Unwitting-Installation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$151

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 04-25 02:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 33% $-2

Other

39% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	01-26 23:06
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-23 00:05
btc updown 5m 1771271400	2	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	02-16 19:55
will jose massi be the next mayor of toulon	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-23 00:05
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 12:29
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-13 02:31
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-12 21:46
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-16 17:05
will gold gc hit high 5300 by end of january 386 158	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	01-28 15:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-12 18:24
will melissa bean be the democratic nominee for il 08	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 02:12
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-04 03:35
will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-16 17:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-30 16:05
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 17:05
will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	3	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	03-18 01:01
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-14 17:34
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-04 03:34
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-13 13:06
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	02-21 22:16
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	$-1	04-23 12:30
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	2	$3	17	17	+0	open	—	01-26 20:51
will cristian sanabria win the 2026 sucre mayoral election	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	03-20 00:37
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 20:18
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	01-31 14:40
will russia enter malokaterynivka by february 28	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	02-04 21:22
us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	03-14 15:22
si above 100 jan 2026	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	01-30 16:50
will sergio oliver rodrguez win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 145	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	03-24 20:19
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-25 02:45:10	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3d1429…
04-25 02:43:58	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd6b8bf…
04-23 12:30:16	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xec7bdc…
04-23 12:29:16	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd5e2e4…
04-14 19:34:46	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xbb3876…
04-14 19:26:58	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4e6c61…
04-13 13:06:35	will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x49eb41…
04-12 21:46:43	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x014256…
04-12 18:24:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xc07c40…
04-12 17:18:43	will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4f61b3…
03-24 20:22:45	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xef49f8…
03-24 20:22:01	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x9d1958…
03-24 20:19:29	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xb113a6…
03-24 20:19:17	will sergio oliver rodrguez win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 145	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x7b67f2…
03-24 20:18:49	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xc0187e…
03-23 00:05:45	will jose massi be the next mayor of toulon	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2ccc97…
03-23 00:05:31	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1fc5bb…
03-20 00:37:07	will cristian sanabria win the 2026 sucre mayoral election	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x1d9072…
03-18 13:39:57	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x690a83…
03-18 13:37:53	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x33a44a…
03-18 02:12:25	will melissa bean be the democratic nominee for il 08	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xd8dc45…
03-18 01:01:19	will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x19737e…
03-16 17:10:55	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe11f42…
03-16 17:07:57	will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1f066f…
03-16 17:07:11	will melissa bean be the democratic nominee for il 08	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf40655…
03-16 17:05:53	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xe292be…
03-16 17:05:39	will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x935f72…
03-16 17:05:23	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xabfafc…
03-16 03:38:45	will jose massi be the next mayor of toulon	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfed844…
03-16 00:38:21	will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x138778…
03-14 17:37:15	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0eb2de…
03-14 17:36:29	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3e78ed…
03-14 17:34:53	Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x12bb58…
03-14 15:22:11	us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xb6e6de…
03-13 02:37:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x53d440…
03-13 02:34:59	will sergio oliver rodrguez win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 145	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x69c5e7…
03-13 02:34:15	will cristian sanabria win the 2026 sucre mayoral election	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x08d346…
03-13 02:31:43	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3ee08e…
03-04 04:00:19	us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2d051f…
03-04 03:58:51	will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x616d75…
03-04 03:35:17	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1e6ace…
03-04 03:34:47	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x54fd2a…
02-28 21:11:17	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9eefa3…
02-28 01:21:15	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x862a9e…
02-25 19:07:50	will another company be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x84f101…
02-24 15:42:02	Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x020228…
02-23 02:03:06	btc updown 15m 1771812000	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xefecfb…
02-21 22:18:06	bitcoin above 68k on february 22	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcbbf83…
02-21 22:16:08	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xc7e825…
02-18 19:18:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe1bbd1…
02-16 19:55:35	btc updown 5m 1771271400	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x83e5bd…
02-16 19:51:31	btc updown 5m 1771271400	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x95ba0d…
02-14 17:01:05	btc updown 4h 1771088400	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x17c250…
02-11 17:04:49	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbcfc4c…
02-11 17:04:11	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6cca10…
02-07 21:00:39	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xad8bc6…
02-04 21:22:47	will russia enter malokaterynivka by february 28	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xcdcff1…
01-31 14:40:46	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x5d89b6…
01-30 16:50:26	si above 100 jan 2026	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x51f833…
01-30 16:05:36	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x38852f…
01-30 16:05:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0xfc4af3…
01-28 15:03:21	will gold gc hit high 5300 by end of january 386 158	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xb96411…
01-27 22:07:17	will gold gc hit high 5300 by end of january 386 158	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6482fa…
01-26 23:06:35	si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc4eecf…
01-26 21:55:09	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x24a755…
01-26 21:15:45	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x214979…
01-26 20:51:53	Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x1bfc29…
01-24 21:31:12	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x94ec03…
01-24 21:26:02	si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9851e6…
01-24 21:25:08	si above 100 jan 2026	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8e53c6…
01-24 13:45:24	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x50d81a…
01-18 22:30:40	btc updown 4h 1768770000	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xed9997…
01-18 19:31:44	btc updown 4h 1768755600	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x131bec…
01-17 21:29:38	Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	Silver	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xfd1ec9…
01-17 21:00:36	btc updown 4h 1768683600	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf21159…
01-17 20:22:56	btc updown 4h 1768669200	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x549ee3…
01-16 16:34:52	Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xeea0cf…
01-14 20:35:58	will russia enter malokaterynivka by february 28	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x005b0b…