Impartial-Reconsideration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-21 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 73% +$81

Other

42% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	11	$328	332	332	+0	open	—	05-21 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$175	136	80	+56	Down	+$10	05-13 11:59
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Medvedev	2	$76	41	41	+0	open	—	05-15 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-13 11:53
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$38	33	33	+0	open	—	04-27 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	05-17 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	05-17 22:24
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$26	27	27	+0	open	—	05-14 08:06
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	1	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	05-17 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$20	87	0	+87	Down	+$67	05-13 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	05-16 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-14 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$19	56	56	+0	open	—	05-14 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$18	31	0	+31	open	—	05-18 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$15	31	0	+31	open	—	05-14 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$15	71	0	+71	open	—	05-14 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$15	35	0	+35	open	—	05-14 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$14	42	0	+42	Up	$-14	05-12 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 14:24
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	3	$13	76	76	+0	open	—	04-29 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	05-14 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$12	239	0	+239	open	—	05-14 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$12	18	0	+18	open	—	05-18 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$11	23	0	+23	Down	$-11	05-09 10:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 20:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 26?	2	$10	182	174	+9	open	—	04-26 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Up	+$16	05-09 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-14 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	05-14 14:50
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-25 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 19:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7c5bac…
05-21 19:16:13	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x275120…
05-18 21:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	56¢	$18	0x455e5d…
05-18 21:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x68a15a…
05-18 21:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x7bfde5…
05-18 06:53:31	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x3a7673…
05-17 22:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x306236…
05-17 22:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xa9b9ee…
05-17 09:50:40	AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x690774…
05-16 22:28:06	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	105	39¢	$41	0xd8a80c…
05-16 07:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x42be2f…
05-15 19:37:52	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Medvedev	Sinner	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x44d880…
05-15 16:52:58	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Medvedev	Sinner	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0x64c0e2…
05-15 09:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x1d0bfc…
05-14 23:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x2eeddd…
05-14 23:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x2f374e…
05-14 23:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x005aac…
05-14 22:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x5a036f…
05-14 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x037ff0…
05-14 14:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x0824b2…
05-14 14:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x626dd1…
05-14 14:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x8b434b…
05-14 14:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xa7ff13…
05-14 14:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xf67845…
05-14 14:01:27	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xb21b8c…
05-14 14:00:45	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	115	63¢	$72	0x193584…
05-14 09:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x723725…
05-14 09:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x32209a…
05-14 09:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdd932e…
05-14 08:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x19e6ee…
05-14 08:06:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x4383cc…
05-14 08:05:19	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x8c0c05…
05-14 06:16:02	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x049b92…
05-14 05:40:20	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	69	34¢	$23	0x3e7a57…
05-13 11:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x25cae3…
05-13 11:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	80	81¢	$65	0x0a46c8…
05-13 11:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x16b86d…
05-13 11:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x0b4f30…
05-13 11:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x98c6b4…
05-12 14:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x5ddb17…
05-12 14:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdb52be…
05-12 14:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3e5803…
05-12 14:00:48	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x8c9e6e…
05-11 11:42:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0xed0776…
05-11 11:40:12	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x03b509…
05-10 23:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x98efdf…
05-09 19:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe40f1d…
05-09 12:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x586dca…
05-09 10:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x175f70…
05-09 10:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x78a5d9…
05-09 10:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf5330f…
05-09 09:36:56	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xe4eb77…
05-07 07:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb3d96f…
05-07 07:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe22686…
05-07 07:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xff0e3d…
05-02 06:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x9b2e10…
04-30 17:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xed1b18…
04-30 17:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf6d09f…
04-30 16:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc6bb31…
04-29 13:26:46	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x2e8083…
04-29 13:25:00	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0xab9923…
04-29 13:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xa6bc5d…
04-29 13:15:44	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0x0e2274…
04-28 20:59:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	40¢	$5	0x35ca10…
04-27 20:05:36	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x673dec…
04-27 19:21:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x137fb4…
04-26 12:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	174	0¢	$0	0x4c78cd…
04-26 12:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x7e03b8…
04-26 10:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x6b4229…
04-26 10:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0x318323…
04-25 18:20:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6e28e0…
04-25 14:55:02	Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xcc10fb…
04-25 10:11:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xaaee93…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	39	$50.7K	1,533	06-01 00:13
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	37	$11.7K	1,671	05-21 19:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	35	$9.69K	2,614	05-21 19:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	35	$9.46K	1,425	05-21 19:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	35	$8.90K	2,394	05-21 19:19
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	35	$3.83K	394	05-21 19:19
Crushing-Fugato 0xe386…4d91	35	$3.11K	510	05-29 18:46
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	35	$2.74K	571	05-21 19:19