Far-Flung-Doing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$190

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-10 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% 0% $-9

Other

38% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	4	$52	54	54	+0	open	—	05-07 23:12
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	8	$38	93	93	+0	open	—	05-18 17:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$23	257	257	+0	No	$-7	05-08 12:21
Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	4	$15	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 05:20
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$12	5,000	1,700	+3,300	open	—	04-30 05:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$10	41	41	+0	open	—	05-12 18:39
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-10 02:56
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$6	1,083	1,083	+0	open	—	04-30 05:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	2	$6	407	407	+0	No	$-2	05-07 23:11
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-25 03:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	06-10 02:59
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-13 17:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-29 17:31
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 17:27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 12?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-12 18:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:59:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x4c22b2…
06-10 02:56:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xfef008…
06-10 02:54:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xea1793…
05-29 17:31:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x3f17ec…
05-18 17:05:28	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x83d264…
05-13 17:56:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x1c1b76…
05-12 19:03:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3ebba6…
05-12 19:00:26	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x8cebfb…
05-12 18:54:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x9c0545…
05-12 18:39:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x55649e…
05-09 16:30:40	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x8e31d0…
05-08 12:21:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	131	2¢	$2	0xcb2957…
05-08 02:31:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x944fc5…
05-08 02:30:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	126	4¢	$5	0x27fde8…
05-07 23:13:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	220	6¢	$13	0x85fa4e…
05-07 23:12:20	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0x1c8852…
05-07 23:11:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	407	0¢	$2	0xa7b713…
05-07 23:10:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	407	1¢	$4	0xd7037b…
05-07 22:50:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xc26383…
05-07 22:47:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xcdcd39…
05-07 22:46:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x8c582e…
05-07 02:02:34	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x5edb89…
05-07 02:01:50	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x54d234…
05-07 01:57:41	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x4a1c98…
05-06 20:46:08	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x9f83b6…
05-05 13:19:54	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xd321ce…
05-05 00:55:00	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9f3124…
05-05 00:48:42	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	28¢	$12	0x181546…
05-03 16:48:36	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x79f80d…
04-30 05:31:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	1,700	0¢	$2	0x1e83e0…
04-30 05:20:44	Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xa70138…
04-30 05:20:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,083	0¢	$2	0xa37837…
04-29 20:10:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xe8cdbe…
04-28 21:00:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x08a1a6…
04-28 20:50:10	Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x882855…
04-28 19:22:46	Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xa59e56…
04-28 19:15:26	Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe5e37e…
04-28 17:37:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x868998…
04-28 17:27:14	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x322fa6…
04-25 18:30:12	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x777ba3…
04-25 03:34:20	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xf299c4…
04-24 20:17:44	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x1311da…