05-04 15:59:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf08e6e…
05-04 15:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x218433…
05-04 15:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x16a449…
05-04 15:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcdec0f…
05-04 15:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa4570d…
05-04 15:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe8954e…
05-04 15:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb39814…
05-04 15:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9d43c4…
05-04 15:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x0a38ae…
05-04 15:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6c7c66…
05-04 09:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x64d84c…
05-04 09:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9291e1…
05-04 09:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x52b193…
05-04 09:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaf4115…
05-04 09:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xd12cb0…
05-04 09:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfae7a2…
05-03 19:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x139243…
05-03 18:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x5e2a01…
05-03 18:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x891beb…
05-03 18:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x49a69f…
05-03 18:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd85deb…
05-03 18:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x755006…
05-03 18:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x612542…
05-03 18:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa957d2…
05-03 18:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfbf384…
05-03 17:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd9722d…
05-03 17:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb9bbef…
05-03 17:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0x2ec16d…
05-03 17:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xe15e04…
05-03 17:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0x291e13…