Cavernous-Outhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$137

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-26 04:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 64% $-4

Other

6% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-13 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	Down	$-5	05-13 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 21:38
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 16:14
btc updown 5m 1782449700	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 00:24
btc updown 5m 1782119400	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-22 09:12
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-22 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 23:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-14 02:53
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-13 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	13	0	+13	Down	$-1	05-13 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 16:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	23	0	+23	open	—	05-20 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 04:57:56	btc updown 5m 1782449700	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x376f89…
06-26 04:55:31	btc updown 5m 1782449700	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdd7c9c…
06-22 09:12:41	btc updown 5m 1782119400	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xc09c7e…
06-22 09:11:35	btc updown 5m 1782119400	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x417272…
06-22 09:09:38	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8ee327…
05-22 23:42:47	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x2f13f9…
05-20 19:24:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xb7d85a…
05-16 20:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x546dac…
05-16 20:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x91fd28…
05-16 20:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x93335c…
05-16 20:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2a483d…
05-16 20:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xba65d8…
05-16 00:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x1899fc…
05-16 00:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6aa10b…
05-14 21:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xbd08d0…
05-14 21:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf5d48a…
05-14 21:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xb86293…
05-14 21:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdd7df6…
05-14 20:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x346429…
05-14 20:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf7a19a…
05-14 19:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8e3e61…
05-14 19:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x106d2a…
05-14 19:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x133c86…
05-14 19:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc3e9f3…
05-14 19:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x93ebbe…
05-14 19:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x91360d…
05-14 19:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x7e9192…
05-14 19:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x032bc9…
05-14 16:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x1f16c2…
05-14 16:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4e883b…
05-14 16:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfcc3cf…
05-14 16:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x25f24c…
05-14 03:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4cb1cc…
05-14 02:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7c7848…
05-14 02:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x1c7364…
05-14 02:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7e6e9a…
05-14 02:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb81da…
05-14 02:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x874aaa…
05-14 02:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa85a4c…
05-14 02:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x047224…
05-13 23:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2a501f…
05-13 23:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4502f7…
05-13 23:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x3737bb…
05-13 23:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x163e7c…
05-13 23:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf32291…
05-13 23:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xab6320…
05-13 22:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x15ce77…
05-13 22:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x06115f…
05-13 22:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x8a2916…
05-13 22:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x862d75…
05-13 22:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xb8c4da…
05-13 22:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd2b153…
05-13 22:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x8a2876…
05-13 22:28:23	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc72327…
05-13 21:50:22	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa470d2…