Variable-Feed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.8%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$6.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-18 05:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 20% $-0

Sports

31% — —

Crypto

19% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$278	139	139	+0	open	—	04-04 03:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$268	135	135	+0	open	—	04-02 14:05
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$260	130	130	+0	open	—	03-15 13:58
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	04-14 14:43
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$248	124	124	+0	No	$-0	04-07 05:22
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	4	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	03-27 05:29
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$242	121	121	+0	open	—	03-19 18:18
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$234	117	117	+0	open	—	04-01 12:51
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	03-21 04:22
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	03-05 08:44
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	03-23 22:55
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	04-18 05:05
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	$-0	04-03 01:40
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	$-0	04-05 10:38
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	04-17 03:59
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	03-01 12:45
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	03-17 05:48
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	04-05 18:35
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	02-26 19:29
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	03-21 17:57
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	03-29 23:54
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	04-14 17:33
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	03-17 19:07
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-27 23:16
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-26 21:08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	03-12 01:55
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	03-20 14:35
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	02-28 03:42
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$122	61	61	+0	No	$-0	04-08 14:59
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	04-08 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-18 05:05:12	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x2e2262…
04-17 20:20:34	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x84a759…
04-17 03:59:44	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x655b80…
04-16 20:22:08	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xf0f0bb…
04-14 17:33:02	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xf10449…
04-14 14:43:41	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xf2b403…
04-14 14:43:23	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xfa5249…
04-14 10:38:59	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x910296…
04-08 14:59:43	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xa85d52…
04-08 11:39:19	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x7fc856…
04-08 08:12:53	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x4de61b…
04-08 06:08:03	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x02b7d6…
04-07 21:59:07	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x3acca9…
04-07 10:19:17	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x00e8b3…
04-07 05:22:05	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x70a844…
04-06 13:18:29	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x431d7e…
04-05 18:35:55	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x40e1de…
04-05 13:34:33	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xbc879b…
04-05 10:38:53	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x13a2c0…
04-05 04:53:31	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x6b266a…
04-05 03:06:23	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x32cf4e…
04-05 00:21:59	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xd2f8dd…
04-04 21:19:13	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xbd73c7…
04-04 12:32:47	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x49051f…
04-04 03:05:39	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x62c14e…
04-03 23:11:37	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x73f9d7…
04-03 01:40:03	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x65d579…
04-02 22:05:51	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x6a2806…
04-02 14:05:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x5bc1d2…
04-02 07:21:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x1042c4…
04-01 21:47:05	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x70ffa5…
04-01 17:05:11	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbd39fb…
04-01 12:51:27	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd2a5c6…
04-01 08:25:29	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x203932…
03-31 13:03:57	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe19dce…
03-31 08:46:01	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee1159…
03-31 04:37:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0xaf3558…
03-31 00:10:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x05382c…
03-29 23:54:22	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x9280d4…
03-29 19:41:12	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x2903af…
03-29 11:09:50	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x9cddb6…
03-29 06:55:38	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xa8d62d…
03-29 04:31:58	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x927c97…
03-29 02:10:50	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7ac12d…
03-28 21:32:40	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x3e0223…
03-28 16:38:31	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xec1cc9…
03-28 12:39:25	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x509d52…
03-28 08:25:33	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x1a4b0d…
03-27 23:16:23	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xe18368…
03-27 16:02:51	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x149059…
03-27 05:29:23	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x2b0968…
03-27 03:27:49	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x698523…
03-26 21:08:39	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x1ec1a5…
03-26 14:46:15	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xa7d3c1…
03-25 13:13:31	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x1cb7ce…
03-24 18:09:13	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x102742…
03-24 11:41:25	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x6c3e60…
03-24 05:16:19	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xd7625f…
03-23 22:55:55	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x06b7e2…
03-23 22:55:41	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x7f2909…
03-23 16:38:47	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb79e2d…
03-22 15:28:27	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x74f711…
03-22 09:13:05	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x023ff1…
03-21 17:57:07	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x735702…
03-21 11:09:53	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x7c6e18…
03-21 04:22:21	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x240ea8…
03-20 21:33:59	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x290881…
03-20 14:35:51	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x945674…
03-20 01:03:41	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x636517…
03-19 18:18:01	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x58467c…
03-19 11:34:35	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x511796…
03-17 19:07:07	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x55eff9…
03-17 12:28:29	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x200934…
03-17 05:48:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x842682…
03-16 23:06:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x70b98a…
03-15 13:58:05	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x175f90…
03-15 07:25:53	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xd7ff41…
03-13 08:35:19	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x94e926…
03-12 16:51:49	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x6dde55…
03-12 01:55:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x2fe906…
03-11 16:59:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x84b504…
03-10 22:02:31	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Lakers	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0x16cfad…
03-08 22:53:25	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Bulls	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x1bfe7b…
03-08 22:52:59	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Spurs	BUY	55	67¢	$37	0x585ad9…
03-08 22:52:29	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Hornets	BUY	54	63¢	$34	0x3e397f…
03-07 13:10:35	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe8a688…
03-05 08:44:59	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x85b709…
03-05 08:28:57	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x749eb3…
03-03 20:09:41	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	54	86¢	$46	0x95a07e…
03-03 09:19:01	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0x2d1f5f…
03-01 12:45:19	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x723f6e…
03-01 04:31:53	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x91244f…
03-01 01:55:27	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4a9d2a…
03-01 00:43:25	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x903386…
02-28 13:59:31	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x1d5362…
02-28 03:42:53	Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x3d9fe8…
02-27 20:36:59	Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x07d672…
02-27 06:53:30	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xfe5afe…
02-26 19:30:06	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x58a8b0…
02-26 19:29:50	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x3fa406…