Verifiable-Grain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

219

Trades

1,278

lifetime

Volume

$5.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-05 08:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% $-19

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1780646400	3	$16	27	10	+17	open	—	06-05 08:07
eth updown 15m 1776950100	2	$11	9	8	+0	open	—	04-23 13:27
btc updown 15m 1776953700	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-23 14:23
btc updown 5m 1776953400	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-23 14:11
btc updown 5m 1776943500	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-23 11:29
eth updown 5m 1776933000	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-23 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$8	26	0	+26	open	—	04-30 09:33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	05-04 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	05-01 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	05-01 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$8	17	0	+17	Down	+$3	05-05 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-30 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$8	21	0	+21	open	—	05-01 02:53
btc updown 5m 1777043700	2	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	04-24 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	04-30 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$8	23	0	+23	Up	$-2	05-05 20:58
btc updown 5m 1777018200	2	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	04-24 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	05-01 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	04-30 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-25 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-30 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	05-01 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	04-30 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$8	23	0	+23	open	—	04-30 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	05-02 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	04-30 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	04-30 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 08:07:15	btc updown 4h 1780646400	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x1d9ed0…
06-05 08:04:42	btc updown 4h 1780646400	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x6def24…
06-05 08:02:40	btc updown 4h 1780646400	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3e8f1f…
05-06 08:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x6c1c91…
05-06 08:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x10d966…
05-06 08:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x30d65d…
05-06 08:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb5060c…
05-06 08:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x77af7d…
05-06 08:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x615f1f…
05-06 08:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfdf815…
05-06 07:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x915db8…
05-06 07:51:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3e282a…
05-06 07:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x17f7dd…
05-06 07:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x885deb…
05-06 07:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xc27532…
05-05 22:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xe3c518…
05-05 22:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x6cd7a9…
05-05 22:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa8342d…
05-05 22:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xbee612…
05-05 22:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xdcf454…
05-05 22:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x3ac773…
05-05 22:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf8f175…
05-05 22:17:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf4605e…
05-05 22:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x2a0af9…
05-05 22:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3a4f0e…
05-05 22:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x479ba8…
05-05 22:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcf8fef…
05-05 21:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd407fd…
05-05 21:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1269e0…
05-05 21:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x42de39…
05-05 21:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6337ff…
05-05 21:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xca4ca6…
05-05 21:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x5bc8c5…
05-05 21:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x1a63c3…
05-05 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xebd344…
05-05 21:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x54d751…
05-05 21:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5e74ff…
05-05 21:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x98c3f9…
05-05 21:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x16c36d…
05-05 21:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x915a5f…
05-05 21:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe16922…
05-05 21:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x5b5673…
05-05 21:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x810405…
05-05 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x7f93bc…
05-05 20:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xad4151…
05-05 20:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x004ebb…
05-05 20:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xfac0b6…
05-05 20:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6934af…
05-05 20:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x60ec37…
05-05 20:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xaaa83e…
05-05 20:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb89c3f…
05-05 20:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x66d7e7…
05-05 20:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x7be11a…
05-05 20:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x256e1d…
05-05 19:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xba9629…
05-05 19:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x13b3fe…
05-05 19:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1b96f8…
05-05 19:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4ac930…
05-05 19:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x307808…
05-05 19:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb3cc00…
05-05 19:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x30744e…
05-05 19:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6186f7…
05-05 19:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x1c4a3b…
05-05 19:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x0ba347…
05-05 19:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x8a670e…
05-05 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xf8ebd4…
05-05 18:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x79a82a…
05-05 18:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa43569…
05-05 18:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe6cc36…
05-05 18:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x974f2d…
05-05 18:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x969f77…
05-05 18:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2da099…
05-05 18:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa1806a…
05-05 18:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x9df489…
05-05 18:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x89482e…
05-05 18:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xcadec2…
05-05 18:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x6d084f…
05-05 18:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x1c11c9…
05-05 18:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0c97ea…
05-05 18:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5f4a85…
05-05 18:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe25f2c…
05-05 17:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xc9d671…
05-05 17:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb467bd…
05-05 17:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb23d82…
05-05 17:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x231ed9…
05-05 17:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x0e4f6c…
05-05 17:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xa94f1e…
05-05 17:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x421d9e…
05-05 17:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb83d1a…
05-05 17:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe4c10c…
05-05 17:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x1480cb…
05-05 17:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x690be9…
05-05 17:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x108412…
05-05 16:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x374852…
05-05 16:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x299594…
05-05 16:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xea749a…
05-05 16:41:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x815b4a…
05-05 16:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xe1d633…
05-05 16:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x12ac6e…
05-05 16:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb2ad8d…