Cultured-Chatter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-28 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

75% 33% +$0

Politics

25% 100% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	5	$3.0K	3,085	3,085	+0	open	—	03-17 05:56
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	6	$2.9K	2,010	2,009	+1	open	—	03-17 05:15
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	5	$2.8K	1,431	1,431	+0	open	—	03-17 04:56
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$2.8K	1,417	1,417	+0	No	+$0	03-17 06:11
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	5	$457	247	247	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 20:35
will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	8	$452	791	791	+0	open	—	03-15 21:08
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1200 1239	2	$440	234	234	+0	open	—	03-15 23:50
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	8	$428	234	234	+0	open	—	03-16 00:37
will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	3	$427	218	218	+0	open	—	03-15 22:28
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$427	218	218	+0	No	+$0	03-15 21:39
will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	2	$418	224	224	+0	open	—	03-15 15:18
elon musk of tweets march 2026 840 879	2	$412	207	207	+0	open	—	03-15 13:09
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	2	$404	204	204	+0	open	—	03-15 16:03
will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	03-15 18:40
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1000 1039	3	$399	201	201	+0	open	—	03-15 15:02
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	2	$398	215	215	+0	open	—	03-15 17:07
nor ham vik 2026 03 14 total 3pt5	2	$138	215	0	+215	open	—	03-14 06:29
cs2 aur1 ast10 2026 03 14 game1	2	$117	225	0	+225	open	—	03-14 03:53
spl sha okh 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$78	153	0	+153	open	—	03-14 03:34
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-28 04:44
will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	3	$20	374	374	+0	open	—	03-15 12:36
mex gua san 2026 03 14 san	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	03-14 09:25
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	03-14 04:09
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-27 15:51
nba was bos 2026 03 14	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-14 09:35
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	3	$12	72	72	+0	open	—	03-15 23:33
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC: O/U 4.5	1	$11	11	0	+11	Under	+$0	05-13 06:41
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$2	46	46	+0	No	$-0	03-15 18:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 04:44:45	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x4435f3…
05-13 06:41:04	El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xaa9aa2…
04-27 15:51:08	Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)	Cádiz CF	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xf841bf…
03-17 06:11:09	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,417	97¢	$1,377	0x5b1b37…
03-17 06:01:57	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	614	97¢	$597	0x9bde5a…
03-17 06:01:57	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	803	97¢	$781	0x6614c8…
03-17 05:56:09	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	SELL	1,605	10¢	$162	0xb70bd0…
03-17 05:48:15	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	1,605	10¢	$167	0x6479fc…
03-17 05:41:17	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	No	SELL	1,224	90¢	$1,095	0x7ff079…
03-17 05:41:17	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	No	SELL	256	90¢	$229	0x1cb73f…
03-17 05:36:01	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	No	BUY	1,480	90¢	$1,328	0x7621c3…
03-17 05:15:19	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	SELL	1,568	92¢	$1,439	0x0f01af…
03-17 05:05:51	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	848	92¢	$778	0xc623b2…
03-17 05:05:51	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	721	92¢	$662	0xc07bde…
03-17 04:56:59	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	1,047	98¢	$1,023	0xad9207…
03-17 04:56:59	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	303	98¢	$296	0x9ca4fc…
03-17 04:56:59	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	81	98¢	$79	0x8df061…
03-17 04:50:49	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	BUY	644	97¢	$627	0xcd5c12…
03-17 04:50:49	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	BUY	787	97¢	$767	0x736e1b…
03-17 04:41:47	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	SELL	441	5¢	$23	0x6b5206…
03-17 04:35:37	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xaf678b…
03-17 04:35:37	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	432	6¢	$26	0x4b3010…
03-16 00:37:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xbe7cc0…
03-16 00:37:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0xb652a4…
03-16 00:37:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x8669c0…
03-16 00:37:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x4c4892…
03-16 00:37:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	SELL	94	92¢	$86	0x2d6d00…
03-16 00:28:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	BUY	157	91¢	$143	0xa9ea43…
03-16 00:28:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	BUY	36	91¢	$33	0x5df57d…
03-16 00:28:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x1d07d5…
03-15 23:50:11	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1200 1239	No	SELL	234	94¢	$221	0x270809…
03-15 23:41:25	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1200 1239	No	BUY	234	94¢	$219	0x9c5337…
03-15 23:33:11	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0x5a3369…
03-15 23:24:01	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xe649e3…
03-15 23:23:59	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0x09b724…
03-15 22:28:39	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	218	98¢	$214	0xd31ed1…
03-15 22:18:55	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xa8ef51…
03-15 22:18:55	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0x53ba60…
03-15 21:39:07	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xdc0fa9…
03-15 21:38:55	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	212	98¢	$208	0xe16d43…
03-15 21:30:41	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	218	98¢	$213	0xf9bc84…
03-15 21:08:53	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	77	98¢	$75	0xbaf40b…
03-15 21:06:55	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	139	98¢	$136	0x919b8b…
03-15 20:57:45	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0xd98ca3…
03-15 20:57:45	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa72281…
03-15 20:57:45	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	134	98¢	$132	0x63e964…
03-15 20:35:35	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	247	93¢	$229	0x12bb2d…
03-15 20:26:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe4fdab…
03-15 20:26:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xd57492…
03-15 20:26:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x92070f…
03-15 20:26:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	152	92¢	$140	0x8ff942…
03-15 18:40:25	will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x41c9fc…
03-15 18:33:57	will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x8cfc46…
03-15 18:13:51	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0xd32b92…
03-15 18:03:57	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x66fc6e…
03-15 17:07:35	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	215	92¢	$199	0x6dfa4c…
03-15 16:59:51	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	215	92¢	$199	0x61a900…
03-15 16:03:01	will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	Yes	SELL	204	99¢	$202	0x70f375…
03-15 15:55:59	will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	Yes	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0x488e76…
03-15 15:18:29	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	SELL	224	94¢	$210	0xfd613c…
03-15 15:09:11	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	224	93¢	$209	0x4cc13e…
03-15 15:02:35	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1000 1039	No	SELL	201	99¢	$199	0x7eeb74…
03-15 14:52:49	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1000 1039	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xc49526…
03-15 14:52:49	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1000 1039	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x66ab39…
03-15 13:09:37	elon musk of tweets march 2026 840 879	No	SELL	207	99¢	$206	0x3374b6…
03-15 13:01:03	elon musk of tweets march 2026 840 879	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0x78e1e8…
03-15 12:55:35	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x15dc63…
03-15 12:55:13	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	562	2¢	$14	0xd1b8e0…
03-15 12:46:23	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	575	2¢	$14	0x1287ed…
03-15 12:36:47	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	128	3¢	$3	0xb99d06…
03-15 12:36:17	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	246	3¢	$7	0x871332…
03-15 12:29:09	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	374	2¢	$9	0x39f44b…
03-14 09:35:27	nba was bos 2026 03 14	Celtics	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xec7957…
03-14 09:25:19	mex gua san 2026 03 14 san	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4f8c1b…
03-14 06:29:45	nor ham vik 2026 03 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x5af205…
03-14 06:29:45	nor ham vik 2026 03 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	192	64¢	$123	0x3660a7…
03-14 04:09:01	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xdad5cb…
03-14 03:53:13	cs2 aur1 ast10 2026 03 14 game1	Astralis	BUY	213	52¢	$111	0xed51cf…
03-14 03:53:13	cs2 aur1 ast10 2026 03 14 game1	Astralis	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x2901cb…
03-14 03:34:23	spl sha okh 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	Al Okhdood SC	BUY	153	51¢	$78	0x2bad97…