Happy-Illusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

104

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$2.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-02 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$211	147	147	+0	open	—	05-19 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$202	104	104	+0	open	—	05-19 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$183	128	128	+0	open	—	05-19 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$159	123	123	+0	open	—	05-18 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	6	$156	99	98	+0	open	—	05-19 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$108	71	71	+0	open	—	05-18 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	05-19 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$80	82	43	+39	open	—	05-19 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$75	73	39	+34	open	—	05-19 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$70	77	77	+0	open	—	05-18 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	05-18 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	05-18 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$53	34	34	+0	open	—	05-19 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	05-19 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	05-15 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$26	36	36	+0	open	—	05-19 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	05-15 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	05-15 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	05-19 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	05-19 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	05-16 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	05-19 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	05-19 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$25	133	0	+133	open	—	05-19 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	05-16 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	05-16 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	05-19 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 03:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 01:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf944e4…
05-26 00:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2f65d1…
05-26 00:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3961fa…
05-26 00:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xd46eaf…
05-26 00:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x28a43e…
05-26 00:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x6b45ac…
05-26 00:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7c4b2e…
05-26 00:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x1b0877…
05-26 00:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe8189f…
05-26 00:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x271d34…
05-26 00:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5e5684…
05-26 00:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf6dcdd…
05-25 23:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe523ea…
05-25 23:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x73c09d…
05-25 23:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x94662f…
05-25 23:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd22a32…
05-22 01:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa608dd…
05-22 01:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x309785…
05-22 01:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x332bc4…
05-22 01:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xca887f…
05-21 23:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x6cd689…
05-21 23:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0e154c…
05-21 22:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0ae467…
05-21 22:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x77fa93…
05-21 21:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc93cd8…
05-21 21:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xb7b5e6…
05-21 20:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x66cfe1…
05-21 20:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x951f63…
05-21 19:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8c72c1…
05-21 19:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xe5cbef…
05-21 19:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x7e9153…
05-21 19:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xa35332…
05-21 19:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x680d7e…
05-21 18:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4235a3…
05-21 18:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4caed2…
05-21 18:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x4cef8b…
05-21 18:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfa663a…
05-21 15:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xafae00…
05-21 15:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xaee96b…
05-21 15:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb58e7a…
05-21 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x2503cc…
05-21 15:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xe5b18f…
05-21 14:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x19e1c2…
05-21 08:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x697eb4…
05-21 08:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1fef16…
05-21 08:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfc6fd1…
05-21 08:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdfca66…
05-21 07:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb82b76…
05-21 07:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x73de3a…
05-21 07:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf2de07…
05-21 07:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xcff9f3…
05-21 00:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xecb2c8…
05-21 00:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xfef62f…
05-21 00:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe1f1f7…
05-21 00:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x59b5be…
05-21 00:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xe9eabd…
05-21 00:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2190e7…
05-21 00:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xf83e3c…
05-21 00:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc827be…
05-20 23:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa11ada…
05-20 23:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x8c0b78…
05-20 23:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9e5edf…
05-20 23:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1f926c…
05-20 22:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x1183e8…
05-20 22:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x456db0…
05-20 22:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd9b775…
05-20 22:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$1	0xedf80b…
05-20 22:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb52901…
05-20 22:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xb95fb0…
05-20 22:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbea859…
05-20 22:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x46b0b1…
05-20 22:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x896756…
05-20 22:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdbcb6e…
05-20 21:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x7af012…
05-20 21:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2ea736…
05-20 21:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x00c8d1…
05-20 21:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x565b8f…
05-20 20:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x9c6780…
05-20 20:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6ff112…
05-20 07:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4f6f3d…
05-20 07:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc0c203…
05-20 07:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x215508…
05-20 07:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdb2dc9…
05-20 03:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0xbd1c4d…
05-20 03:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x65f1de…
05-20 03:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x37c260…
05-20 03:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb9796b…
05-20 03:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xff552b…
05-20 03:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0e7474…
05-20 03:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xe5b77d…
05-20 03:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe755ce…
05-20 03:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x585863…
05-20 03:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x6c9414…
05-20 03:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x77705c…
05-19 20:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbadc50…
05-19 20:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe31145…
05-19 19:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeb7a3d…
05-19 19:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x73e934…
05-19 19:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x021017…
05-19 19:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x0191f5…