Realistic-Star — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.9%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$453

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-07 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	7	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 18:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	7	$21	18	15	+3	Up	$-2	05-07 14:09
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 19:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$17	21	11	+10	Down	$-7	05-06 18:21
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$15	15	5	+10	Up	$-4	05-07 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$14	15	10	+5	Down	+$3	05-07 14:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$14	15	5	+10	Down	+$4	05-07 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$13	10	6	+4	Down	+$0	05-07 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$12	10	5	+5	Up	$-4	05-06 18:14
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 16:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 15:57
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 18:13
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	5	$9	10	10	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 14:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Up	$-9	05-06 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$8	10	0	+10	Down	$-8	05-06 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 12:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	$-2	05-06 19:24
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-6	05-06 18:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 12:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$5	5	2	+3	Down	+$1	05-07 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 17:07
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 16:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 14:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x17d108…
05-07 14:24:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1fb51b…
05-07 14:24:14	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x63a6cd…
05-07 14:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3ec7c5…
05-07 14:22:28	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x69ddc1…
05-07 14:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x480705…
05-07 14:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8212de…
05-07 14:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa9b9aa…
05-07 14:17:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7e306e…
05-07 14:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x838590…
05-07 14:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xf6e348…
05-07 14:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd8d4c7…
05-07 14:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x61619b…
05-07 14:12:36	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x284393…
05-07 14:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x6851f1…
05-07 14:09:27	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x485e03…
05-07 14:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7ee9e1…
05-07 14:04:03	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xa13f01…
05-07 14:03:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x743150…
05-07 14:03:42	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc348d6…
05-07 14:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x9d9b1c…
05-07 14:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xcb85c7…
05-07 14:03:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb885b5…
05-07 14:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x00c082…
05-07 14:03:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb8c02c…
05-07 14:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xbe6e15…
05-07 14:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4dbf4a…
05-07 14:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb2e010…
05-07 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xf8127d…
05-07 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa2776e…
05-07 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x5b0213…
05-07 14:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7a6d3a…
05-07 14:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6b1ab8…
05-07 14:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3faf10…
05-07 14:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd9d850…
05-07 13:54:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9ccd83…
05-07 13:54:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xce9601…
05-07 13:49:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xa69542…
05-07 13:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc5b078…
05-07 13:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x97f549…
05-07 13:49:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x080d13…
05-07 13:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2c2030…
05-07 13:43:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x302ed7…
05-07 13:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xef8f9e…
05-07 12:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xa92098…
05-07 12:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x28298f…
05-07 12:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xe01003…
05-07 12:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x1a9cbb…
05-07 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6cb73a…
05-06 19:24:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0x2db191…
05-06 19:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4c619c…
05-06 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xbbe4ae…
05-06 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x82af2f…
05-06 19:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6522a8…
05-06 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x3938f0…
05-06 19:20:04	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x84d156…
05-06 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x4fb5de…
05-06 19:03:09	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x9a265e…
05-06 19:02:14	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd5f518…
05-06 19:02:13	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x22daf3…
05-06 19:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc0dacf…
05-06 18:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0xdb02e1…
05-06 18:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x964199…
05-06 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x62a435…
05-06 18:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x0b2cc2…
05-06 18:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xee6783…
05-06 18:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf91e96…
05-06 18:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdf40af…
05-06 18:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3e25cf…
05-06 18:21:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x5060dc…
05-06 18:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd26330…
05-06 18:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb47973…
05-06 18:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf0c3f3…
05-06 18:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xd8fa7e…
05-06 18:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc53ccf…
05-06 18:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x47da99…
05-06 18:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x13ba69…
05-06 18:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0xb86e80…
05-06 18:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x8271f7…
05-06 18:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x265ee1…
05-06 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xeb40b8…
05-06 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xa6ac49…
05-06 18:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x35a1e4…
05-06 18:13:56	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xf994f9…
05-06 18:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x853c1d…
05-06 18:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3400e6…
05-06 18:13:49	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe86116…
05-06 18:13:44	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6c525f…
05-01 18:08:54	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x254a1a…
05-01 17:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x839772…
05-01 17:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc299de…
05-01 16:39:46	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xe16bc4…
05-01 16:39:44	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xee6f09…
05-01 16:39:44	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdedde4…
05-01 16:39:44	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1cb2a4…
05-01 16:33:38	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x878095…
05-01 16:33:16	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x022bbe…
05-01 16:23:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xa77e7c…
05-01 15:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xa8e8c3…
05-01 15:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x89c2f6…