Upset-Velvet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-24 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 100% +$0

Other

11% — —

Politics

8% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	03-16 03:52
cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	2	$151	98	98	+0	open	—	03-19 01:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	2	$143	72	72	+0	open	—	05-24 00:46
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	2	$141	71	71	+0	open	—	04-13 09:58
nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-18 03:30
bitcoin above 66k on march 17	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 03:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$71	72	0	+72	open	—	05-24 15:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$71	71	0	+71	open	—	05-19 14:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$71	71	0	+71	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$71	71	0	+71	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$71	71	0	+71	Yes	+$0	05-07 00:44
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$71	71	0	+71	open	—	04-30 14:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$71	71	0	+71	open	—	04-27 13:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?	1	$71	71	0	+71	open	—	04-23 16:00
bitcoin above 66k on april 20	1	$71	71	0	+71	open	—	04-18 06:51
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$71	71	0	+71	open	—	04-16 05:06
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$71	71	0	+71	open	—	04-14 04:53
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-10 03:33
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-07 23:56
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-06 07:56
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-01 05:04
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	03-31 05:05
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	03-30 05:14
bitcoin above 58k on march 29	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	03-28 16:34
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	03-27 13:43
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	03-26 13:22
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$69	70	0	+70	open	—	03-24 11:25
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-23 11:25
bitcoin above 62k on march 22	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-21 07:28
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	03-20 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:52:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0xcc73ae…
05-24 00:46:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$71	0x01218d…
05-23 02:34:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0x695aaf…
05-19 14:58:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x569bec…
05-11 01:48:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x2fe400…
05-07 00:44:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xfbc2c7…
05-05 06:32:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x9459ef…
04-30 14:44:00	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xd6767d…
04-27 13:05:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xb29ed9…
04-23 16:00:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xd6870c…
04-18 06:51:32	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x7a9869…
04-16 05:06:10	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x6b024c…
04-14 04:53:17	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x295379…
04-13 09:58:33	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x7bd1dd…
04-11 23:57:29	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$70	0xefffa3…
04-10 03:33:37	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc316a0…
04-07 23:56:35	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x2986d4…
04-06 07:56:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x9fecdb…
04-01 05:04:23	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x9d2802…
03-31 05:05:39	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4677ac…
03-30 05:14:24	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x5a28cb…
03-28 16:34:35	bitcoin above 58k on march 29	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6b6c58…
03-27 13:43:43	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x5cf509…
03-26 13:22:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x2126d0…
03-24 11:25:41	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0xdf4d12…
03-23 11:25:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x18f865…
03-21 07:28:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xf01209…
03-20 18:34:55	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xd6d232…
03-19 02:38:17	cbb bradly day 2026 03 18	Dayton Flyers	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x22e18f…
03-19 01:47:21	cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	George Washington Revolutionaries	SELL	98	61¢	$60	0xda8ea2…
03-19 01:05:39	cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	George Washington Revolutionaries	BUY	98	93¢	$91	0x1244a6…
03-18 03:30:41	nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	Oilers	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc6ab43…
03-16 03:54:59	bitcoin above 66k on march 17	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0e7ed6…
03-16 03:52:59	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x160612…
03-14 03:47:51	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x85d47e…