Carefree-Metabolite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 05-15 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 31% +$0

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771441500	2	$176	107	105	+1	open	—	02-18 19:10
btc updown 5m 1771440600	2	$147	79	79	+0	open	—	02-18 18:54
btc updown 5m 1771440900	2	$121	72	72	+1	open	—	02-18 19:00
btc updown 5m 1771544100	1	$60	94	0	+94	open	—	02-19 23:39
btc updown 5m 1771247400	2	$57	36	35	+0	open	—	02-16 13:14
btc updown 5m 1771202400	2	$54	41	40	+1	open	—	02-16 00:44
btc updown 5m 1771319700	2	$49	67	66	+0	open	—	02-17 09:18
btc updown 5m 1771290000	2	$45	46	42	+4	open	—	02-17 01:03
btc updown 5m 1777038300	2	$43	32	30	+1	open	—	04-24 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$41	60	56	+4	open	—	04-25 18:43
btc updown 15m 1777048200	5	$41	64	33	+31	open	—	04-24 16:43
btc updown 5m 1771181100	2	$39	21	21	+0	open	—	02-15 18:48
btc updown 5m 1771247700	2	$36	28	28	+0	open	—	02-16 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$32	46	30	+16	open	—	04-25 18:59
btc updown 5m 1771511700	1	$30	46	0	+46	open	—	02-19 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	4	$29	23	23	+0	Down	+$15	05-13 23:29
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$26	132	132	+0	open	—	04-05 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$26	25	25	+0	Down	+$24	05-13 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$22	32	0	+32	open	—	04-26 22:01
btc updown 5m 1771199700	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-16 00:00
btc updown 5m 1776961500	2	$17	14	14	+1	open	—	04-23 16:29
btc updown 5m 1771248900	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	02-16 13:38
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$17	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	02-24 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$16	102	0	+102	open	—	04-25 23:59
btc updown 5m 1776957300	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	04-23 15:19
btc updown 5m 1771441200	1	$15	94	0	+94	open	—	02-18 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 23:19
btc updown 5m 1771166400	1	$13	23	0	+23	open	—	02-15 14:41
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$13	82	82	+0	open	—	02-27 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 00:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd52076…
05-14 23:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x86d150…
05-14 23:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x807ad3…
05-14 23:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x898d92…
05-14 23:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xd9c058…
05-14 23:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x055e9b…
05-14 23:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x1cf6cc…
05-14 23:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x1428b1…
05-14 23:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xab7ede…
05-14 23:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x640b97…
05-14 23:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xd4d9ee…
05-14 14:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x02a415…
05-14 14:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb40ede…
05-14 14:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x60d623…
05-14 13:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7ae921…
05-14 00:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xe732df…
05-14 00:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x0f3822…
05-14 00:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe838dd…
05-14 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xba6074…
05-14 00:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xaf44a6…
05-13 23:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x9a9afe…
05-13 23:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb05979…
05-13 23:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa8d1f4…
05-13 23:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x0c197b…
05-13 23:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x48ba82…
05-13 23:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x740653…
05-13 23:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xa076ca…
05-13 23:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x4fb479…
05-13 23:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4e3ef3…
05-13 23:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xb67367…
05-13 23:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfe0abc…
05-13 23:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xceb9e5…
05-13 23:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8c67f9…
05-13 23:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf3cac0…
05-13 23:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x672d91…
05-13 23:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xf1efb5…
05-13 23:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4933ec…
05-13 16:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xa73f7e…
05-13 15:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4719d8…
05-13 15:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf0faaf…
05-13 15:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xd9e08c…
05-13 15:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x68b0d5…
05-13 14:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xb07ccc…
05-13 14:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x61db15…
05-13 14:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x77763b…
05-13 14:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xf7893f…
04-26 22:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	32	67¢	$22	0x52e0d6…
04-26 20:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xd74dfb…
04-26 20:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x75f8b2…
04-26 20:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x462e5d…
04-26 11:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa0fa93…
04-26 11:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x53d903…
04-26 00:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe678c5…
04-26 00:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe6e888…
04-26 00:02:10	Knicks vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	83	7¢	$6	0x73a4f4…
04-25 23:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0x125de5…
04-25 23:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x755d79…
04-25 23:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x03a656…
04-25 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x446954…
04-25 23:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd71e15…
04-25 19:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1596ef…
04-25 19:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x65914a…
04-25 18:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x9e0ccc…
04-25 18:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	64¢	$20	0xd17965…
04-25 18:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x49ac2a…
04-25 18:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	56	55¢	$31	0xd6d9fb…
04-25 18:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x7bdab1…
04-24 16:55:06	btc updown 15m 1777049100	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8c9101…
04-24 16:55:06	btc updown 15m 1777049100	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x4b67cb…
04-24 16:55:06	btc updown 15m 1777049100	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0f031c…
04-24 16:43:36	btc updown 15m 1777048200	Up	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x1aee94…
04-24 16:42:32	btc updown 15m 1777048200	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe54550…
04-24 16:42:10	btc updown 15m 1777048200	Down	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x66432f…
04-24 16:37:10	btc updown 15m 1777048200	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x72283d…
04-24 16:32:14	btc updown 15m 1777048200	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2b9283…
04-24 14:13:34	btc updown 15m 1777039200	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa9d231…
04-24 14:06:38	btc updown 15m 1777039200	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x34a4e4…
04-24 13:56:52	btc updown 15m 1777038300	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xcfda2d…
04-24 13:54:24	btc updown 15m 1777038300	Up	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x896e18…
04-24 13:49:24	btc updown 5m 1777038300	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x381cf8…
04-24 13:46:40	btc updown 5m 1777038300	Down	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0xe955dc…
04-23 17:09:42	btc updown 5m 1776964200	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xdbcc86…
04-23 16:49:50	btc updown 5m 1776962700	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x70edc8…
04-23 16:29:42	btc updown 5m 1776961500	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xaa1779…
04-23 16:27:18	btc updown 5m 1776961500	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x8793f4…
04-23 16:05:48	btc updown 5m 1776960300	Down	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x6ecfc7…
04-23 16:02:10	btc updown 5m 1776960000	Down	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x7496d5…
04-23 15:19:50	btc updown 5m 1776957300	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4d007d…
04-23 15:14:52	btc updown 5m 1776957300	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa37a9c…
04-23 14:50:10	btc updown 5m 1776955500	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x070737…
04-23 14:46:56	btc updown 5m 1776955500	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xee9c00…
04-23 14:44:30	btc updown 5m 1776955200	Up	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xe0e58f…
04-23 14:36:38	btc updown 5m 1776954900	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$8	0x3f1aee…
04-05 22:02:33	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	6¢	$8	0xbeb803…
02-27 20:00:19	btc updown 5m 1772222400	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x332b52…
02-27 18:24:25	btc updown 5m 1772216400	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2747a0…
02-27 18:19:57	btc updown 5m 1772216400	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe96818…
02-27 18:19:15	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$3	0xca1610…
02-24 09:14:10	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x5862b9…
02-24 09:13:36	will there be at least 1300 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0x95493a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	80	$9.12K	1,329	05-15 00:02
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	74	$1.13K	148	05-15 00:04
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	65	$10.4K	2,131	05-14 14:11
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	60	$13.9K	2,370	05-15 00:04
(anonymous) 0xf381…2b5d	59	$25.9K	5,237	04-26 22:05
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	56	$6.28K	1,320	05-15 00:03
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	52	$79.1K	16,481	05-15 00:03
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	50	$14.9K	2,257	05-15 00:04